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Advances in Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Fixed-Effects Binary Panel Data Models

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Trends and Challenges in Categorical Data Analysis

Abstract

We review recent fixed-effects approaches to the formulation and estimation of models for binary panel data, measured at T time occasions. We offer a unified framework for the two main streams of literature dealing with the inconsistency of the Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimator due to incidental parameters, namely target-corrected and Conditional ML (CML) estimators, including a recent Pseudo CML (PCML) estimator. While the former ones are general and not model specific, they are not fixed-T consistent and, in particular, have a bias of order O(T−2). The finite sample behavior of the latest contributions is compared by means of an extensive simulation study for the dynamic logit model. It results that the PCML estimator outperforms target corrected estimators in finite samples, especially when T ≤ 8. Further, the comparison is extended to a real data application concerning female labor supply.

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Acknowledgements

F. Bartolucci acknowledges the financial support from the grant “Partial effects in econometric models for binary longitudinal data based on quadratic exponential distributions” of the University of Perugia (RICBASE2018).

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Correspondence to Francesco Valentini .

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Appendix

Appendix

This appendix reports the additional results concerning the Monte Carlo simulation experiment described in Sect. 9.7 (Tables 9.5, 9.6, 9.7, 9.8, 9.9, 9.10, 9.11 and 9.12).

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Valentini, F., Pigini, C., Bartolucci, F. (2023). Advances in Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Fixed-Effects Binary Panel Data Models. In: Kateri, M., Moustaki, I. (eds) Trends and Challenges in Categorical Data Analysis. Statistics for Social and Behavioral Sciences. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-31186-4_9

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