Skip to main content

Attention to Economic Factors and Its Response to Foreign Portfolio Investment: An Evidence from Indian Capital Market

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
AI and Business, and Innovation Research: Understanding the Potential and Risks of AI for Modern Enterprises

Part of the book series: Studies in Systems, Decision and Control ((SSDC,volume 440))

  • 345 Accesses

Abstract

Stock market consists of a variety of investors. Among these, Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) is a key investment influx. These investments can change or fluctuate due to several macroeconomic factors which can cause a shift in the dynamics of the markets in India. This paper examines the factors influencing for foreign portfolio investment in long run as well as short run. The sample comprises of 120 monthly observations on Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPIs) and Macro economic variables such as Oil prices (OP), Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Interest Rate (IR), Exchange rate of Indian Rupee with USD (ER), Inflation (CPI), Nifty Index (NSEI), 10 year Bond Prices (BP) and Index of Industrial production (IIP) over a period of 10 years, spanning from January 2013 to November 2022. The study employed Autoregressive Distributed Lag model (ARDL) to establish the long run association with error correction models. The result indicates that there is long run association between the Foreign Portfolio Investment and macro-economic variables. Among this, NSEI, IIP and ER played a significant role to determine FPI investments in the long run, whereas in the short run, FPI was impacted by ER and NSEI significantly.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 219.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 279.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Lipsey, R.E., Feenstra, R.C., Hahn, C.H., Hatsopoulos, G.N.: The role of foreign direct investment in international capital flows. In: International Capital Flows. University of Chicago Press, pp. 307–362 (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Broto, C., Díaz-Cassou, J., Erce, A.: Measuring and explaining the volatility of capital flows to emerging countries. J. Bank. Finan. 35(8), 1941–1953 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Erol, A.: Yabancı Sermaye I. Mükellefin Dergisi, No 93, 72–83 (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Reisen, H., Soto, M.: Which types of capital inflows foster developing-country growth? Int. Finan. 4(1), 1–14 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Mukherjee, P., Roy, M.: The nature and determinants of investments by institutional investors in the Indian stock market. J. Emerg. Market Finan. 10(3), 253–283 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1177/097265271101000301

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Garg, A., Chawla, K.K.: A study of trend analysis and relationship between foreign institutional investors (FIIs) and domestic institutional investors (DIIs). In: International Multi Track Conference on Sciences, Engineering and Technical Innovations, pp 321–325 (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Mukherjee, P., Roy, M.: What drives the stock market return in India? An exploration with dynamic factor model. J. Emerg. Market Finan. 15(1), 119–145 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Prusty, T., Vishwakarma, R.: Inquest of FDI Amplified Approach: An Empirical Study (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Dhume, P.: FPI and DII flows in Indian capital market and its impact on S&P BSE sectoral indices during and the post sub-prime crisis period. Bharatiya Vidya Bhavan Instit. Manag. Sci. Kolkata 97, 75 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  10. Calvo, G.A., Leiderman, L., Reinhart, C.M.: Capital inflows and real exchange rate appreciation in Latin America: the role of external factors. Staff Papers 40(1), 108–151 (1993)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Oke, M.O., Adejayan, A.O., Kolapo, F.T., Mokuolu, J.O.: Pull and push factors as determinant of foreign portfolio investment in the emerging market. Risk Govern. Control Finan. Mark. Instit. 10(4), 33–43 (2020)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Aizenman, J., Jinjarak, Y., Park, D.: Capital flows and economic growth in the era of financial integration and crisis, 1990–2010. Open Econ. Rev. 24, 371–396 (2011). https://doi.org/10.3386/w17502

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Agarwal, R.N.: Foreign portfolio investment in some developing countries: a study of determinants and macroeconomic impact. Indian Econ. Rev. 32(2), 217–229 (1997)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Prasuna, C.A.: Determinants of foreign institutional investment in India. Finance India 14(2), 411–422 (2000)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Panigrahi, R.: Foreign institutional investors: a study of Indian firms and investors. In: National Seminar on—Emerging Trends in Management and Information Technology (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Bergman, M.: The portfolio balance model. Instit. Econ. (2005)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Chatrath, A., Ramchander, S., Song, F.: The role of futures trading activity in exchange rate volatility. J. Fut. Mark. 16(5), 561–584 (1996)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Grabel, L.: Speculation-led economic development: a post-Keynesian interpretation of financial liberalization programmes in the Third World. Int. Rev. Appl. Econ. 9(2), 127–149 (1995)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Bekaert, G., Harvey, C.: Capital Flows and the Behavior of Emerging Market Equity Returns (1998)

    Google Scholar 

  20. Henry, P.B.: Do stock market liberalizations cause investment booms? J. Finan. Econ. 58(1–2), 301–334 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1016/s0304-405x(00)00073-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Dornbusch, R., Park, Y.C.: Financial integration in a second-best world: are we still sure about our classical prejudices. In: Financial Opening.Policy Lessons for Korea, Korea Institute of Finance, Seoul, Korea (1995)

    Google Scholar 

  22. Radelet, S., Sachs, J.: The onset of the East Asian financial crisis. National bureau of economic research No. w6680 (1998)

    Google Scholar 

  23. Srinivasan, P., Kalaivani, M., Ibrahim, P.: FDI and economic growth in the ASEAN countries: evidence from cointegration approach and causality test. IUP J. Manag. Res. 9(1), 38 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  24. Kaur, M., Dhillon, S.S.: Determinants of foreign institutional investors investment in India. Eurasian J. Bus. Econ. 3(6), 57–70 (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  25. Srinivasan, P., Kalaivani, M.: Determinants of foreign institutional investment in India: an empirical analysis. J. Acad. Res. Econ. 5(3), 77–79 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  26. Malhotra, M., Saraf, P.: Trading behavior and factors influencing foreign institutional investors in the Indian stock market. Int. J. Sci. Res. 5(11), 57–65 (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  27. Jain, P.K., Kuvvet, E., Pagano, M.S.: Corruption’s impact on foreign portfolio investment. Int. Bus. Rev. 26(1), 23–35 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ibusrev.2016.05.004

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Nzete, C.A., Akintunde, Y.W.: Determinants of Foreign Portfolio Investment Volatility and Macroeconomic Stability in Nigeria (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  29. Haider, M.A.: A cross-country comparison of factors affecting foreign portfolio investment in emerging economies: in the case of Bangladesh, China, India, and Pakistan. J. Manag. Sustain. 6(4), 79 (2016). https://doi.org/10.5539/jms.v6n4p79

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Ahmad, F., Draz, M.U., Yang, S.: Determinants of foreign portfolio inflows: analysis and implications for China. Asian J. Finan. Account. 7(2), 66 (2015). https://doi.org/10.5296/ajfa.v7i2.8165

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Garg, R., Dua, P.: Foreign portfolio investment flows to India: determinants and analysis. World Develop. 59, 16–28 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.01.030

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Khan, M.B., Huobao, X., Saleem, H.: Direct impact of inflow of foreign direct investment on poverty reduction in Pakistan: a bonds testing approach. Econ. Res. Ekonomska Istraživanja 32(1), 3647–3666 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677x.2019.1670088

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Ramirez, L.: Relation between inward FDI flows and stock market development: evidence from emerging economies. Finan. Anal. 10, 1658 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  34. Ngwenya, R., Tsaurai, K.: Investigating the Determinants of Foreign Portfolio Investments in Emerging Markets (Dissertation) (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  35. Chukwuemeka, P., Ekeocha, S., Stella, C., Victor, M.: Modelling the long run determinants of foreign portfolio investment in Nigeria. J. Econ. Sustain. Develop. 3(8), 194–205 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  36. Smimou, K.: Consumer attitudes, stock market liquidity, and the macro economy: a Canadian perspective. Int. Rev. Finan. Anal. 33, 186–209 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  37. Prabheesh, K.P., Kumar, S., Shareef, A.O.: Revisiting the impact of foreign portfolio investment on stock market performance during COVID-19 pandemic uncertainty: evidence from India. MethodsX 10, 101988 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mex.2022.101988

    Article  Google Scholar 

  38. Sukmadilaga, C., Santoso, J.C., Ghani, E.K.: Can accounting value relevance and pricing error influence stock price of high-technology service enterprises? Economies 11(2), 48 (2023)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  39. Osiegbu, P.I., Onuorah, A.C.: Fundamentals of Finance. Asaba CM Global Co. Ltd. (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  40. Markowitz, H.: Portfolio selection. J. Finan. 7(1), 77–91 (1952)

    Google Scholar 

  41. Markowitz, H.M., Markowitz, H.M.: Portfolio selection: efficient diversification of investments. J. Wiley. (1967)

    Google Scholar 

  42. Ross, S.A.: The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing. J. Econ. Theory 13, 341–360 (1976)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  43. Ross, S.A.: Return, risk and arbitrage. In: Friend, I., Bicksler, J. (eds.) Risk and Return in Financepp, pp. 189–218. Cambridge, Mass, Ballinger (1976b)

    Google Scholar 

  44. Sharpe, W. F.: Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. J. Fin. 19(3), 425–442 (1964)

    Google Scholar 

  45. Lintner, J.: Security prices, risk, and maximal gains from diversification. J. Finan. 20(4), 587–615 (1965)

    Google Scholar 

  46. Mossin, J.: Equilibrium in a capital asset market. Econometr. J. Econ. Soc. 15, 768–783 (1966)

    Google Scholar 

  47. Duasa, J., Kassim, S.H.: Foreign portfolio investment and economic growth in Malaysia. Pak. Develop. Rev. 128, 109–123 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  48. Edwards, S.: How effective are capital controls? J. Econ. Perspect. 13(4), 65–84 (1999)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  49. Errunza, V.: Foreign portfolio equity investments, financial liberalization, and economic development. Rev. Int. Econ. 9(4), 703–726 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  50. Gujarati, D.N., Porter, D.C.: Basic econometrics. McGraw-Hill (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  51. Dickey, D.A., Fuller, W.A.: Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 74(366a), 427–431

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Sathish Pachiyappan .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2024 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Pachiyappan, S., Kandral, A., Shylaja, H.N., Raj V, J.P., Vellayan, S. (2024). Attention to Economic Factors and Its Response to Foreign Portfolio Investment: An Evidence from Indian Capital Market. In: Alareeni, B., Elgedawy, I. (eds) AI and Business, and Innovation Research: Understanding the Potential and Risks of AI for Modern Enterprises. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, vol 440. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-42085-6_57

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-42085-6_57

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-031-42084-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-031-42085-6

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics