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Geographical Factors in Constituency Voting Patterns

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How Ireland Voted 2020

Abstract

It has long been known that support for parties and for individual candidates tends to be concentrated particularly in certain parts of geographical constituencies, reflecting both socio-demographic patterns and the ‘friends and neighbours’ effect. This chapter, based on sub-constituency data, uses an innovative mapping approach to illustrate the variation of support for candidates and parties within constituencies, a pattern that is especially marked within sizeable rural constituencies.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Michael Gallagher, ‘Candidate selection in Ireland: the impact of localism and the electoral system’, British Journal of Political Science 10:4 (1980), pp. 489–503, at p. 491.

  2. 2.

    J. P. O’Carroll, ‘Strokes, cute hoors and sneaking regarders: the influence of local culture on Irish political style’, Irish Political Studies 2:1 (1987), pp. 77–92.

  3. 3.

    Adrian Kavanagh, ‘All changed, changed utterly? Irish general election boundary amendments and the 2012 Constituency Commission report’, Irish Political Studies 29:2 (2014), pp. 215–35, at p. 224.

  4. 4.

    Confidential interview with a local Fine Gael party official.

  5. 5.

    Paul M. Sacks, ‘Bailiwicks, locality and religion: three elements in an Irish Dáil constituency election’, Economic and Social Review 1:4 (1970), pp. 531–54; A. J. Parker, ‘The “friends and neighbours” voting effect in the Galway West constituency’, Political Geography Quarterly 1: 3 (1982), pp. 243–62.

  6. 6.

    Ron Johnston et al., ‘The neighbourhood effect and voting in England and Wales: real or imagined?’, British Elections & Parties Review 10:1 (2009), pp. 47–63.

  7. 7.

    General election results in the Republic of Ireland are published officially only for the constituency level. However, as polling boxes (which relate to specific areas within a constituency) are opened at the start of the election count, party officials keep a tally of how many votes have been won by each candidate in those boxes and these tally figures give a detailed geographical breakdown of the votes won by each candidate/party at the sub-constituency level.

  8. 8.

    Peter Taylor and Graham Gudgin, Seats, Votes and the Spatial Organisation of Elections (London: ECPR Press, 2012).

  9. 9.

    John Coakley, ‘Fixed-boundary constituencies and the principle of equal representation in Ireland’, Irish Political Studies 30:4 (2015), pp. 531–54, at p. 550.

  10. 10.

    It is worth noting that members of the Irish Army posted overseas are among the few electors entitled to vote by postal ballot.

  11. 11.

    Michael Gallagher, ‘Politics in Laois–Offaly 1922–1992’, pp. 657–87 in Padraig G. Lane and William Nolan (eds), Laois History & Society: interdisciplinary essays on the history of an Irish county (Dublin: Geography Publications, 1999), pp. 676–8.

  12. 12.

    Research interview with Deputy Richard Bruton, 3 October 2019.

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Correspondence to Adrian Kavanagh .

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Kavanagh, A., Durkan, W., D’Arcy, C. (2021). Geographical Factors in Constituency Voting Patterns. In: Gallagher, M., Marsh, M., Reidy, T. (eds) How Ireland Voted 2020. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-66405-3_9

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