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Alternative CAPM Specifications

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Investment Valuation and Asset Pricing

Abstract

Weak early empirical evidence with respect to the CAPM inspired a variety of alternative forms proposed by researchers to take into account realistic aspects of capital markets not considered in its original form. In the last chapter we covered Black’s (1972) zero-beta CAPM allowing short sales and borrowing at rates greater than the riskless rate. Here we review further extensions of the CAPM, including the foundational and more general intertemporal CAPM (ICAPM) which spawned a number of new models such as the international asset pricing model (IAPM), consumption CAPM (CCAPM), production CAPM (PCAPM), and conditional CAPM.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Merton cited Fama (1970), who had observed that intertemporal portfolio maximization can be treated as if the investor had a single-period utility function.

  2. 2.

    Browning motion in physics is the random motion of particles.

  3. 3.

    See equation (34) in Merton (1973, p. 882). The derivation of this model is quite complicated and beyond the scope of the present text. He utilized stochastic differential calculus, complex continuous functions, instantaneous returns (as opposed to discrete one-period returns), and optimality conditions to solve the asset pricing problem.

  4. 4.

    For an excellent survey of the issue of domestic (local) versus global asset pricing, see Karolyi and Stulz (2002).

  5. 5.

    If \(R_{xt}>0\), we can infer a depreciation of the dollar against the euro, as each euro can buy more dollars at time t than before at time \(t-1\). If \(R_{xt}<0\), then the dollar appreciated against the euro.

  6. 6.

    A more widely used currency basket by the IMF is the Special Drawing Right (SDR) consisting of currencies in the United States, Europe, Japan, and the United Kingdom. The Federal Reserve in the United States constructs a number of other currency baskets. In general, currency baskets are formed using trade weights of the different exchange rates.

  7. 7.

    Also, he tested a five-factor model by Chen et al. (1986) that contains the growth in industrial production and some inflation and interest rate variables. Like the CAPM, the performance of this multifactor model was similar to the PCAPM.

  8. 8.

    See also Cochrane (2005, Section 8.4).

  9. 9.

    Beyond the scope of the present discussion, a first-order Taylor series can be used to approximate the potentially complex effects of an instrument on factor loadings. Taylor series are well known in the sciences and represent an infinite sum of derivatives of a mathematical function at a single point.

  10. 10.

    Simin (2008) also found that conditional versions of the CAPM and Fama and French three-factor model did not outperform their unconditional versions in terms of one-month-ahead cross-sectional tests of their predictive ability.

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Correspondence to James W. Kolari .

6.1 Electronic supplementary material

Appendices

Questions

  1. 1.

    Merton (1973) developed the intertemporal CAPM (ICAPM). What is different about the ICAPM compared to the CAPM? What new assumption does it make?

  2. 2.

    In the ICAPM, how do investors respond to unfavorable shifts in future investment opportunities? What are state variables?

  3. 3.

    In the ICAPM, what is the three-fund theorem? In view of this theorem, write the equation for the ICAPM.

  4. 4.

    In the ICAPM, if correlations \(\rho _{iN} = 0\) for all securities i, which also implies that \(\rho _{NM} = 0\) (where M is the market portfolio), but \(r_N\) is perfectly negatively correlated with \(R_f\) (which is true by definition), the correlations of stocks with the future riskless rate would be zero. What happens to the ICAPM is this special case? What is the beta of security N in this case? Is N related to the zero-beta portfolio of Black in this case? If the market beta \(\beta _{i,M} = 0\) but \(\beta _{i,N}>0\), is the expected return on the i asset equal to the riskless rate?

  5. 5.

    Solnik (1974) proposed an international asset pricing model (IAPM) based on an international three-fund theorem. What is this theorem and how does it change the CAPM? Write the equation for the IAPM and discuss Solnik’s model.

  6. 6.

    How did Adler and Dumas (1984) define currency risk? How is currency risk different than exchange rate risk? How did they propose to measure the exchange risk exposure of a security? Write an equation that can be used to measure this exposure.

  7. 7.

    Jorion (1990) investigated the exchange risk exposure of U.S. stocks. He modified the total exchange risk exposure equation of Adler and Dumas (1984) in what way? What did he find?

  8. 8.

    Lucas (1978) and Breeden (1979) proposed the consumption CAPM (CCAPM) using the ICAPM framework of Merton (1973). In this model, consumers buy and sell financial assets over time to smooth consumption and maximize lifetime expected utility. What assets will consumers seek? Why? How does it affect the risk premiums on these assets? What happens to other assets?

  9. 9.

    Breeden (1979) specified a CCAPM that collapses the multi-beta Merton (1973) ICAPM into a single-beta equation. Write this model and define its variables and parameters. Why did he believe that the CCAPM was a better model than the CAPM from a theoretical perspective as well as in terms of empirical testing? Later work by Breeden et al. (1989) conducted empirical tests of the CCAPM. What did they find?

  10. 10.

    Cochrane (1991, 1996) created a production CAPM (PCAPM). How is the PCAPM different from the consumption CAPM (CCAPM)? He tested it using a single factor model. Write the equation for this model and discuss his results. What did he conclude?

  11. 11.

    Assume that we scale the market factor with an instrumental lagged variable denoted as \(I_{t-1}\). Write a conditional (time-varying) linear function for beta and define its terms. Assuming that the alpha term is conditional also, incorporate this instrument into the market model and discuss the parameters in this conditional form of the market model.

  12. 12.

    Does time-variation in beta explain the weak evidence for the CAPM? Discuss empirical results of studies testing conditional CAPMs.

Problems

  1. 1.

    Write the ICAPM as a multifactor model with state variables. What could be used to proxy for the state variables?

  2. 2.

    Write the market model form of Solnik’s IAPM. Solnik ran this model on 10 major industrialized countries from 1966 to 1971. What did he find? What did cross-sectional regression tests find? What did later authors find in testing the IAPM?

  3. 3.

    Assume that you are a U.S. investor buying a European stock:

    1. 1.

      You exchange 100 dollars for 90 euros at the exchange rate 1 USD = 0.90 EUR or 1 EUR = 1.11 USD.

    2. 2.

      You buy 10 shares of a European stock for 90 euros.

    3. 3.

      One year later you sell the European stock for 100 euros. You exchange the 100 euros for 120 dollars at the exchange rate 1 USD = 0.83 EUR or 1 EUR = 1.20 USD.

    What is your stock rate of return? What is your euro rate of return? What is your total return?

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Kolari, J.W., Pynnönen, S. (2023). Alternative CAPM Specifications. In: Investment Valuation and Asset Pricing. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-16784-3_6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-16784-3_6

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