Abstract
Hansen had been interested in consumption as much as investment. Whilst investment ruled the roost for the business cycle, a consumption index had been a goal for a meaningful measure of real income since the mid-1920s. Hansen’s review of Keynes’s General Theory was at best lukewarm. He quarrelled with Keynes’s definitions of income, saving and investment suggesting that Robertson’s schema would have made the exposition clearer especially in regard to hoarding and credit creation. He felt that Keynes was too polemical and not generous enough to Classical theory, but acknowledged the practical import of argument. Hansen’s apparent conversion from sceptic to critical supporter seemed to come around the period of his AEA presidential address in 1938–1939. In the 1940s, Hansen adopted Keynesian tools, the marginal efficiency of capital and the multiplier, in his business cycle analysis. He still favoured the contribution of technological progress, population, and resource growth to an upwards shift in the marginal efficiency of capital schedule rather than the effect of interest rates moving along it. His textbooks popularised both the Keynesian Cross and ISLM graphical representations of Keynesian Economics, whilst his A Guide to Keynes became an undergraduate staple.
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Notes
- 1.
See Samuelson (1976: 30).
- 2.
- 3.
1936b: 680.
- 4.
1937b: 521.
- 5.
- 6.
- 7.
Samuelson (1959).
- 8.
Haberler (1976) places it earlier at the time of his arrival in Harvard in 1937. Williams (1976) before that and Tobin (1976) suggested 1938. See Barber (1987), Rosenof (1997), and Brazelton (1993) who further points to the importance of both the consumption function and the multiplier to Hansen’s evolving position. See also the discussion in Desmarais-Tremblay and Johnson (2019).
- 9.
Mehrling (1997: 236n7): “Why did I quickly accept Keynes. / (a) Marx and Henry George / (b) Chapter IV in Business Cycle Theory.” This chapter was entitled “The Capitalistic Process of Production as Cause of the Business Cycle” (Hansen, 1927a: 59ff) and discussed Marx, Tugan-Baranowsky, Spiethoff, Cassel, Schumpeter, Wicksell, Aftalion, and Robertson.
- 10.
1941a: 284, in fact he counted the cost of replacement of capital goods as part of consumption, which is different to Keynes’s approach.
- 11.
ibid: 229, 236, 290.
- 12.
- 13.
see eg Bigg (1990).
- 14.
This asset effect on consumption and investment is also acknowledged in 1946b.
- 15.
Keynes had expressed income as measured in wage units (a price in wage units is its money price divided by the money wage for one person-hour of labour), thus a measure of real income adjusting for both prices and productivity gains as noted in Hansen (1946g).
- 16.
There is a valid argument that whilst formally correct, this over-simplifies Keynes’s understanding of the interest rate, which is nuanced, and related more to the margin between varying degrees of liquidity in a world where the future is fundamentally uncertain. As Hayes (2006: 155) puts it “Liquidity-preference and animal spirits are opposite aspects of the state of confidence, which is a matter of the weight of evidence behind our forecasts of the future. Thus the rate of interest has a life of its own, based on our well-founded distrust of forecasts of the long-term future and on the security offered by money, as the store of value least affected by changes in such forecasts.”
- 17.
The first appearance of some sort of 45° diagram appears to be Hansen 1941a it was made popular by Samuelson’s presentation in his Economics of 1948.
- 18.
See Hayes (2006).
- 19.
“Outlets” in Hansen’s terms provided by growth and technological progress.
- 20.
1953a: 46, 48–53, 58–62, 86, 108–114.
- 21.
ibid: 48–9, 60–4, 141–3, 152.
- 22.
ibid: 75–81, 101–3, 138–9, 167–9, 207–14, 217.
- 23.
See Keynes (1936: 25–9).
- 24.
See Hayes (2006: 54–7).
- 25.
See Hayes (2006: 54).
- 26.
1953a: 42.
- 27.
ibid: 43–4.
- 28.
ibid: 57, a further quibble over depreciation is given on p. 82 n. 3.
- 29.
ibid: 86–98, 108–114.
- 30.
- 31.
See Keynes (1973b: 183).
- 32.
ibid: 140–53.
- 33.
Keynes (1936: 143).
- 34.
The others concerned some lack of clarity over the questions of the equality or otherwise of the real wage and the marginal disutility of labour; Keynes’s rejection of Say’s Law; the relation of consumption to national income or GNP and the effect of depreciation allowances; and whether at the level of a single firm or industry a money wage cut would benefit employment. However, Tarshis suggested that any fault on the part of Hansen lay only in a “looseness of exposition.” (ibid: 147).
- 35.
ibid: 32.
- 36.
ibid: 134.
- 37.
- 38.
1953a: 148, 165–6.
- 39.
See Young and Fuller (2022: 141–55).
- 40.
ibid: 147–8, 151, 152–3, 154–5.
- 41.
- 42.
1953a: 7, 14–5.
- 43.
1953a: 28, 77.
- 44.
ibid: 152–3.
- 45.
ibid: 27, 117, 154, see also (1951a: 323–8).
- 46.
- 47.
1951a: 157.
- 48.
- 49.
1941a: 237.
- 50.
ibid p. 235.
- 51.
See also ibid: 485–8.
- 52.
ibid: 169–70.
- 53.
ibid: 171.
- 54.
ibid: 435n3.
- 55.
1978: 162.
- 56.
ibid: 164.
- 57.
ibid: 168–9177.
- 58.
Hansen (1953a: 148), see also p. 166, 216.
- 59.
p. 34n “the functional relation can equally well be stated as.
- 60.
- 61.
Hayes (2006: 113).
- 62.
1957a: 152–75.
- 63.
ibid: 160–1.
- 64.
ibid: 168.
- 65.
- 66.
See also (1966c).
- 67.
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Bigg, R.J. (2023). On Keynes. In: Alvin Hansen. Great Thinkers in Economics. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-42216-4_11
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