Abstract
A dramatic increase in network capacity demand is to be expected in the future, especially at times of high production or consumption. This is due to the electrification of the global energy system and a shift towards distributed power production from sustainable sources. Energy management solutions have been proposed that help mitigate high costs of physical grid extension by utilizing existent grid capacities more efficiently. Yet, these solutions often interfere with customer processes and/or restrict free access to the energy market. The RLS “regional load shaping” approach proposes a market-based solution that resolves this dilemma for the mid voltage grid: the RLS business model gives incentives to all stakeholders to allocate so-called “conditional loads”, which are flexible loads that are not subjected to (n – 1) security of supply; the RLS load management solution then assigns these loads to cost-optimized time slots in the traditionally unused N – 1 capacity band. The paper provides a validation of the technical aspects of the RLS approach: an evaluation of the day-ahead load forecasting method for industry customers is given, as well as a validation of the load optimization heuristics based on simulated capacity bottlenecks. It is shown that the prediction model provides competitive results in terms of accuracy, and that RLS method handles all provoked critical network capacity situations as expected. Particularly, (n – 1) security of supply is retained at all times for “unconditional” loads.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Arora, S., Taylor, J.W.: Forecasting electricity smart meter data using conditional kernel density estimation. Omega 59, 47–59 (2016)
Atzeni, I.: Distributed demand-side optimization in the smart grid. Ph.D. thesis, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (2014)
Bagemihl, J., et al.: A market-based smart grid approach to increasing power grid capacity without physical grid expansion. Comput. Sci. Res. Dev. 33(1–2), 177–183 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00450-017-0356-5
Chollet, F., et al.: Keras (2015). https://keras.io
Christen, R., Layec, V., Wilke, G., Wache, H.: Technical validation of the RLS smart grid approach to increase power grid capacity without physical grid expansion. In: Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Smart Cities and Green ICT Systems - Volume 1: SMARTGREENS, pp. 123–130. INSTICC, SciTePress (2019). https://doi.org/10.5220/0007717101230130
Doostizadeh, M., Ghasemi, H.: A day-ahead electricity pricing model based on smart metering and demand-side management. Energy 46, 221–230 (2012)
Ghofrani, M., Hassanzadeh, M., Etezadi-Amoli, M., Fadali, M.S.: Smart meter based short-term load forecasting for residential customers. In: 2011 North American Power Symposium, pp. 1–5, August 2011. https://doi.org/10.1109/NAPS.2011.6025124
Graves, A., Mohamed, A., Hinton, G.: Speech recognition with deep recurrent neural networks. In: 2013 IEEE International Conference on Acoustics, Speech and Signal Processing, pp. 6645–6649, May 2013. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICASSP.2013.6638947,zSCC:0003960
Hochreiter, S., Schmidhuber, J.: Long short-term memory. Neural Comput. 9(8), 1735–1780 (1997)
Hunziker, C., Schulz, N., Wache, H.: Shaping aggregated load profiles based on optimized local scheduling of home appliances. Comput. Sci. Res. Dev. 61–70 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00450-017-0347-6
Kong, W., Dong, Z.Y., Jia, Y., Hill, D.J., Xu, Y., Zhang, Y.: Short-term residential load forecasting based on LSTM recurrent neural network. IEEE Trans. Smart Grid. 10(1), 841–851 (2017)
Marino, D.L., Amarasinghe, K., Manic, M.: Building energy load forecasting using deep neural networks. In: IECON 2016–42nd Annual Conference of the IEEE Industrial Electronics Society, pp. 7046–7051. IEEE (2016)
Mirowski, P., Chen, S., Ho, T.K., Yu, C.N.: Demand forecasting in smart grids. Bell Labs Tech. J. 18(4), 135–158 (2014)
Mocanu, E., Nguyen, P.H., Gibescu, M., Kling, W.L.: Deep learning for estimating building energy consumption. Sustain. Energy, Grids Netw. 6, 91–99 (2016)
Mohsenian-Rad, A.H., Leon-Garcia, A.: Optimal residential load control with price prediction in real-time electricity pricing environments. IEEE Trans. Smart Grid 1, 120–133 (2010)
Ryu, S., Noh, J., Kim, H.: Deep neural network based demand side short term load forecasting. Energies 10(1), 3 (2016)
Shaikh, P.H., Bin Mohd Nor, N., Nallagownden, P., Elamvazuthi, I., Ibrahim, T.: A review on optimized control systems for building energy and comfort management of smart sustainable buildings. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 34, 409–429 (2014)
Shariatzadeh, F., Mandal, P., Srivastava, A.K.: Demand response for sustainable energy systems: a review, application and implementation strategy. Renew. Sustain. Energy Rev. 45, 343–350 (2015)
Shi, H., Xu, M., Li, R.: Deep learning for household load forecasting-a novel pooling deep RNN. IEEE Trans. Smart Grid 9(5), 5271–5280 (2018)
Taylor, J.W.: Triple seasonal methods for short-term electricity demand forecasting. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 204(1), 139–152 (2010)
Taylor, J.W., De Menezes, L.M., McSharry, P.E.: A comparison of univariate methods for forecasting electricity demand up to a day ahead. Int. J. Forecast. 22(1), 1–16 (2006)
Taylor, J.W., McSharry, P.E., et al.: Short-term load forecasting methods: an evaluation based on European data. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 22(4), 2213–2219 (2007)
Thirugnanam, K., Kerk, S.K., Yuen, C., Liu, N., Zhang, M.: Energy management for renewable microgrid in reducing diesel generators usage with multiple types of battery. IEEE Trans. Ind. Electron. 65, 6772–6786 (2018)
Zhao, Z., Lee, W., Shin, Y., Song, K.: An optimal power scheduling method for demand response in home energy management system. IEEE Trans. Smart Grid 4, 1391–1400 (2013)
Zufferey, T., Ulbig, A., Koch, S., Hug, G.: Forecasting of smart meter time series based on neural networks. In: Woon, W.L., Aung, Z., Kramer, O., Madnick, S. (eds.) DARE 2016. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 10097, pp. 10–21. Springer, Cham (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50947-1_2
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Christen, R., Layec, V., Wilke, G., Wache, H. (2021). Power Grid Capacity Extension with Conditional Loads Instead of Physical Expansions. In: Helfert, M., Klein, C., Donnellan, B., Gusikhin, O. (eds) Smart Cities, Green Technologies and Intelligent Transport Systems. SMARTGREENS VEHITS 2019 2019. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1217. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-68028-2_5
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-68028-2_5
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-68027-5
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-68028-2
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)