The Results Analysed: The Definitive End of the Traditional Party System?



For the third election in a row, the Irish electorate delivered a result that marked a profound break from anything that had gone before. This chapter analyses vote shifts and seat gains and losses, assesses the performances of the parties, draws inferences from the pattern of vote transfers and assesses the utility of the betting market as a results predictor. It also analyses the composition of the new Dáil. The continued decline in the combined strength of the two traditionally dominant parties, Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, and the subsequent formation of a coalition government between them, seem to mark not a temporary interruption to but rather the end of the 1932–2008 party system.

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© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2021

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Political ScienceTrinity College DublinDublinIreland

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