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Conclusion

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African Gold

Abstract

The development of gold mining in Africa over the last three decades has been a story of change to artisanal and small scale gold mining (ASGM) away from large scale mining (LSM). This is not to suggest that there has been no expansion of LSM. This sector has certainly grown and spread across the continent. The decrease in sovereign risk of mining production that accompanied the end of the apartheid era wars and the heightened investment security arrangements in the post Structural Adjustment Programs has resulted in gold production being dispersed to virtually all parts of the continent. The most significant change that has occurred has not been geographic but rather has been the direct result of changes in the nature and technology of gold production. Gold production was once the sole purview of large mining transnationals. This was largely true even outside South Africa. Prior to the 1990s, small scale mining was largely illegal throughout most parts of the continent because governments sought to assure that large scale mines provided the desperately needed taxation revenue for the economic transformation that they all sought. Aside from taxation issues, the issue of industrialisation in Africa is never far from the lips of policymakers. It is an area replete with policy pronouncements about the direction of industrial policy but the reality is that African countries have done almost nothing to make use of the mining activities to diversify their economic base away from mining. Irrespective of what direction Africa takes with regard to gold, whether it is the development of backward or forward linkages, certain developments are necessary. These relate to competitiveness and the creation of economic structures that are robustly governed and of such an order of magnitude as to make Africa a continent which is more than a market and a source of raw materials but a potential location for investment. At present, the political and economic conditions do not yet exist for the transformation of the continent from that of a largely impoverished consumer to that of a competitive producer.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Even with the dispersion of gold production to virtually all parts of the continent, recent gold production estimates have not surpassed the peak production of 1970. See: World Gold Council, Gold supply and demand statistics, Retrieved from https://www.gold.org/download/file/14137/gdt-q2-2019-statistics.xlsx.

  2. 2.

    It is worth noting that from 1998 to 2001, the gold price was on average US$ 281 per troy ounce and as low as US$ 271 in 2001. See: World Gold Council, Gold supply and demand statistics, Retrieved from https://www.gold.org/download/file/14137/gdt-q2-2019-statistics.xlsx.

  3. 3.

    It is however, worth mentioning that these calculations vary as per the assumptions made. This is further illustrated as on average the benefits illustrated in Annex 2 of Chap. 3 range from as low as US$ 7.98 per week to US$ 85.26 per week.

  4. 4.

    It is however worth noting that the World Bank in ‘Mining in Africa: Are local communities better off’ have done some analysis. However, their analysis focuses on LSM than on ASGM and did not go further to quantify externalities, and in turn, whether nets social benefits are derived from mining, particularly ASGM See Op. cit. Endnote 102 Chuhan-Pole, Punam, Andrew L. Dabalen, and Bryan Christopher Land. 2017. Mining in Africa: Are Local Communities Better Off? Africa Development Forum series. Washington, DC: World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-0819-7. Retrieved from: https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/26110/9781464808197.pdf?sequence=6.

  5. 5.

    Bordo, M. (1993). ‘The Gold Standard, Bretton Woods and Other Monetary Regimes: A Historical Appraisal’ NBER Working Papers 4310, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

  6. 6.

    See Op. cit. Witwatersrand Gold Deposits. (2019). 911 Metallurgist: [Online] Available: https://www.911metallurgist.com/blog/witwatersrand-gold-deposits. However, according to the Chamber of Mines South Africa Database, South Africa was on average the source of some 60% of the world’s gold in the 1960s.

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  • Bordo, M. (1993). The gold standard, Bretton woods and other monetary regimes: A historical appraisal. NBER Working Papers 4310, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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  • Punam, C. P., Dabalen, A. L., & Land, B. C. (2017). Mining in Africa: Are local communities better off? Africa development forum series. Washington, DC: World Bank.

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Grynberg, R., Singogo, F.K. (2021). Conclusion. In: African Gold. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-65995-0_14

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-65995-0_14

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