Skip to main content

Capacitated Human Migration Networks and Subsidization

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Dynamics of Disasters

Part of the book series: Springer Optimization and Its Applications ((SOIA,volume 169))

Abstract

Large-scale migration flows are posing immense challenges for governments around the globe, with drivers ranging from climate change and disasters to wars, violence, and poverty. In this paper, we introduce multiclass human migration models under user-optimizing and system-optimizing behavior in which the locations associated with migration are subject to capacities. We construct alternative variational inequality formulations of the governing equilibrium/optimality conditions that utilize Lagrange multipliers and then derive formulae for subsidies that, when applied, guarantee that migrants will locate themselves, acting independently and selfishly, in a manner that is also optimal from a societal perspective. An algorithm is proposed, implemented, and utilized to compute solutions to numerical examples. Our framework can be applied by governmental authorities to manage migration flows and population distributions for enhanced societal welfare.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 109.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 139.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 139.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Altemeyer-Bartscher, M., Holtemöller, O., Lindner, A., Schmalzbauer, A., Zeddies, G., 2016. On the distribution of refugees in the EU. Intereconomics 51(4), 220–228.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Bartenstein, B., McDonald, M.D., 2019. Exporting people: How Central America encourages mass migration. Bloomberg, July 19; available at: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-06-19/migrant-crisis-at-border-how-central-america-encourages-exodus

  3. Beckmann, M., McGuire, C.B., Winsten, C.B., 1956. Studies in the Economics of Transportation. Yale University Press, New Haven, Connecticut.

    Google Scholar 

  4. Bertsekas, D.P., Tsitsiklis, J.N., 1989. Parallel and Distributed Computation: Numerical Methods. Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  5. Bier, V.M., Zhou, Y., Du, H., 2019. Game-theoretic modeling of pre-disaster relocation. The Engineering Economist. DOI: 10.1080/0013791X.2019.1677837

    Google Scholar 

  6. Boyce, D.E., Mahmassani, H.S., Nagurney, A., 2005. A retrospective on Beckmann, McGuire and Winsten’s Studies in the Economics of Transportation. Papers in Regional Science 84(1), 85–103.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Branswell, H., Joseph, A., 2020. WHO declares the coronavirus outbreak a pandemic. STAT. March 11; available at: https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/11/who-declares-the-coronavirus-outbreak-a-pandemic/

  8. Cappello, G., Daniele, P., 2019. A variational formulation for a human migration model. In: Paolucci M., Sciomachen A., Uberti P., Editors, Advances in Optimization and Decision Science for Society, Services and Enterprises. AIRO Springer Series, vol 3. Springer Nature Switzerland, pp. 185–195.

    Google Scholar 

  9. Causa, A., Jadamba, B., Raciti, F., 2017. A migration equilibrium model with uncertain data and movement costs. Decisions in Economics and Finance 40, 159–175.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  10. Chinchilla, L., Orozco, M., Pérez Bravo, T., Rodriguez, R., 2018. Do countries have enough capacity to handle migrants? Latin American Advisor, August 24. Available at: https://www.thedialogue.org/analysis/do-countries-have-enough-capacity-to-handle-migrants/

  11. Dafermos, S., 1980. Traffic equilibrium and variational inequalities. Transportation Science 14(1), 42–54.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  12. Dafermos, S.C., 1973. Toll patterns for multiclass-user transportation networks. Transportation Science 7(3), 211–223.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Dafermos, S., Sparrow, F.T., 1971. Optimal resource allocation and toll patterns in user-optimized transport networks. Journal of Transport Economics and Policy 5(2), 184–200.

    Google Scholar 

  14. Dafermos S.C., Sparrow, F.T., 1969. The traffic assignment problem for a general network. Journal of Research of the National Bureau of Standards 73B, 91–118.

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  15. Davis, K.F., D;Odorico, P., Laio, F., Ridolfi, L., 2013. Global spatio-temporal patterns in human migration: A complex network perspective. PLOS ONE 8(1), e53723.

    Google Scholar 

  16. Dupuis, P., Nagurney, A., 1993. Dynamical systems and variational inequalities. Annals of Operations Research 44, 9–42.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  17. European Commission, 2019. Communication from the Commission on the European Parliament, the European Council and the Council. Progress report on the Implementation of the European Agenda on Migration. Brussels, Belgium, 6.3.2019 COM(2019) 126 final.

    Google Scholar 

  18. International Organization for Migration, 2019. World migration report for 2020. Geneva, Switzerland.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  19. Isac, G., Bulavsky, V.A., Kalashnikov, V.V., 2002. Complementarity, Equilibrium, Efficiency and Economics. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  20. Jones, G., 2018. Italy will no longer be ‘Europe’s refugee camp’, vows new government. World News June 4.

    Google Scholar 

  21. Kalashnikov, V., Kalashnykova, N., Rojas, R.L. Munos, M.M., Uranga, C., Rojas, A.L., 2008. Numerical experimentation with a human migration model. European Journal of Operational Research 189, 208–229.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  22. Karagiannis, G.M., 2016. Emergency management perspective of the European migrant crisis. Newsletter - special edition, The International Emergency Management Society, issue 4, October, 12–24, Brussels, Belgium.

    Google Scholar 

  23. Kennedy, M., 2019. U.N. says more than 4 million people have left Venezuela. NPR; available at: https://www.npr.org/2019/06/07/730687807/u-n-says-more-than-4-million-people-have-left-venezuela

  24. Kinderlehrer, D., Stampacchia, G., 1980. An Introduction to Variational Inequalities and Their Applications. Academic Press, New York.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  25. Kitsantonis, N., 2019. Greek refugee camps are near catastrophe, Rights Chief warns. The New York Times, October 31.

    Google Scholar 

  26. Kotsireas, I.S., Nagurney, A., Pardalos, P.M., Editors, 2016. Dynamics of Disasters: Key Concepts, Models, Algorithms, and Insights. Springer International Publishing Switzerland.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  27. Kotsireas, I.S., Nagurney, A., Pardalos, P.M., Editors, 2018. Dynamics of Disasters: Algorithmic Approaches and Applications. Springer International Publishing Switzerland.

    Google Scholar 

  28. Larsson, T., Patriksson, M., 1999. Side constrained traffic equilibrium models - analysis, computation and applications. Transportation Research B 33(4), 233–264.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  29. Lawphongpanich, S., Hearn, D.W., Smith, M.J., Editors, 2006. Mathematical and Computational Models for Congestion Charging. Springer Science + Business Media, New York.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  30. Mattiace, T., 2019. Mexico: Onset of migration crisis. Global Risk Insights, November 24. Available at: https://globalriskinsights.com/2019/11/mexico-onset-of-migration-crisis/

  31. Nagurney, A., 1989. Migration equilibrium and variational inequalities. Economics Letters 31, 109–112.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Nagurney, A., 1990. A network model of migration equilibrium with movement costs. Mathematical and Computer Modelling 13, 79–88.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  33. Nagurney, A., 1999. Network Economics: A Variational Inequality Approach, second and revised edition. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, The Netherlands.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  34. Nagurney, A., 2006. Supply Chain Network Economics: Dynamics of Prices, Flows and Profits. Edward Elgar Publishing, Cheltenham, England.

    Google Scholar 

  35. Nagurney, A., 2010. Optimal supply chain network design and redesign at minimal total cost and with demand satisfaction. International Journal of Production Economics 128, 200–208.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Nagurney, A., Daniele, P., 2020. International human migration networks under regulations. European Journal of Operational Research, in press.

    Google Scholar 

  37. Nagurney, A., Daniele, P., Cappello, G., 2021. Human migration networks and policy interventions: Bringing population distributions in line with system-optimization. International Transactions in Operational Research 28(1), 5–26.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  38. Nagurney, A., Daniele, P., Nagurney, L.S., 2020. Refugee migration networks and regulations: A multiclass, multipath variational inequality framework. Journal of Global Optimization 78, 627–649.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  39. Nagurney, A., Pan, J., Zhao, L., 1992a. Human migration networks. European Journal of Operational Research 59, 262–274.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  40. Nagurney, A., Pan, J., Zhao, L., 1992b. Human migration networks with class transformations. In: Structure and Change in the Space Economy. Lakshmanan, T.R., Nijkamp, P., Editors, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, Germany, pp. 239–258.

    Google Scholar 

  41. Nagurney, A., Yu, M., Qiang, Q., 2011. Supply chain network design for critical needs with outsourcing. Papers in Regional Science 90, 123–142.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  42. Nagurney, A., Zhang, D., 1996. Projected Dynamical Systems and Variational Inequalities with Applications. Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston, Massachusetts.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  43. O’Connor, A., Batalova, J., Bolter, J., 2019. Central American immigrants in the United States. Migration Information Source, August 15. Available at: https://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/central-american-immigrants-united-states

  44. OECD, 2019. How do OECD countries compare in their attractiveness for talented migrants? Migration Policy Debates, No. 19, May.

    Google Scholar 

  45. Pan, J., Nagurney, A., 1994. Using Markov chains to model human migration in a network equilibrium framework. Mathematical and Computer Modelling 19, 31–39.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  46. Pan, J., Nagurney, A., 2006. Evolution variational inequalities and projected dynamical systems with application to human migration. Mathematical and Computer Modelling 43(5–6), 646–657.

    MathSciNet  MATH  Google Scholar 

  47. Papadaki, S., Banias, G., Achillas, C., Aidonis, D., Folinas, D., Bochtis, D., Papangelou, S., 2018. A humanitarian logistics case study for the intermediary phase accommodation center for refugees and other humanitarian disaster victims. In: Dynamics of Disasters: Algorithmic Approaches and Applications, Kotsireas, I.S., Nagurney, A., Pardalos, P.M., Editors, Springer International Publishing Switzerland, pp. 157–202.

    Google Scholar 

  48. Parkinson, J., 2015. Which countries are in the best position to take migrants? BBC News Magazine, September 9. Available at: https://www.bbc.com/news/magazine-34138831

  49. Robinson, C., Dilkina, B., Moreno-Cruz, J., 2020. Modeling migration patterns in the USA under sea level rise. PLoS ONE 15(1): e0227436. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0227436

    Article  Google Scholar 

  50. Sakuma, A., 2020. Damned for trying. Available at: http://www.msnbc.com/specials/migrant-crisis/libya

    Google Scholar 

  51. Shih, G., Denyer, S., Taylor, A., 2020. Worries grow that quarantine in China not enough to stem increasingly virulent coronavirus. Washington Post, January 27.

    Google Scholar 

  52. Stevis-Gridneff, M., 2020. Asylum seekers find a new route to Europe, flowing into a divided Cyprus. The New York Times, January 28.

    Google Scholar 

  53. UNHCR, 2020. Figures at a glance. Available at: https://www.unhcr.org/en-us/figures-at-a-glance.html

    Google Scholar 

  54. United Nations, 2017. Population facts. Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, New York, December; available at: https://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/publications/pdf/popfacts/PopFacts_2017-5.pdf

  55. United Nations Refugee Agency, 2015. The sea route to Europe: The Mediterranean passage in the age of refugees. July 1; available at: https://www.unhcr.org/en-us/protection/operations/5592bd059/sea-route-europe-mediterranean-passage-age-refugees.html

  56. Wardrop, J.G., 1952. Some theoretical aspects of road traffic research. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers, Part II 1: pp. 325–378.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

The first two authors are grateful for the insights gained through participation in the Dynamics of Disasters conferences in Kalamata, Greece, and the very useful discussions.

The authors acknowledge the very helpful comments and suggestions provided by two anonymous reviewers on an earlier version of this paper.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Anna Nagurney .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Nagurney, A., Daniele, P., Cappello, G. (2021). Capacitated Human Migration Networks and Subsidization. In: Kotsireas, I.S., Nagurney, A., Pardalos, P.M., Tsokas, A. (eds) Dynamics of Disasters. Springer Optimization and Its Applications, vol 169. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-64973-9_12

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics