Skip to main content

Leveraging Multi-target Regression for Predicting the Next Parallel Activities in Event Logs

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
ECML PKDD 2020 Workshops (ECML PKDD 2020)

Abstract

Next activity prediction is one of the most important problems concerning the operational monitoring of processes, that is, supporting the user in predicting the activity that will be executed as the next step during process execution. However, traditional algorithms do not cope with the presence of parallel activities, thus failing to devise accurate prediction of multiple parallel activities that will be simultaneously executed. Moreover, they often require a trace alignment pre-processing step, which can be infeasible during process executions. In this paper, we propose the ParallAct methodology, in which multi-target regression is used to predict the next parallel activities in event logs without the need of aligning traces during process executions. Experimental results show that the proposed solution achieve more accurate predictions compared to the single-target setting.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 79.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 99.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    https://data.4tu.nl/repository/.

References

  1. van der Aalst, W.M.P., Weijters, T., Maruster, L.: Workflow mining: discovering process models from event logs. IEEE Trans. Knowl. Data Eng. 16(9), 1128–1142 (2004). https://doi.org/10.1109/TKDE.2004.47

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Jagadeesh Chandra Bose, R.P., van der Aalst, W.: Trace alignment in process mining: opportunities for process diagnostics. In: Hull, R., Mendling, J., Tai, S. (eds.) BPM 2010. LNCS, vol. 6336, pp. 227–242. Springer, Heidelberg (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-15618-2_17

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  3. Ceci, M., Spagnoletta, M., Lanotte, P.F., Malerba, D.: Distributed learning of process models for next activity prediction. In: Desai, B.C., Flesca, S., Zumpano, E., Masciari, E., Caroprese, L. (eds.) Proceedings of the 22nd International Database Engineering & Applications Symposium, IDEAS 2018, Villa San Giovanni, Italy, 18–20 June 2018, pp. 278–282. ACM (2018). https://doi.org/10.1145/3216122.3216125

  4. Corizzo, R., Pio, G., Ceci, M., Malerba, D.: DENCAST: distributed density-based clustering for multi-target regression. J. Big Data 6, 43 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-019-0207-2

  5. Ravichandran, D., Pantel, P., Hovy, E.H.: Randomized algorithms and NLP: using locality sensitive hash functions for high speed noun clustering. In: Knight, K., Ng, H.T., Oflazer, K. (eds.) ACL 2005, 43rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, Proceedings of the Conference, 25–30 June 2005, University of Michigan, USA, pp. 622–629. The Association for Computer Linguistics (2005). https://doi.org/10.3115/1219840.1219917. https://www.aclweb.org/anthology/P05-1077/

  6. Rozinat, A., van der Aalst, W.M.P.: Conformance checking of processes based on monitoring real behavior. Inf. Syst. 33(1), 64–95 (2008). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.is.2007.07.001

Download references

Acknowledgments

We acknowledge the support of the MIUR - Ministero dell’Istruzione dell’Università e della Ricerca through the project “TALIsMan - Tecnologie di Assistenza personALizzata per il Miglioramento della quAlità della vitA" (Grant ID: ARS01_01116), funding scheme PON RI 2014–2020.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Angelo Impedovo .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Ceci, M., Impedovo, A., Pellicani, A. (2020). Leveraging Multi-target Regression for Predicting the Next Parallel Activities in Event Logs. In: Koprinska, I., et al. ECML PKDD 2020 Workshops. ECML PKDD 2020. Communications in Computer and Information Science, vol 1323. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-65965-3_15

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-65965-3_15

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-65964-6

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-65965-3

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics