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EnviroRISK 2020: Environmental Protection and Disaster Risks pp 201–212Cite as

Urban Heat Island and Future Projections: A Study in Thessaloniki, Greece

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Part of the Studies in Systems, Decision and Control book series (SSDC,volume 361)

Abstract

Future climate simulations have been produced for three 5-year periods until the end of twenty-first century using the WRF-ARW numerical weather prediction model for the greater area of Thessaloniki in the framework of the forecasting System for urban heaT Island effect (LIFE-ASTI) programme. In the present study, we analyse the characteristics of heat wave days in present and future at a central urban region of Thessaloniki and a rural region around the city in order to investigate the urban heat island effect under extreme heat. The number of heat wave days until 2100 is expected to increase by >12 times more than in the present. It is notable that more than 60% of the heat wave days within the urban area will be characterized by minimum temperatures ≥30 °C, while this percentage will be ~12% for the rural area. Finally, while in the present the urban heat island intensity during heat wave days presents mostly values 1–3 °C, in the future the intensity will be larger, in a few cases exceeding even 6 °C.

Keywords

  • Climate change
  • Heat waves
  • Urban heat island
  • WRF model

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Acknowledgements

This work was funded by the LIFE Programme of the European Union in the framework of the project “Implementation of a forecasting system for urban heat island effect for the development of adaptation strategies—LIFE ASTI”. Results presented in this work have been produced using the Aristotle University of Thessaloniki (AUTh) High Performance Computing Infrastructure and Resources.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics, School of Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, 541124, Greece

    Stavros Keppas, Daphne Parliari, Serafeim Kontos, Anastasia Poupkou, Sofia Papadogiannaki & Melas Dimitrios

  2. Department of Environment, Municipality of Thessaloniki, Kleanthous 18, Thessaloniki, 54642, Greece

    Paraskevi Tzoumaka & Apostolos Kelessis

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  1. Stavros Keppas
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Correspondence to Stavros Keppas .

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  1. Institute of Information and Communication Technologies, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences (IICT-BAS), Sofia, Bulgaria

    Nina Dobrinkova

  2. National Institute of Geophysics, Geodesy and Geography, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences (NIGGG-BAS), Sofia, Bulgaria

    Georgi Gadzhev

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Keppas, S. et al. (2021). Urban Heat Island and Future Projections: A Study in Thessaloniki, Greece. In: Dobrinkova, N., Gadzhev, G. (eds) Environmental Protection and Disaster Risks. EnviroRISK 2020. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, vol 361. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-70190-1_14

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