Abstract
The spatio-temporal characteristics of urban growth in the Indian-Gangetic planes (IGP) using night-time light (NTL) data sets have been studied in the present chapter. The study proposes to use Mann–Kendall’s (MK) test and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) (S-Mode) for urban area extraction from NTL data sets in place of traditional thresholding techniques. The urban areas extracted using MK test and PCA (S-Mode) had 0.92 accuracy when evaluated using area under curve (AUC–ROC) method. Subsequently, urban areas of year 2000 and 2018 were extracted using the MK test and PCA (S-Mode). Using NTL extracted urban areas of year 2000 and 2018 and other thematic layers as input variables, three machine learning algorithms (i.e. artificial neural network, decision tree, and logistic regression)-based cellular automata models were executed for predicting the urban growth in year 2028. The model calibration results were evaluated using spatial metrics and it was found that artificial neural networks-based CA model gave the best simulation result. Thus, the present study provides a methodology for understanding spatio-temporal characteristics of urban areas at the regional scale using of NTL data (which is freely available in public domain).
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Maithani, S., Shankar, H.N. (2023). Studying Urban Growth Dynamics in Indo-Gangetic Plain. In: Rahman, A., Sen Roy, S., Talukdar, S., Shahfahad (eds) Advancements in Urban Environmental Studies. GIScience and Geo-environmental Modelling. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-21587-2_7
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