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Later Trade Cycle Theory: Technical Progress and Dynamics

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Alvin Hansen

Part of the book series: Great Thinkers in Economics ((GTE))

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Abstract

In the early 1930s, Hansen came to the view that the severity and duration of the 1930–3 depression were due to a confluence of long and short cyclical fluctuations. This he advanced in Economic Stabilisation in an Unbalanced World (1932). A decade later, looking back from a post-war perspective, Hansen’s emphasis had shifted to the medium and longer term, especially issues of economic maturity.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Harris Foundation (1932: 40). 

  2. 2.

    See for example Hansen’s evidence to the Byrnes Committee where he suggested that monopolistic corporate and labour practices were preventing “adequate cost reduction” (1938d: 965), which thus hampered investment opportunities.

  3. 3.

    Hansen et al. (1936: 53).

  4. 4.

    1938a: 107, 1941a: 408.

  5. 5.

    1937d: 96.

  6. 6.

    See Samuelson (1959).

  7. 7.

    ibid: 234–8.

  8. 8.

    See Chaps. 4 and 10, and Samuelson in Colander and Landreth (1996: 157).

  9. 9.

    ibid: 133–8.

  10. 10.

    Reprinted in 1941a: 301–12.

  11. 11.

    1951a: 485–8

  12. 12.

    See also 1951a: 411–68 that includes a contribution by Richard Goodwin on “Econometrics in Business Cycle Analysis.”

  13. 13.

    Hansen linked these together in the following form: where is the annual yield of a capital good in year, the marginal efficiency of capital is and the supply price or cost of the capital good is.

  14. 14.

    see also 1945c: 226–7.

  15. 15.

    ibid: 48–50.

  16. 16.

    1964a: 56.

  17. 17.

    See Chap. 12.

Bibliography

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Bigg, R.J. (2023). Later Trade Cycle Theory: Technical Progress and Dynamics. In: Alvin Hansen. Great Thinkers in Economics. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-42216-4_7

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