Abstract
The presented conceptual solution enables the design of a complex system configuration and risk analysis using the example of a cargo port. A formal description of Petri net configuration graphs is presented. The sequential construction of risk scenarios, L-models, and B-models for each strategic goal is shown. The solution is based on the formal technique of goals definition, logical management of the sequence of operations, selection and issuance of management decisions, formalization of risk scenarios, and their interpretation based on the results of simulation modeling. The simulation model will make it possible to obtain a reasonable quantitative assessment of the risk of failure to achieve a strategic goal for making management decisions.
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The chapter was prepared using the results of the project with the support of the RFBR grant No. 20-010-00465.
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Bondareva, I., Khanova, A., Khanova, Y. (2021). Configuring Systems Based on Petri Nets, Logic-Probabilistic, and Simulation Models. In: Kravets, A.G., Bolshakov, A.A., Shcherbakov, M. (eds) Cyber-Physical Systems: Modelling and Intelligent Control. Studies in Systems, Decision and Control, vol 338. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-66077-2_21
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