Abstract
The evolution of cities is modelled by developing a software to simulate the effects of agglomeration economies and transportation planning in the very long term. The cities’ complexity is modeled with VLT-LUT, a tool that simulates the evolution of land use and transportation and their interaction, in a time span of 300 years, or from 1 to 29 million inhabitants, based on urban microeconomic theory and market equilibrium. Preliminary simulation results on an artificial city include the impact of exogenous scenarios of road network evolution and of the agents’ perception of agglomeration economies, observing the evolution of land-use forms and the city size. Another result is that land rents evolve super-linearly with population, in line with previous empirical and theoretical research, but its strength is differentiated by scenario.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Alonso, W.: Location and Land Use. Harvard University Press, Cambridge (1964)
Baillon, J.B., Cominetti, R.: Markovian traffic equilibrium. Math. Program. 111(1), 33–56 (2008)
Mcgill, S.M.: Theoretical properties of biproportional matrix adjustments. Environ. Plan. A 9, 687–701 (1977)
Martínez, F.J.: Cities’ power laws: the stochastic scaling factor. Environ. Plan. B Plan. Des. 43, 257–275 (2015)
Martínez, F.J.: Microeconomic Modeling in Urban Science. Academic Press, Cambridge (2018)
Pagliara, F., Preston, J., Simmonds, D.: Residential Location Choice. Springer, Heidelberg (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-12788-5
SECTRA-MIDEPLAN, R.: Construcción de planes estratégicos de desarrollo del S.T.U. del Gran Valparaíso, IV etapa. Biblioteca SECTRA (2003)
SECTRA-MIDEPLAN, R.: Análisis, desarrollo y evaluación de proyectos urbanos. III etapa. Efectos urbanos futuros en Santiago EFFUS. Biblioteca SECTRA (2008)
West, G.B.: The origin of universal scaling laws in biology. Physica A 263(1), 101–113 (1999)
West, G.B.: Scale: The Universal Laws of Life and Death in Organisms, Cities and Companies. Hachette UK (2017)
West, G.B., Brown, J., Enquist, B.: The fourth dimension of life: fractal geometry and allometric scaling of organisms. Science 284(5420), 1677–1679 (1999)
West, G.B., Brown, J., Enquist, B.: A general model for ontogenic growth. Nature 413, 628–31 (2001)
Acknowledgement
The authors gratefully acknowledge financial support from ISCI: grant ANID PIA/APOYO AFB180003.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Castillo, A., Martínez, F., Donoso, P., Gutiérrez, L., de la Paz Guala, R. (2022). VLT-LUT: Modeling the Very Long-Term Evolution of the City in 300 Years. In: Benito, R.M., Cherifi, C., Cherifi, H., Moro, E., Rocha, L.M., Sales-Pardo, M. (eds) Complex Networks & Their Applications X. COMPLEX NETWORKS 2021. Studies in Computational Intelligence, vol 1073. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-93413-2_65
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-93413-2_65
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-93412-5
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-93413-2
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)