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Scientific Evidence in Policy Processes: Concepts and Histories

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Science in Negotiation

Part of the book series: Sustainable Development Goals Series ((SDGS))

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Abstract

Although there are countless examples of science informing policy over the nineteenth and twentieth century, theory relating to how this process happens has evolved significantly in recent years. Today there are three dominant schools of thought which consider how evidence can be used to inform policy outcomes; political science, decision-making theory, and policy studies. Political science emphasises the design of evidence, through classical models of social enquiry, as fundamental to ensuring political impact (Green 2005). Decision-science or decision-making theory emphasises the processes of deliberation and contestation through which decisions are reached thereby highlighting potential entry points at which evidence can be presented (Goldie et al. 2006). Meanwhile policy studies emphasises the process of policy formulation, with models ranging from decade-long cycles, to messy non-linear processes of coalitions weighing-up evidence inputs, beliefs, and political influences to design and advocate for interventions (Sabatier 1988; Cairney 2013). The most expansive literature on evidence to policy-uptake stems from the field of policy studies referred to as Evidence-Based or Evidence-Informed Policy (EBP / EIP), which has borrowed heavily from the evidence-based practice movement which started in medical research.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    See, for example, statements made by the UN Secretary General, the 2016 report of the UNESCO Scientific Advisory Board and guidance recently issued for countries on the importance of national science-policy interfaces (UNSG, 2021; UNESCO, 2016; UNDESA, 2021).

  2. 2.

    Russell cites J. M. Keynes’s Treatise on Probability (1921) which explains that ‘having experienced A and B together frequently, we now react to A as we originally reacted to B. To make this seem rational, we say that A is a “sign” of B, and that B must really be present though out of sight. This is the principle of induction, upon which almost all science is based. And a great deal of philosophy is an attempt to make the principle seem reasonable. Whenever, owing to past experience, we react to A in the manner in which we originally reacted to B, we may say that A is a “datum” and B is “inferred”. In this sense, animals practice inference. It is clear, also, that much inference of this sort is fallacious: the conjunction of A and B in past experience may have been accidental’ (Russell, 1926a).

  3. 3.

    ‘Since the first United Nations Conference on Environment and Development in 1992 – known as the Earth Summit – it was recognised that achieving sustainable development would require the active participation of all sectors of society and all types of people. Agenda 21, adopted at the Earth Summit, drew upon this sentiment and formalised nine sectors of society as the main channels through which broad participation would be facilitated in UN activities related to sustainable development. These are officially called ‘Major Groups’ and include the following sectors: ‘Women, Children and Youth, Indigenous Peoples, Non-Governmental Organisations, Local Authorities, Workers and Trade Unions, Business and Industry, Scientific and Technological Community, and Farmers.’ UN (2020) https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/majorgroups/about (Last accessed 7 May 2020).

  4. 4.

    As noted by behavioural economists Gilad, Kaish and Loeb as early as 1984.

  5. 5.

    As noted by Algers (2014), ‘During public meetings, members of NGOs have access to representatives of states and members of secretariats in corridors, in meeting rooms, and in various eating and drinking facilities at these headquarters… NGOs with formal consultative status, and also many others, have access to “diplomats” in these parliamentary headquarters that is not equaled in the capitals of the state system’ (Alger, 2014; 112).

  6. 6.

    Previously referred to as ‘knowledge intermediaries’ (Jones et al., 2013).

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Espey, J. (2023). Scientific Evidence in Policy Processes: Concepts and Histories. In: Science in Negotiation. Sustainable Development Goals Series. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-18126-9_2

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