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Methodology that Combines Multi-criteria Methods for Decision-Making, Hierarchical Analytical Process and the Goal Programming, and Their Impact in the Sustainability Evaluation of Hydroelectric Projects in Mexico

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Advanced Geotechnical and Structural Engineering in the Design and Performance of Sustainable Civil Infrastructures (GeoChina 2021)

Part of the book series: Sustainable Civil Infrastructures ((SUCI))

Summary

Context: Hydroelectricity is a mature and long-lasting technology that has presented environmental and social problems, to face them, hydroelectric sustainability initiatives have been created for more than two decades. In Mexico, hydroelectric projects present environmental and social problems that cause delays during their construction and, sometimes, when they are put into operation. The objective of this research is to report how the combination of multi-criteria decision-making methods, such as the Hierarchical Analytical Process (AHP) and the Goal Programming (GP) could be applied to weight the hydroelectric sustainability criteria, using multi-criteria decision-making methods for a group of experts.

Method: The combination of the multi-criteria methods, the Hierarchical Analytical Process (AHP) and the Programming by Goals (GP) were used to identify the opinion of experts in the planning of hydroelectric projects. From here, the IHA protocol was used to determine the sustainability profiles with a triangulation by methods, using the AHP sensitivity analysis.

Results: The combination of AHP-GP methods was applied to establish the hierarchies of hydroelectric sustainability criteria and sub criteria, as well as a documentary analysis which helped to determine the hydroelectric sustainability profiles of hydroelectric projects. One of the most sustainable hydroelectric projects was “Las Cruces” due to the results obtained through a sensitivity analysis with five scenarios, from which four out five were validated and located it in the first place.

Conclusions: The results obtained indicate that when questioning a heterogeneous group of experts, there were significant agreements between them, despite they were from different areas of knowledge. Regarding theoretical implications, it was observed that the combination of AHP-GP multicriteria methods and a documentary analysis should be considered through a mixed research method.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Federal Electricity Commission (CFE), Hydroelectric Projects (CPH), Mexico City, Mexico

    José Andrés Gómez Romero

  2. Postgraduate Studies and Research of the Higher School of Commerce and Administration (ESCA), Santo Tomás Unit of the National Polytechnic Institute (IPN), Mexico City, Mexico

    Susana Garduño Román

  3. The International Boundary and Water Commission By the United States and Mexico, Mexico City, Mexico

    Humberto Marego Mogollón

  4. Higher School of Commerce and Administration (ESCA), Santo Tomás Unit of the National Polytechnic Institute (IPN), Mexico City, Mexico

    María del Rocío Soto-Flores

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  1. José Andrés Gómez Romero
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  3. Humberto Marego Mogollón
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  4. María del Rocío Soto-Flores
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Correspondence to Susana Garduño Román .

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Editors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Civil Engineering, Architecture & Georesources, Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal

    Jose Neves

  2. School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, East China Jiao Tong University, Nanchang, China

    Bitang Zhu

  3. Parahyangan Catholic University, Bandung, Indonesia

    Paulus Rahardjo

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Romero, J.A.G., Román, S.G., Mogollón, H.M., del Rocío Soto-Flores, M. (2021). Methodology that Combines Multi-criteria Methods for Decision-Making, Hierarchical Analytical Process and the Goal Programming, and Their Impact in the Sustainability Evaluation of Hydroelectric Projects in Mexico. In: Neves, J., Zhu, B., Rahardjo, P. (eds) Advanced Geotechnical and Structural Engineering in the Design and Performance of Sustainable Civil Infrastructures. GeoChina 2021. Sustainable Civil Infrastructures. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-80155-7_2

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