Abstract
Econometric land use models study determinants of land use shares of different classes: “agriculture”, “forest”, “urban” and “other” for example. Land use shares have a compositional nature as well as an important spatial dimension. We compare two compositional regression models with a spatial autoregressive nature in the framework of land use. We study the impact of the choice of coordinate space and prove that a choice of coordinate representation does not have any impact on the parameters in the simplex as long as we do not impose further restrictions. We discuss parameters interpretation taking into account the non-linear structure as well as the spatial dimension. In order to assess the explanatory variables impact, we compute and interpret the semi-elasticities of the shares with respect to the explanatory variables and the spatial impact summary measures.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
J. Aitchison, The Statistical Analysis of Compositional Data (Chapman and Hall, London, 1986). Reprinted in 2003 with additional material by the Blackburn Press
R.S. Bivand, D.W.S. Wong, Comparing implementations of global and local indicators of spatial association. TEST 27(3), 716–748 (2018)
R. Chakir, A. Lungarska, Agricultural rent in land-use models: comparison of frequently used proxies. Spat. Econ. Anal. 12(2–3), 279–303 (2017)
R. Chakir, A.-C. Madignier, Analyse des changements d’occupation des sols en France entre 1992 et 2003. Economie Rurale 296 (2006)
J. Chen, X. Zhang, S. Li, Multiple linear regression with compositional response and covariates. J. Appl. Stat. 44(12), 2270–2285 (2017)
A.D. Cliff, J.K. Ord, Spatial Processes (Pion, London, 1981)
P. Filzmoser, K. Hron, M. Templ, Applied Compositional Data Analysis. With Worked Examples in R. Springer Series in Statistics (Springer International Publishing, Springer Nature Switzerland AG, Cham, Switzerland, 2018)
J.A. Foley, R. DeFries, G.P. Asner, C. Barford, G. Bonan, S.R. Carpenter, F.S. Chapin, M.T. Coe, G.C. Daily, H.K. Gibbs et al., Global consequences of land use. Science 309(5734), 570–574 (2005)
J.J. Egozcue, J. Daunis-I-Estadella, V. Pawlowsky-Glahn, K. Hron, P. Filzmoser, Simplicial regression. The normal model. J. Appl. Probab. Stat. 6, 87–108 (2012)
M. Goulard, T. Laurent, C. Thomas-Agnan, About predictions in spatial autoregressive models: optimal and almost optimal strategies. Spat. Econ. Anal. 12(2–3), 304–325 (2017)
H.H. Kelejian, I.R. Prucha, A generalized spatial two-stage least squares procedure for estimating a spatial autoregressive model with autoregressive disturbances. J. R. Estate Financ. Econ. 17(1), 99–121 (1998)
H.H. Kelejian, I.R. Prucha, Estimation of simultaneous systems of spatially interrelated cross sectional equations. J. Econ. 118(1–2), 27–50 (2004)
R. Lal, Soil carbon sequestration impacts on global climate change and food security. Science 304(5677), 1623–1627 (2004)
T.J. Leininger, A.E. Gelfand, J.M. Allen, J.A. Silander, Spatial regression modeling for compositional data with many zeros. J. Agric. Biol. Environ. Stat. 18(3), 314–334 (2013)
J. LeSage, R.K. Pace, Introduction to Spatial Econometrics (Chapman and Hall/CRC, London, 2009)
A. Lungarska, R. Chakir, Climate-induced land use change in France: impacts of agricultural adaptation and climate change mitigation. Ecol. Econ. 147, 134–154 (2018)
J.A. Martín-Fernández, C. Barceló-Vidal, V. Pawlowsky-Glahn, Dealing with zeros and missing values in compositional data sets using nonparametric imputation. Math. Geol. 35(3), 253–278 (2003)
J. Morais, C. Thomas-Agnan, Covariates impacts in compositional models and simplicial derivatives. Austrian J. Stat. (2020)
D.K. Munroe, D. Müller, Issues in spatially explicit statistical land-use/cover change (LUCC) models: examples from western Honduras and the central highlands of Vietnam. Land Use Policy 24(3), 521–530 (2007)
T.H.A. Nguyen, C. Thomas-Agnan, T. Laurent, A. Ruiz-Gazen, A, A simultaneous spatial autoregressive model for compositional data. Spat. Econ. Anal. (2019). https://www.tse-fr.eu/fr/publications/simultaneous-spatial-autoregressive-model-compositional-data
V. Pawlowsky-Glahn, J.J. Egozcue, Exploring compositional data with the CoDa-dendrogram. Austrian J. Stat. 40(1&2), 103–113 (2011)
V. Pawlowsky-Glahn, J.J. Egozcue, R. Tolosana-Delgado, Modeling and Analysis of Compositional Data (Wiley, Hoboken, 2015)
R.A. Pielke, Land use and climate change. Science 310(5754), 1625–1626 (2005)
B. Pirzamanbein, J. Lindström, A. Poska, M.-J. Gaillard, Modelling spatial compositional data: reconstructions of past land cover and uncertainties. Spat. Stat. 24, 14–31 (2018)
G. Shmueli, To explain or to predict? Stat. Sci. 289–310 (2010)
C. Thomas-Agnan, T. Laurent, A. Ruiz-Gazen, Covariates impacts in spatial autoregressive models for compositional data. TSE working paper 20-1162 (2020)
A. Veldkamp, E.F. Lambin, Predicting land-use change. Agric. Ecosyst. Environ. 85(1), 1–6 (2001)
P.H. Verburg, K.-H. Erb, O. Mertz, G. Espindola, Land system science: between global challenges and local realities. Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustain. 5(5), 433–437 (2013)
Acknowledgements
The authors are grateful to Vera Pawlowsky-Glahn for her valuable contributions to the CODA field. They also thank two anonymous referees and the editors for their helpful comments. Thibault Laurent, Anne Ruiz-Gazen and Christine Thomas-Agnan acknowledge funding from ANR under grant ANR-17-EURE-0010 (Investissements d’Avenir program). Raja Chakir and Anna Lungaska acknowledge the support of the Agence Nationale de la Recherche as part of the “Investments d’Avenir” Programme within STIMUL (Scenarios Towards integrating multi-scale land use tools) flagship project (LabEx BASC; ANR-11- LABX-0034) and Cland Institut de convergence (ANR-16-CONV-0003)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
6 Appendix
6 Appendix
1.1 6.1 Matrix Product Expression Using Alr Transformation
Let us consider the \(\text {alr}_D\) transformation \(\text {alr}_D(\mathbf {u})= \mathbf {F}_D\ln (\mathbf {u})\) for a vector \(\mathbf {u} \in \mathbf {S}^D\) and with \(\mathbf {F}_D= \left[ \mathbf {I}_{D-1} \, -\mathbf {j}_{D-1}\right] \). The result can be generalized to any \(\text {alr}_m\) transformation.
where \(\mathbf {V}\mathbf {B}^*_V=\mathbf {B}\mathbf {V}\). Since \(\mathbf {V} \mathbf {V}^T=\mathbf {I}_D -\mathbf {j}_D \mathbf {j}_D^T/D\) and \(\mathbf {F}_D \mathbf {j}_D=\mathbf {0}_D\), we have
1.2 6.2 Writing the Model in Reduced Form in Coordinate Space
Recognizing that the matrix form of the term \(\sum _{m \in S_l^{\mathbf {WY}^*}} \mathbf {R}^*_{ml}\mathbf {W} \mathbf {Y}_{.m}^*\) is \(\mathbf {W}\mathbf {Y}^*\mathbf {R}^*\) , we get easily that the matrix formulation of the model can be written
We are going to use the following property: if we have three matrices \(\mathbf {A},\) \(\mathbf {B}\) and \(\mathbf {C}\) such that the number of columns of \(\mathbf {A}\) is equal to the number of rows of \(\mathbf {B}\) and the number of columns of \(\mathbf {B}\) is equal to the number of rows of \(\mathbf {C},\) then
Using (23), we get
Therefore the c-vectorization of the whole model is
and the reduced form of the model in vectorized form is
1.3 6.3 Lemma Used in the Proof of Theorem 1
Lemma 1
Let \(\mathbf {j}_D\) (resp. \(\pmb {0}_D\)) denote the D-dimensional column vector of ones (resp. zeros) and \(\mathbf {I}_D\) be the \(D \times D\) identity matrix. Let \(\mathbf {K}=\begin{bmatrix} \mathbf {I}_{D-1} - \mathbf {j}_{D-1}\mathbf {j}_{D-1}^T/D\\ -\mathbf {j}_{D-1}^T/D \end{bmatrix}\) a \(D \times (D-1)\) matrix and \(\mathbf {F}= \left[ \mathbf {I}_{D-1} \, -\mathbf {j}_{D-1}\right] \) a \((D-1) \times D\) matrix. Let \(\mathbf {B}\) be a \(D \times D\) matrix such that \(\mathbf {B} \mathbf {j}_D = \pmb {0}_D\) and \(\mathbf {B}^T\mathbf {j}_D= \pmb {0}_D\) and \(\mathbf {B}^*\) be a \((D-1) \times (D-1)\) matrix. We have that \(\mathbf {F}\mathbf {B}=\mathbf {B}^*\mathbf {F}\) is equivalent to \(\mathbf {B}=\mathbf {K} \mathbf {B}^* \mathbf {F}\).
We have
Let \(\mathbf {B}\) be a \(D \times D\) matrix such that \(\mathbf {B} \mathbf {j}_D = \pmb {0}_D\) and \(\mathbf {B}^T\mathbf {j}_D= \pmb {0}_D\) and \(\mathbf {B}^*\) be a \((D-1) \times (D-1)\) matrix. First, let us prove that if \(\mathbf {B}=\mathbf {K} \mathbf {B}^* \mathbf {F}\), then \(\mathbf {F}\mathbf {B}=\mathbf {B}^*\mathbf {F}\). It is easy to show that \(\mathbf {F}\mathbf {K}= \mathbf {I}_{D-1}\). Thus, if \(\mathbf {B} = \mathbf {KB}^*\mathbf {F}\),
Let us now prove the converse. We have \(\mathbf {B} \mathbf {j}_D= \mathbf {B}^T\mathbf {j}_D= \pmb {0}_D\) and we assume \(\mathbf {FB}=\mathbf {B}^*\mathbf {F}\). We write \(\mathbf {B}\) in blocks as follows:
where \(\mathbf {B}_1\) is a \(D-1 \times D-1\) matrix, \(\mathbf {b}_2\) and \(\mathbf {b}_3^T\in \mathbf {R}^{D-1}\) and \(\mathbf {b}_4 \in \mathbf {R}\). Using the fact that \(\mathbf {B} \mathbf {j}_D= \mathbf {B}^T\mathbf {j}_D= \pmb {0}_D\), we get
To find \(\mathbf {B}\), we only need to find \(\mathbf {B}_1\). Using (24), we write the \((D-1) \times D\) matrix \(\mathbf {FB}\) as a function of \(\mathbf {B}_1\):
Furthermore, \(\mathbf {B}^*\mathbf {F} = [\mathbf {B}^*\ \ -\mathbf {B}^*\mathbf {j}_{D-1}]\). So, \(\mathbf {FB} = \mathbf {B}^*\mathbf {F}\) implies
The inverse matrix of \(\left( \mathbf {I}_{D-1}+ \mathbf {j}_{D-1}\mathbf {j}_{D-1}^T\right) \) is \(\left( \mathbf {I}_{D-1}+ \mathbf {j}_{D-1}\mathbf {j}_{D-1}^T/D\right) \). Thus,
Using (24) and (25), it is now easy to check that \(\mathbf {B}=\mathbf {K} \mathbf {B}^* \mathbf {F}\).
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Thomas-Agnan, C., Laurent, T., Ruiz-Gazen, A., Nguyen, T.H.A., Chakir, R., Lungarska, A. (2021). Spatial Simultaneous Autoregressive Models for Compositional Data: Application to Land Use. In: Filzmoser, P., Hron, K., Martín-Fernández, J.A., Palarea-Albaladejo, J. (eds) Advances in Compositional Data Analysis. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-71175-7_12
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-71175-7_12
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-71174-0
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-71175-7
eBook Packages: Mathematics and StatisticsMathematics and Statistics (R0)