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Bayesian Regression Model Estimation: A Road Safety Aspect

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Innovations in Smart Cities Applications Volume 5 (SCA 2021)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems ((LNNS,volume 393))

Abstract

In recent years, people have often settled in suburban communities around large cities. Mobility is usually identified with one’s own means of transport, which provides access to work or shopping. In the era of urban development, it is important to analyze the impact of various features on the safety of city and region inhabitants. With help come modern theories from computer science and statistics that can be applied in practice through formalized notation. Then, it becomes possible, in the long perspective, to increase the safety of road users. The aim of this paper is to analyze the influence of various characteristics based on a large testing ground (all national roads in the Świętokrzyskie Voivodeship). The Bayesian regression model for road accidents was evaluated based on actual data of road incidents that occurred in Poland, in the Świętokrzyskie Voivodeship, in 1999–2012. Logistic regression analysis was used to create the Bayesian model. The a posteriori distributions of the random variables of the model were obtained using a sampling Monte Carlo method based on Markov chains. In addition, the paper presents the selected possibilities of using the SAS system in supporting data analysis.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Social Academy of Sciences in Kielce, 15 Peryferyjna Str., 25-562, Kielce, Poland

    Magda Marek

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  1. Magda Marek
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Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Computer Engineering Department, Abdelmalek Essaadi University, Tangier, Morocco

    Mohamed Ben Ahmed

  2. Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Computer Engineering Department, Abdelmalek Essaadi University, Tangier, Morocco

    Anouar Abdelhakim Boudhir

  3. Computer Engineering Department, Karabük University, Karabük, Turkey

    İsmail Rakıp Karaș

  4. Operations and Supply Chain Management, Wellington School of Business and Govern, Wellington, Wellington, New Zealand

    Vipul Jain

  5. Département Des Systèmes d'Information Organisationnels, Faculty of Business Administration. Laval University, Québec, QC, Canada

    Sehl Mellouli

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Marek, M. (2022). Bayesian Regression Model Estimation: A Road Safety Aspect. In: Ben Ahmed, M., Boudhir, A.A., Karaș, İ.R., Jain, V., Mellouli, S. (eds) Innovations in Smart Cities Applications Volume 5. SCA 2021. Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, vol 393. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-94191-8_13

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-94191-8_13

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  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-94190-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-94191-8

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

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