Abstract
This chapter quantifies the effects of climate shocks on coffee yields within the ICGE framework. Although macro-results tend to be relatively small, they are very heterogeneous among sectors and regions. Even though the climate shock initially affects areas where coffee is grown, the most positively affected sector in the new equilibrium is coffee processing due to its interindustry chaining in the Colombian. Elevation plays a significant role in this simulation: Lower regions may become unsuitable for coffee, whereas Andean regions will potentially experience a sharp increase in productivity for this crop. The chapter concludes with a discussion of the implications of these results for current producing regions, especially in terms of their labor force.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
A laboratory in the Earth Sciences Division of the Goddard Space Flight Center from the North American Space Agency (NASA) affiliated with the Columbia University Earth.
- 2.
- 3.
- 4.
Data visualization tool built at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government powered by Harvard Growth Lab that allows users to explore global trade flows across markets and track these dynamics over time.
- 5.
Organization whose primary goal is to conduct scientific research on climate change and inform the public of its key findings in order to provide decision-makers with adequate information on how to counter the coming hindrances of such phenomenon and aid them by prescribing policies to avoid those hardships.
- 6.
GHG concentration trajectories adopted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
- 7.
Climate model composed of a mathematical algorithm simulating the general circulation of planetary atmosphere or ocean.
References
Bunn, C., Läderach, P., Rivera, O. O., & Kirschke, D. (2015). A bitter cup: Climate change profile of global production of Arabica and Robusta coffee. Climatic Change, 89–101.
Ceballos-Sierra, F., & Dall’Erba, S. (2021). The effect of climate variability on Colombian coffee productivity: A dynamic panel approach. Agricultural Systems, 190, 103–126.
Clarke, R. J., & Macrae, R. (Eds.). (2012). Coffee: Technology (vol. 2). Elsevier Applied Science.
Cook, J., Oreskes, N., Doran, P., Anderegg, W., Verheggen, B., Maibach, E., & Rice, K. (2016). Consensus on consensus: A synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming. Environmental Research Letters, 11(4), 048002.
Lynas, M., Houlton, B., & Perry, S. (2021). Greater than 99% consensus on human caused climate change in the peer-reviewed scientific literature. Environmental Research Letters, 16(11), 114005.
Myers, K., Doran, P., Cook, J., Kotcher, J., & Myers, T. (2021). Consensus revisited: Quantifying scientific agreement on climate change and climate expertise among Earth scientists 10 years later. Environmental Research Letters, 16(10), 104030.
Ocampo, J. A. (2015). Una breve historia cafetera de Colombia, 1830–1958. In J. A. Ocampo (Ed.). Café, industria y macroeconomía: Ensayos de historia económica colombiana (Primeira edición ed., pp. 59–106). FCE, Banco de la República.
Palacios, M. (2009). El café en Colombia, 1850-1970. Una historia económica, social y política (Cuarta edición ed.). El Colegio de México
Ritchie, H., Roser, M., & Rosado, P. (2020). CO2 and Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Retrieved from Our World in Data. Available at: https://ourworldindata.org/co2-and-other-greenhouse-gas-emissions
United Nations. (2022). UN Comtrade. Retrieved from UN Comtrade Database. Available at: https://comtrade.un.org/
Watts, C. (2016). A Brewing Storm: The Climate Change Risks to Coffee. The Climate Institute.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2023 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Sayon, P.L., Otero-Cortés, A., Ceballos-Sierra, F., Haddad, E.A. (2023). Boiling Hot! Economy-Wide Impacts of Climate Change on Colombian Coffee Yields. In: Haddad, E.A., Bonet, J., Hewings, G.J.D. (eds) The Colombian Economy and Its Regional Structural Challenges. Advances in Spatial Science. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-22653-3_13
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-22653-3_13
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-031-22652-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-031-22653-3
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)