Modeling Covarying Responses in Complex Tasks

Abstract

In testing situations, participants are often asked for supplementary responses in addition to the primary response of interest, which may include quantities like confidence or reported difficulty. These additional responses can be incorporated into a psychometric model either as a predictor of the main response or as a secondary response. In this paper we explore both of these approaches for incorporating participant’s reported difficulty into a psychometric model using an error rate study of fingerprint examiners. Participants were asked to analyze print pairs and make determinations about the source, which can be scored as correct or incorrect decisions. Additionally, participants were asked to report the difficulty of the print pair on a five point scale. In this paper, we model (a) the responses of individual examiners without incorporating reported difficulty using a Rasch model, (b) the responses using their reported difficulty as a predictor, and (c) the responses and their reported difficulty as a multivariate response variable. We find that approach (c) results in more balanced classification errors, but incorporating reported difficulty using either approach does not lead to substantive changes in proficiency or difficulty estimates. These results suggest that, while there are individual differences in reported difficulty, these differences appear to be unrelated to examiners’ proficiency in correctly distinguishing matched from non-matched fingerprints.

Keywords

This work was partially funded by the Center for Statistics and Applications in Forensic Evidence (CSAFE) through Cooperative Agreements 70NANB15H176 and 70NANB20H019 between NIST and Iowa State University, which includes activities carried out at Carnegie Mellon University, Duke University, University of California Irvine, University of Virginia, West Virginia University, University of Pennsylvania, Swarthmore College and University of Nebraska, Lincoln.