Skip to main content

Seasonal Weather Sensitivity of Staple Crop Rice in South India

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Water Energy Food and Sustainability (ICoWEFS 2022) (ICoWEFS 2022)

Abstract

The paper examines the effect of seasonal weather variability and extremes on the mean and variance of rice yield in south India for 1990–2017. The Just and Pope stochastic production function is adopted to assess the extensive district-level data with linear and non-linear specifications. Estimation results based on feasible generalized least square method indicate that average yield and yield variability are climate-sensitive and seasonal weather variation and shock significantly influence rice production. Mean yield is observed to be primarily affected by changes in evapotranspiration and minimum temperature across seasons. Further, the minimum temperature parameter above normal is marked as a risk-increasing weather input for rice during the winter season. Countering adversities of climate change through coping strategies, region-specific policies, federal programmes and support are therefore recommended, thus pivotal for state-wide rice production and food security by extension.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 149.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 199.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Fofana, I.: Simulating the impact of climate change and adaptation strategies on farm productivity and income, a bio-economic analysis. IFPRI (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Bodirsky, B.L., Rolinski, S., Biewald, A., Weindl, I., Popp, A., Lotze-Campen, H.: Global food demand scenarios for the 21st century. PLoS One 10 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0139201

  3. Alexandratos, N., Bruinsma, J.: World agriculture towards 2030/2050: the 2012 revision. FAO (2012). https://doi.org/10.22004/ag.econ.288998

  4. Ten Berge, H.F.M., et al.: Maize crop nutrient input requirements for food security in sub-Saharan Africa. Global Food Secur. 23, 9–21 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2019.02.001

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Sridhar, D.: Hungry for change: the World Bank in India. South Asia Res. 28, 147–168 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1177/026272800802800202

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. United Nations: India: Nutrition and food security. https://in.one.un.org/un-priority-areas-in-india/nutrition-and-food-security/. Accessed 09 Mar 2022

  7. Debnath, D., Babu, S., Ghosh, P., Helmar, M.: The impact of India’s food security policy on domestic and international rice market. J. Policy Model. 40, 265–283 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2017.08.006

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Bhambure, A.B., Kerkar, S.: Traditionally cultivated rice varieties in coastal saline soils of India (2016)

    Google Scholar 

  9. Das, K., Baruah, K.K.: A comparison of growth and photosynthetic characteristics of two improved rice cultivars on methane emission from rainfed agroecosystem of northeast India. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 124, 105–113 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2007.09.007

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  10. Kumar, K.S.K.: Climate sensitivity of Indian agriculture. Madras School of Economics, Chennai (2009)

    Google Scholar 

  11. Mendelsohn, R., Dinar, A., Williams, L.: The distributional impact of climate change on rich and poor countries. Environ. Dev. Econ. 11, 159–178 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1017/S1355770X05002755

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. Birthal, P., Khan, M.T., Negi, D., Agarwal, S.: Impact of climate change on yields of major food crops in India: implications for food security. Agricultural Economics Research Review. 27, (2014).

    Google Scholar 

  13. Pattanayak, A., Kumar, K.S.K.: Weather sensitivity of rice yield: evidence from India. Clim. Change Econ. 05, 1450011 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007814500110

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Gupta, S., Sen, P., Srinivasan, S.: Impact of climate change on the Indian economy: evidence from food grain yields. Clim. Change Econ. 05, 1450001 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1142/S2010007814500018

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Krishnamurthy, C.K.B.: The distributional impacts of climate change on Indian agriculture: a quantile regression approach. Madras School of Economics, Chennai (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Vidhya, S., Murthy, I.K.: District-level changes in climate: historical climate and climate change projections for the southern states of India. CSTEP (2022)

    Google Scholar 

  17. Geethalakshmi, V., et al.: Climate change impact assessment and adaptation strategies to sustain rice production in Cauvery basin of Tamil Nadu. Curr. Sci. 101, 342–347 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  18. Saravanakumar, V.: Impact of climate change on yield of major food crops in Tamil Nadu. SANDEE, India (2015)

    Google Scholar 

  19. Srivani, O., Geethalakshmi, V., Jagannathan, R., Bhuvaneswari, K., Guruswamy, L.: Impact of future climate change on growth and productivity of rice crop in Tamil Nadu. Asian J. Agric. Res. 1, 119–124 (2007). https://doi.org/10.3923/AJAR.2007.119.124

    Article  Google Scholar 

  20. Samiappan, S., Hariharasubramanian, A., Venkataraman, P., Jan, H., Narasimhan, B.: Impact of regional climate model projected changes on rice yield over southern India. Int. J. Climatol. 38, 2838–2851 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5466

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Padakandla, S.R.: Climate sensitivity of crop yields in the former state of Andhra Pradesh. India. Ecol. Ind. 70, 431–438 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.06.008

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Barnwal, P., Kotani, K.: Impact of variation in climatic factors on crop yield: a case of rice crop in Andhra Pradesh, India. IUG Research Institute, International University of Japan (2010)

    Google Scholar 

  23. Varghese, S.J., Surendran, S., Ajithkumar, B., Rajendran, K., Kitoh, A.: Future changes in rice yield over Kerala using climate change scenario from high resolution global climate model projection. J. Earth Syst. Sci. 129, 192 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12040-020-01459-0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Saseendran, S.A., Singh, K.K., Rathore, L.S., Singh, S.V., Sinha, S.K.: Effects of climate change on rice production in the tropical humid climate of Kerala. India Clim. Change 44, 495–514 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1005542414134

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Kumar, H.M.V., Shivamurthy, M., Lunagaria, M.M.: Impact of rainfall variability and trend on rice yield in coastal Karnataka. J. Agrometeorol. 19, 286–287 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Murari, K.K., Mahato, S., Jayaraman, T., Swaminathan, M.: Extreme temperatures and crop yields in Karnataka. India J. 8, 92–114 (2018)

    Google Scholar 

  27. Guntukula, R., Goyari, P.: Climate change effects on the crop yield and its variability in Telangana. India Stud. Microecon. 8, 119–148 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1177/2321022220923197

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. Parida, Y., Dash, D.P., Bhardwaj, P., Chowdhury, J.R.: Effects of drought and flood on farmer suicides in Indian states: an empirical analysis. Econ. Disasters Climate Change 2, 159–180 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41885-018-0023-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Tada, D.P.R.: Distress and the deceased; farmers suicides in Andhra Pradesh; a plausible solution. IUP J. Appl. Econ. 3, 47–59 (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  30. Soora, N.K., Aggarwal, P.K., Saxena, R., Rani, S., Jain, S., Chauhan, N.: An assessment of regional vulnerability of rice to climate change in India. Clim. Change 118, 683–699 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-0698-3

    Article  Google Scholar 

  31. Debnath, S., Mishra, A., Mailapalli, D.R., Raghuwanshi, N.S., Sridhar, V.: Assessment of rice yield gap under a changing climate in India. J. Water Clim. Change 12, 1245–1267 (2020). https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2020.086

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Verma, S., Gupta, S., Sen, P.: Does climate change make foodgrain yields more unpredictable? evidence from India. CESifo (2020)

    Google Scholar 

  33. Just, R.E., Pope, R.D.: Stochastic specification of production functions and economic implications. J. Economet. 7, 67–86 (1978). https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(78)90006-4

    Article  Google Scholar 

  34. Just, R.E., Pope, R.D.: Production function estimation and related risk considerations. Am. J. Agric. Econ. 61, 276–284 (1979). https://doi.org/10.2307/1239732

    Article  Google Scholar 

  35. Arshad, M., Amjath-Babu, T.S., Krupnik, T.J., Aravindakshan, S., Abbas, A., Kächele, H., Müller, K.: Climate variability and yield risk in South Asia’s rice–wheat systems: emerging evidence from Pakistan. Paddy Water Environ. 15, 249–261 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10333-016-0544-0

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Arumugam, S., KR, A., Kulshreshtha., S.N., Vellangany, I., Govindasamy, R.: Yield variability in rainfed crops as influenced by climate variables: a micro level investigation into agro-climatic zones of Tamil Nadu, India. Int. J. Clim. Change Strat. Manag. 7, 442–459 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM-08-2013-0096.

  37. Poudel, M., Chen, S.-E., Huang, W.-C.: Climate influence on rice, maize and wheat yields and yield variability in Nepal. J. Agric. Sci. Technol. B. 4, 38–48 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  38. Piesse, J., Thirtle, C.: Three bubbles and a panic: an explanatory review of recent food commodity price events. Food Policy 34, 119–129 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2009.01.001

    Article  Google Scholar 

  39. Jasna, V.K., Som, S., Roy Burman, R., Padaria, R., Sharma, J.: Socio economic impact of climate resilient technologies. Int. J. Agric. Food Sci. Technol. 5, 185–190 (2014)

    Google Scholar 

  40. Sanglestsawai, S., Rodriguez, D.G.P., Rejesus, R.M., Yorobe, J.M.: Production risk, farmer welfare, and Bt corn in the Philippines. Agric. Res. Econ. Rev. 46, 507–528 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1017/age.2017.1

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Souryabrata Mohapatra .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Appendix

Appendix

Table 1. (Variable labels)
Table 2. (Descriptive statistics and stationarity check)
Table 3. (Diagnostics tests)
Table 4. (Panel regression estimation)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Mohapatra, S., Sharp, B., Sahoo, A.K., Sahoo, D. (2023). Seasonal Weather Sensitivity of Staple Crop Rice in South India. In: Duque de Brito, P.S., et al. Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Water Energy Food and Sustainability (ICoWEFS 2022). ICoWEFS 2022. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-26849-6_15

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics