Abstract
A railway system degrades over time due to several factors such as aging, traffic conditions, usage, environmental conditions, natural and man-made hazards. Moreover, the lack or inadequate maintenance and restoration works may also contribute to the degradation process. In this aspect it is important to understand the performance of transportation infrastructures, the variables influencing its degradation, as well as the necessary actions to minimize the degradation process over time, improve the security of the users, minimize the environment impact as well as the associated costs. Thus, it is crucial to follow structured maintenance plans during the life cycle of the infrastructure supported by the forecasting of the degradation over time. This paper presents a brief description of the variables influencing the degradation of a rail-way system, and the way the performance of the railway track can be measured, within a probabilistic environment. The work developed in other transportation infrastructures, like roadway, is briefly presented for comparison purposes and benchmarking. It also presents an overview of the predictive models being used in railway systems, from the mechanistic to the data-driven models, where the statistical and artificial intelligence models are included.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Soleimanmeigouni, I., Ahmadi, A., & Kumar, U. (2016). Track geometry degradation and maintenance modeling: A review. In Proceedings of Institution of Mechanical Engineering Part F Journal of Rail Rapid Transit (pp. 73–102). https://doi.org/10.1177/0954409716657849.
Campos e Matos, J., Casas, J. R., & Fernandes, S. (2016). Cost Action TU1406: Quality specifications for roadway bridges, standardization at a European level (BridgeSpec)—performance indicators, maintenance, monitoring safety, risk resilience bridge. Bridge Networks. In Proceedings of 8th International Conference Bridge Maintenance, Safety Management (pp. 935–942). IABMAS.
Strauss, A., Fernandes, S., Casas, J. R., Mold, L., & Matos, J. C. (2018). Quality specifications and performance indicators for road bridges in Europe, maintenance, safety, risk, management life-cycle performance bridge. In Proceedings of 9th International Conference Bridge Maintenance, Safety Management (pp. 1822–1831). IABMAS.
Stipanovic, J. R. C. I., Chatzi, E., Limongelli, M., Gavin, K., Allah Bukhsh, Z., Skaric Palic, S., Xenidis, Y., Imam, B., Anzlin, A., Zanini, M., Klanker, G., Hoj, N., Ademovic, N., & Matos, J. C. (2017). WG2 technical report: Performance goals for roadway bridges of COST ACTION TU 1406. ISBN: 978-3-900932-41-1.
Matthias Finger, D. K., & Bert, N. (2016). 12th European rail transport regulation summary. How to define, measure, and improve the performance of the European railway system? A summary of the presentations.
Ramos, A., Gomes Correia, A., Indraratna, B., Ngo, T., Calçada, R., & Costa, P. A. (2020). Mechanistic-empirical permanent deformation models: Laboratory testing, modelling and ranking. Transportation Geotechnical, 23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trgeo.2020.100326.
Akiyama, M., Frangopol, D. M., & Ishibashi, H. (2020). Toward life-cycle reliability-, risk- and resilience-based design and assessment of bridges and bridge networks under independent and interacting hazards: Emphasis on earthquake, tsunami and corrosion. Structure and Infrastructure Engineering, 16, 26–50. https://doi.org/10.1080/15732479.2019.1604770.
Elkhoury, N., Hitihamillage, L., Moridpour, S., & Robert, D. (2018). Degradation prediction of rail tracks: A review of the existing literature. Open Transport Journal, 12, 88–104. https://doi.org/10.2174/1874447801812010088.
Michas, G. (2012). Slab track systems for high-speed railways.
In2Rail—Shift2rail, I2R. (2015). Deliverable D3.4: Guideline for the evaluation and selection of innovative track solutions.
Audley, M., & Andrews, J. (2013). The effects of tamping on railway track geometry degradation. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1177/0954409713480439.
Falamarzi, A., Moridpour, S., & Nazem, M. (2019). A review of rail track degradation prediction models. Australian Journal of Civil Engineering, 17, 152–166. https://doi.org/10.1080/14488353.2019.1667710.
Hingorani, R., Tanner, P., Prieto, M., & Lara, C. (2020). Consequence classes and associated models for predicting loss of life in collapse of building structures. Structure Safety, 85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2019.101910.
Strauss, A., Vidovic, A., Zambon, I., Tanasic, N., & Matos, J. C. (2016). Performance indicators for roadway bridges, In Maintenance, Monitoring Safety, Risk Resilience Bridge Bridge Networks—Proceedings of 8th International Conference Bridge Maintenance, Safety Management (pp. 965–970). IABMAS.
Strauss, A., Mold, L., Bergmeister, K., Mandic, A., Matos, J. C., & Casas, J. R. (2019). Performance based design and assessment—Levels of indicators. In Life-Cycle Analysis Assessment Civil Engineering Towards an Integration Vision—Proceedings 6th International Symposium Life-Cycle Civil Engineering (pp. 1769–1778). IALCCE 2018.
Pakrashi, V., Wenzel, H., Matos, J., Casas, J., Strauss, A., Stipanovic, I., Haj-Din, R., Kedar, A., Guðmundsson, G., Limongelli, M.-P.-N., Xenidis, Y., & Palic, S. S. (2020). WG5 Technical report: Drafting of guideline/Recommendations of Cost Action TU1406, 2019. https://www.tu1406.eu/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/tu1406-wg5-report-final.pdf. Accessed January 17, 2020.
Strauss, A., Ivanković, A. M., Matos, J. C., & Casas, J. R. (2016). WG1 technical report: Performance indicators for roadway bridges of cost action TU1406, 2016. https://www.tu1406.eu/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/COST_TU1406_WG1_TECH_REPORT.pdf. Accessed January 17, 2020.
Bai, L., Liu, R., Sun, Q., Wang, F., & Xu, P. (2015). Markov-based model for the prediction of railway track irregularities. Proceedings Institution Mechanical Engineering Part F Journal Rail Rapid Transit, 229, 150–159. https://doi.org/10.1177/0954409713503460.
D’Angelo, G., Bressi, S., Giunta, M., Lo Presti, D., & Thom, N. (2018). Novel performance-based technique for predicting maintenance strategy of bitumen stabilised ballast. Construction Building Materials, 161, 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.conbuildmat.2017.11.115.
Matsumoto, M. (2008). Changing RAMS for railways: Proposals from Japan, JR EAST Technical Review, 5–8.
Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, Safety (RAMS) and Life Cycle Costs (LCC). (2017). Committee on technical cooperation in the development of the rail transport system/11th.
PRIME. (2018). Platform of railway infrastructure managers in Europe, catalogue version 2.1 PRIME key performance indicators for performance benchmarking PRIME-Platform of Railway Infrastructure Managers in Europe. https://webgate.ec.europa.eu/multisite/primeinfrastructure/sites/primeinfrastructure/files/12100105_prime_kpi_catalogue_2.1_final_20180530.pdf. Accessed February 5, 2020.
British Standard, BS EN 13306. (2018). Maintenance—Maintenance terminology.
UNIFE. (2016). IRIS international railway industry standard: GUIDELINE 4 : 2016 RAMS/LCC.
Monitoring, C. (2020). Designing algorithms for condition monitoring and predictive maintenance (pp. 1–4). https://www.mathworks.com/help/predmaint/gs/designing-algorithms-for-condition-monitoring-and-predictive-maintenance.html#mw_5d264a05-dce5-4ade-bb8e-82f3f34d2af0. Accessed February 10, 2020.
Soleimanmeigouni, I. (2020). Predictive models for railway track geometry degradation, Luleå University of Technology, Luleå, Sweden, 2019. www.LTU.se. Accessed April 1, 2020.
Shafahi, Y., Masoudi, P., & Hakhamaneshi, R. (2008). Track degradation prediction models, using Markov Chain, artificial neural and neuro-fuzzy network. In 8th World Congress Railway Research (pp. 1–9), Seoul, Korea. https://www.railway-research.org/IMG/pdf/i.1.1.1.3.pdf.
Morcous, G., Rivard, H., & Hanna, A. M. (2002). Modeling bridge deterioration using case-based reasoning. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 8, 86–95. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1076-0342(2002)8:3(86).
Regado, T., Gonçalves, J. C. M. R. G., Tiago, B. G., Regado, & Matos, J. C. (2015). Desenvolvimento de um Modelo de Desempenho para Infraestruturas Ferroviárias aplicado à Linha Férrea. In 4° Congress Nac. Sobre Segurança e Conserv (p. 135). Pontes - ASCP’2015. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/282654112_Desenvolvimento_de_um_Modelo_de_Desempenho_para_Infraestruturas_Ferroviarias_aplicado_a_Linha_Ferrea. Accessed February 21, 2020.
Zakeri, J. A., & Shahriari, S. (2012). Developing a deterioration probabilistic model for rail wear. International Journal Traffic, 1, 13–18. https://doi.org/10.5923/j.ijtte.20120102.02.
Santamaria, M., Fernandes, J., & Matos, J. C. (2019) Overview on performance predictive models—Application to bridge management systems. In IABSE Symposium Guimaraes 2019 Towards a Resilient Built Environment Risk Asset Management—Report (pp. 1222–1229).
Graves, T. L., & Hamada, M. S. (2009). A demonstration of modern Bayesian methods for assessing system reliability with multilevel data and for allocating resources. International Journal Quality Statical Reliability, 2009, 1–0. https://doi.org/10.1155/2009/754896.
Acknowledgments
This work was partly financed by FEDER funds through the Competitivity Factors Operational Programme—COMPETE and by national funds through FCT Foundation for Science and Technology within the scope of the project POCI-01-0145-FEDER-007633. This work was supported by the European Commission-Shi. 2 Rail Program under the project “IN2TRACK2–826255-H2020-S2RJU-2018/H2020-S2RJU CFM-2018”.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2021 The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Morais, M.J., Sousa, H.S., Matos, J.C. (2021). An Overview of Performance Predictive Models for Railway Track Assets in Europe. In: Matos, J.C., et al. 18th International Probabilistic Workshop. IPW 2021. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering, vol 153. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-73616-3_11
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-73616-3_11
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-73615-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-73616-3
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)