Skip to main content

Collected Plastic Waste Forecasting by 2050

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Plastic Waste Treatment and Management

Part of the book series: Engineering Materials ((ENG.MAT.))

  • 263 Accesses

Abstract

The public's attention has been drawn to the severe increase of plastic waste. Researchers from many sectors are working to develop various solutions for plastic waste treatment and management. Exact forecasting and estimation of collected plastic waste helps decision makers to take efficient policies for recycling, treatment or disposal of different types of plastic waste. Estimation is an important tool for making informed decisions. Regardless of the size and profile of the company, forecasting helps the organization's management predict the trend of important indicators. Different statistical algorithms and machine learning methods are utilized to assess the future trends in light of historical data and current patterns. In this chapter, different regression models and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) techniques are used to forecast the collected plastic waste by 2050.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 149.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 199.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 199.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Dunmire, P.L.: Knowing and controlling the future: a review of futurology. Prose Stud. 32(3), 240–263 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Nkwachukwu, O.I., Chima, C.H., Ikenna, A.O., Albert, L.: Focus on potential environmental issues on plastic world towards a sustainable plastic recycling in developing countries. Int. J. Ind. Chem. 4(1), 1–13 (2013)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Lebreton, L., Andrady, A.: Future scenarios of global plastic waste generation and disposal. Palgrave Commun. 5(1), 1–11 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Plastics Europe. Plastics-The Facts: An analysis of European plastics production, demand and waste data (2020)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Cimpan, C., Bjelle, E.L., Strømman, A.H.: Plastic packaging flows in Europe: a hybrid input-output approach. J. Ind. Ecol. 25(6), 1572–1587 (2021)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Bernardo, C.A., Simões, C.L., Pinto, L.M.C.: Environmental and economic life cycle analysis of plastic waste management options. A review. AIP Conf. Proc. 1779(1), 140001 (2016). AIP Publishing LLC

    Google Scholar 

  7. Geyer, R., Jambeck, J.R., Law, K.L.: Production, use, and fate of all plastics ever made. Sci. Adv. 3(7), 1700782 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Kaza, S., Yao, L., Bhada-Tata, P., Van Woerden, F.: What a Waste 2.0: A Global Snapshot of Solid Waste Management to 2050. World Bank Publications (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Luan, X., Kou, X., Zhang, L., Chen, L., Liu, W., Cui, Z.: Estimation and prediction of plastic losses to the environment in China from 1950 to 2050. Resour. Conserv. Recycl. 184, 106386 (2022)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  10. Ghinea, C., Drăgoi, E.N., Comăniţă, E.D., Gavrilescu, M., Câmpean, T., Curteanu, S.I.L.V.I.A., Gavrilescu, M.: Forecasting municipal solid waste generation using prognostic tools and regression analysis. J. Environ. Manage. 182, 80–93 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Siegel, A.F.: Chapter 14-time series: understanding changes over time. In: Practical Business statistics, pp. 431–66 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Reid, J.P., Proctor, R.S., Sigman, M.S., Phipps, R.J.: Predictive multivariate linear regression analysis guides successful catalytic enantioselective Minisci reactions of diazines. J. Am. Chem. Soc. 141(48), 19178–19185 (2019)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  13. De Menezes, D.Q.F., Prata, D.M., Secchi, A.R., Pinto, J.C.: A review on robust M-estimators for regression analysis. Comput. Chem. Eng. 147, 107254 (2021)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Rath, S., Tripathy, A., Tripathy, A.R.: Prediction of new active cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic using multiple linear regression model. Diabetes Metab. Syndr. 14(5), 1467–1474 (2020)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Lakshmi, J.V.N.: Stochastic gradient descent using linear regression with python. Int. J. Adv. Eng. Res. Appl. 2(7), 519–524 (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Gelman, A., Goodrich, B., Gabry, J., Vehtari, A.: R-squared for Bayesian regression models. Am. Stat. (2019)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Chicco, D., Warrens, M.J., Jurman, G.: The coefficient of determination R-squared is more informative than SMAPE, MAE, MAPE, MSE and RMSE in regression analysis evaluation. PeerJ Comput. Sci. 7, 623 (2021)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Ajona, M., Vasanthi, P., Vijayan, D.S.: Application of multiple linear and polynomial regression in the sustainable biodegradation process of crude oil. Sustain. Energy Technol. Assess. 54, 102797 (2022)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Calonico, S., Cattaneo, M.D., Farrell, M.H.: Coverage error optimal confidence intervals for local polynomial regression. Bernoulli 28(4), 2998–3022 (2022)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Qiu, S., Dooley, L.M., Xie, L.: How servant leadership and self-efficacy interact to affect service quality in the hospitality industry: a polynomial regression with response surface analysis. Tour. Manage. 78, 104051 (2020)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Satrio, C.B.A., Darmawan, W., Nadia, B.U., Hanafiah, N.: Time series analysis and forecasting of coronavirus disease in Indonesia using ARIMA model and PROPHET. Procedia Comput. Sci. 179, 524–532 (2021)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Alsharif, M.H., Younes, M.K., Kim, J.: Time series ARIMA model for prediction of daily and monthly average global solar radiation: the case study of Seoul, South Korea. Symmetry 11(2), 240 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Lazarevic, D., Aoustin, E., Buclet, N., Brandt, N.: Plastic waste management in the context of a European recycling society: comparing results and uncertainties in a life cycle perspective. Resour. Conserv. Recycl. 55(2), 246–259 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Kumagai, S., Nakatani, J., Saito, Y., Fukushima, Y., Yoshioka, T.: Latest trends and challenges in feedstock recycling of polyolefinic plastics. J. Jpn. Petrol. Inst. 63(6), 345–364 (2020)

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Reza Babazade .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Gharibi, A.R., Babazade, R., Hasanzadeh, R. (2023). Collected Plastic Waste Forecasting by 2050. In: Hasanzadeh, R., Mojaver, P. (eds) Plastic Waste Treatment and Management. Engineering Materials. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-31160-4_2

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics