Abstract
The component and the least square (LS) estimators of mean and covariance functions of biperiodically correlated random processes (BPCRPs) as the model of the signal with binary stochastic recurrence are analyzed. The formulae for biases and the variances for estimators are obtained and the sufficient condition for the mean square consistency of mean function and Gaussian BPCRP covariance function are given. It is shown that the leakage errors are absent for the LS estimators in contrast to the component ones. The comparison of the bias and variance of the component and the LS estimators is carried out for BPCRP particular case.
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References
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Appendices
Appendix A
Proof of Proposition 2.1
For the mathematical expectation of (4), we have
Taking into account representation (8) and integrating, we obtain
The variance of estimator (4) is equal to
Introduce a new variable \(u = s_{2} - s_{1}\), change the order of integration, and take into consideration the equality \(b\left( {s, - u} \right) = b\left( {s - u,u} \right)\). Then,
After substituting into last expressions the representation
and temporal integration in the first approximation, we come to (11). It follows from (11) that \(Var\left[ {\hat{m}\left( t \right)} \right] \to 0\) as \(T \to 0\), i.e., estimator (4) is the mean square consistent.
Appendix B
Proof of Proposition 2.2
Rewrite statistics (7) in the form
where \(\mathop {\hat{m}}\limits^{ \circ } \left( s \right) = \hat{m}\left( s \right) - m\left( s \right)\). The mathematical expectation of every component is equal to
Taking into consideration the representation (12) after transformation, we obtain in the first approximation formulas (13) and (14). Since the functions \(h\left( {N_{1} ,u_{2} } \right)\) and \(\tilde{h}\left( {N_{1} ,u,u_{1} } \right)\) are bounded, then \(\varepsilon \left[ {\hat{b}\left( {t,u} \right)} \right] \to 0\) as \(T \to \infty\) when conditions (8) are satisfied.
Appendix C
Proof of Proposition 2.3
For Gaussian BPCRP
Introduce a new variable \(u_{1} = s_{2} - s_{1}\). The function \(G\left( {s,s + u,s + u_{1} ,s + u + u_{1} } \right)\) is the biperiodical function of the variable \(s\) and it can be represented by the Fourier series
Proceeding from (12), we get
where
After reducing the double integral
in iterated integral and integrating respect to \(s\) in the first approximation, we obtain formula (15). If conditions (3) are satisfied, then \(\tilde{B}_{{pq}} \left( {u_{1} ,u} \right) \to 0\) as \(\left| {u_{1} } \right| \to \infty\). Thus, \(Var\left[ {\hat{b}\left( {t,u} \right)} \right] \to 0\) as \(\theta \to \infty\), i.e., estimator (5) is the mean square consistent.
Appendix D
Proof of Proposition 3.1
Taking into account the property
we conclude the mathematical expectation of the elements of matrix \({\hat{\mathbf{m}}}\) \(E\hat{m}_{j} = m_{j}\), \(j \in \left[ {0,2L_{1} } \right]\), i.e., the estimators of the Fourier coefficients for the mean function are unbiased. Then, estimator (19) is also unbiased.
Proceeding from (19) for the variance estimator, we obtain
where
After transformation of the double integral (C.1), we obtain expression (20). Since the inner integral is bounded, then \(R_{{\tilde{m}_{l} \tilde{m}_{n} }} \to 0\) as \(T \to \infty\), i.e., the least square estimator of BPCRP’s mean function is the mean square consistent.
Appendix E
Proof of Proposition 3.2
Taking into account the series
and the property
we have
Thus, leakage error is absent.
It follows from (B.1) and (B.2) that the rest of the components of biases (24) and (25) for estimators of the covariance components are defined by the integrals of the forms
If conditions (3) are satisfied, these integrals vanish as \(T \to \infty\). So, the LSM-estimators of the covariance components are asymptotically unbiased.
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Javorskyj, I., Yuzefovych, R., Dzeryn, O. (2022). Component and the Least Square Estimation of Mean and Covariance Functions of Biperiodically Correlated Random Signals. In: Chaari, F., Leskow, J., Wylomanska, A., Zimroz, R., Napolitano, A. (eds) Nonstationary Systems: Theory and Applications. WNSTA 2021. Applied Condition Monitoring, vol 18. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-82110-4_8
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