Skip to main content

The Maldives

The 2014–2016 El Niño in the Maldives: Climate, Impacts, and Response

  • 281 Accesses

Part of the Disaster Studies and Management book series (DSDM)

Abstract

Sitting atop an oceanic ridge running from the Lakshadweep Islands to the north to the Chagos Islands to the south, the Republic of Maldives dots the periphery of 26 atolls in the Indian Ocean. It has a total land area of 298 km2 (115 mi2) but the Republic as an archipelago encompasses 90,000 km2 of ocean surface. The Maldives 1192 islands are low-lying and small and face environmental risks due to geophysical hazards, water availability, disease, and food insecurity. The dispersed population of 350,000, as well as the livelihoods of expatriate workers, are highly vulnerable to climate variability. They are also affected by El Niño impacts, which tend to be modulated by the influences of other air-sea interactions such as the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). The impacts of El Niño are also influenced by an ever-warming Indian Ocean as well as by atmospheric waves. In this chapter, the variation of indices for these influences are compared in order to extrapolate the impacts of climate change from mid-2014 to mid-2016. This study concludes that some of these impacts—including coral bleaching, drought (in the northern islands), flooding (in some seasons), infectious disease, and fishery and agriculture loss—are due to the very strong El Niño that formed in 2015.

Keywords

  • El Nino
  • Climate
  • Maldives
  • Arabian Sea
  • Indian Ocean

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   89.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   119.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD   169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  • Agalawatte P, Zubair L, Zahid Viswanathan J, Bell M (2016. The Monthly Climate Advisory for Maldives—a resource for marine scientists. In: Maldives Marine Science Symposium. Maldives National University, Male, Maldives

    Google Scholar 

  • Albert E (2016) Competition in the Indian Ocean. Council on Foreign Relations. https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/competition-indian-ocean. Accessed 24 Nov 2020

  • Anderson RC, Adam MS, Goes JI (2011) From monsoons to mantas: seasonal distribution of Manta alfredi in the Maldives. Fish Oceanogr 20(2):104–113

    Google Scholar 

  • Chagos Islands (2008) The Virtual Republic of Chagos. http://chagosislands.com/map.html. Accessed 22 Nov 2020

  • Cushing DH, Dickson RR (1976) The biological response in the sea to climatic changes. Adv Mar Biol 14:1

    Google Scholar 

  • FECT (ND) Drought and Climate Monitoring for Maldives: Rainfall. https://www.tropicalclimate.org/maldives/drought/main_background/drought_monitor/drought_monitor.php. Accessed 23 Dec 2020

  • Free World Maps (2020) Where Is The Maldives Located On The World Map? https://www.freeworldmaps.net/asia/maldives/location.html. Accessed 24 Nov 2020

  • Gan N (2020) A tale of two bridges: India and China vying for influence in the Maldives. CNN. https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/24/asia/maldives-india-china-bridges-intl-hnk/index.html. 27 Accessed Nov 2020

  • Glantz MH, Ross RJ, Daugherty GG (2019) One Belt One Road: China’s Long March Toward 2049. Sumeru Press, Inc., Canada, pp 978–1896559476

    Google Scholar 

  • Gomez AM, Eakin CM, Jacqueline L, Liu G, Geiger EF, Heron SF, Skirving WJ, Tirak KV, Strong AE, McDonald KC, Carnaval A (2016) The 2014–2016 Global Coral Bleaching Event: Preliminary Comparisons Between Thermal Stress and Bleaching Timing and Intensity. Ecosystem Science Lab and NOAA-CREST, City College of New York, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Gulland JA (1980) Some problems of the management of shared stocks. FAO Fisheries Technical Papers (FAO). No. 206

    Google Scholar 

  • Huang B, Thorne PW, Banzon VF, Boyer T, Chepurin G, Lawrimore JH, Menne MJ, Smith TM, Vose RS, Zhang H-M (2017) Extended Reconstructed Sea Surface Temperature, version 5 (ERSSTv5): Upgrades, validations, and intercomparisons. J Climate 30:8179–8205

    Google Scholar 

  • Ibrahim N, Mohamed M, Basheer A, Haleem I, Nistharan F, Schmidt A, Naeem R, Abdulla A, Grimsditch G (2017) Status of coral bleaching in the Maldives 2016. Marine Research Centre

    Google Scholar 

  • Kapoor RV (2020) Significance of the Maldives to India. National Maritime Foundation (NMF) New Delhi, India. https://maritimeindia.org/significance-of-the-maldives-to-india/. Accessed 24 Nov 2020

  • Magnuson JJ, Crowder LB, Medvick PA (1979) Temperature as an ecological resource. Am Zool 19(1):331–343

    Google Scholar 

  • MEEW (Ministry of Environment, Energy and Water) (2007) In: Moosa L, Saeed S, Adam MS, Naseer A, Moosa S, Abdulla A, Shaig A(eds) National Adaptation Programme of Action—Republic of Maldives. Ministry of Environment, Energy and Water, Male, Maldives

    Google Scholar 

  • MEE (Ministry of Energy and Environment) (2016) Second National Communication of Maldives to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/SNC%20PDF_Resubmission.pdf. Accessed 22 Nov 2020

  • MEE (Ministry of Energy and Environment) (2017) State of the Environment 2016. http://english.mee.gov.cn/Resources/Reports/soe/ReportSOE/201709/P020170929573904364594.pdf. Accessed 22 Nov 2020

  • MNPI (Ministry of National Planning and Infrastructure) (2018). Statistical Pocketbook of Maldives (2018) National Bureau of Statistics

    Google Scholar 

  • Muir PR, Marshall PA, Abdulla A, Aguirre JD (2017) Species identity and depth predict bleaching severity in reef-building corals: shall the deep inherit the reef. Proc R Soc B: Biol Sci 284(1864):20171551

    Google Scholar 

  • NAPA (National Adaptation Programme of Action– Maldives) (2006) Ministry of Environment, Energy and Water

    Google Scholar 

  • Obura D (2001) Sea surface temperature in the western and central Indian Ocean. Coral reef degradation in the Indian Ocean: Status reports & project presentations 2000. Academia, pp 127–128. https://www.academia.edu/2676729/Coral_reef_degradation_in_the_Indian_Ocean_Status_reports_and_project_presentation_2000. Accessed 22 Nov 2020

  • Perry CT, Morgan KM (2017) Bleaching drives collapse in reef carbonate budgets and reef growth potential on southern Maldives reefs. Sci Rep 7:40581

    Google Scholar 

  • Pisapia C, Burn D, Yoosuf R, Najeeb A, Anderson KD, Pratchett MS (2016) Coral recovery in the central Maldives archipelago since the last major mass-bleaching, 1998. Sci Rep 6(1):1–10

    Google Scholar 

  • Pörtner HO, Peck MA (2010) Climate change effects on fishes and fisheries: towards a cause-and-effect understanding. J Fish Biol 77(8):1745–1779

    Google Scholar 

  • Singh AK (2019)Narendra Shekhawat asked: What is the geo-strategic importance of Maldives to India? Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses. https://idsa.in/askanexpert/what-is-the-geo-strategic-importance-of-maldives. Accessed 24 Nov 2020

  • Shi P, Yang X, Liu F, Li M, Pan H, Yang W, Fang J, Sun S, Tan C, Yang H, Yin Y, Zhang X, Lu L, Li M, Cao X, Meng Y (2015) Mapping Multi-hazard Risk of the World. In: Shi P, Kasperson R (eds) World Atlas of Natural Disaster Risk. IHDP/Future Earth-Integrated Risk Governance Project Series. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-45430-5_16

  • Statistical Yearbook of the Maldives (2017) Tables. http://statisticsmaldives.gov.mv/yearbook/2017/. Accessed 24 Nov 2020

  • Vose RS, Schmoyer RL, Steurer PM, Peterson TC, Heim R, Karl TR, Eischeid J (1992) The Global Historical Climatology Network: long-term monthly temperature, precipitation, sea level pressure, and station pressure data. ORNL/CDIAC-53, NDP-041. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee

    Google Scholar 

  • Wikipedia (2017). "Economy of the Maldives." Accessed February 19, 2022 at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_the_Maldives

  • Wheeler MC, Hendon HH (2004) An all-season real-time multivariate MJO index: Development of an index for monitoring and prediction. Mon Weather Rev 132(8):1917–1932

    Google Scholar 

  • Zubair L, Rao SC, Yamagata T (2003) The Influence of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the Sri Lankan Maha rainfall. Geophys Res Lett 10(2):1063–1066

    Google Scholar 

  • Zubair L, Yahiya Z, Agalawatte P, Lokuhetti R (2017a)Maldives. In: Glantz MH (ed) El Niño Ready Nations and DRR—Executive Summary, pp 31–36. ISBN: 978–0–9988419–0–8. http://www.ccb-boulder.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Final-El-Nino-ready-Nations-and-DRR-April-2017.pdf. Accessed 4 Jan 2021

  • Zubair L, Visvanathan LR, Zahid J, Bell M (2017b) Climate Monitoring and Prediction for Maldives, FECT Technical Report 2016–2011. Foundation for Environment Climate and Technology, Sri Lanka

    Google Scholar 

  • Zubair L, Nijamdeen A, Kailavasan T, Zacky R, Hadgie T, Shakira F, Gunatillake C, Athawuda A, Wickramagamage P (2020) STEM Education and Capacity Building for Resources and Risk Management in Remote Outposts capitalizing on PEER projects on water, drought, and hazards: Gaafu Dhaalu Atoll, in Southern Maldives. FECT Technical Report 2019–03, Foundation for Environment Climate and Technology, Maldives and Sri Lanka

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and Permissions

Copyright information

© 2022 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Zubair, L., Nijamdeen, A. (2022). The Maldives. In: Glantz, M.H. (eds) El Niño Ready Nations and Disaster Risk Reduction. Disaster Studies and Management. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-86503-0_3

Download citation