Abstract
Renegotiations are project specific phenomenon’s, and depend on the project characteristics as well as contractual features and governance model. Therefore, this chapter provides a unique perspective over PPP renegotiations covering a range of six projects, developed in the countries presented and discussed in the previous chapter. Each renegotiation analysis will cover the following topics:
-
1.
Introduction (describing the main features and objectives of the project and also the public partner);
-
2.
The PPP process (describing the tendering and the winning bid—the private partner);
-
3.
The financial structure of the PPP;
-
4.
The risk allocation matrix;
-
5.
The renegotiation case;
-
6.
The main findings from the case study.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
- 2.
Chapter 11: Typically filed by businesses who intend to continue operations and repay creditors at the same time, through the implementation of a court-approved reorganisation plan. This reorganisation can involve restructuring debt and also the rescaling of operations for profitability (Adarkwa et al. 2017).
- 3.
The other three bidders were: Itenere; Babcock & Brown/Challenger-Transfield; Morgan Stanley/Autostrade.
- 4.
The company had about $6.3 billion in obligations to secured lenders (Bathon 2014).
- 5.
The proposal sought an early exit from Chap. 11 requesting that the court allow a post-bankruptcy approval of an asset sale by August 2015 with proceeds distributed among its creditors, OR if the asset sale was unsuccessful its creditors could buy a 95.75% stake in the restructured company, using proceeds from a $2.75 billion additional borrowing to restructure its debt (Randazzo and Fitzgerald 2014). The plan had support from more than 87% of senior secured debtholders and 100% support from equity owners (Schnitzler 2009).
- 6.
Roumeliotis and Stone (2014) as follows:
1. A consortium of Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB) with Ferrovial SA’s toll road operator Cintra and Canadian investment manager Brookfield Asset Management;
2. Australia’s Hastings Funds Management who partnered with the California Public Employees’ Retirement System (Calpers) and Italian toll road operator Autostrade Meridionali SpA;
3. Spanish infrastructure operator Abertis Infraestructuras SA with Borealis, which is the infrastructure investment arm of the Ontario Municipal Employees Retirement System;
4. Alberta Investment Management Corporation (AIMCo) and Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA); and
5. Australian infrastructure fund manager IFM Investors, which is owned by 30 Australian pension funds.
- 7.
Australia’s IFM Investors reached a $5.73 billion agreement to purchase ITRCC’s lease of ITR for 66 years until 2081. IFM contributed $3.2 billion in equity, expecting yields ranging from 8 to 9%; the balance of the funds came from $2.5 billion in senior debt financing from nine banks and three institutional investors (Reinhardt 2015a). ITRCC, indicated that current traffic levels will generate revenues sufficient to repay the new senior debt, so IFM’s large equity contribution was critical (Reinhardt 2015a). By July 2015, IFM had refinanced a portion of the bank debt through the issue of over $1 billion of senior secured revenue bonds by ITRCC; the notes were rated BBB and applied to a $551 million bridge loan and a portion of a $1.27 billion term loan (Reinhardt 2015b). Deal between the state and ITRCC where the state would receive $1 billion over three years from ITRCC in exchange for a one-time 35% toll increase on commercial trucks; the Indiana Finance Authority (IFA) subsequently approved the arrangement (Carden 2018). The deal, however, caught legislators by surprise, and several voiced concerns about the transparency of the arrangement and their lack of involvement (Kelly 2018a, b).
- 8.
Debt Service Cover Ratio—Calculated as: (Free Cash flow to the Firm/Debt service) (Yescombe 2011).
- 9.
This contract included active traffic management, inspection and maintenance of bridges, pavements, earthworks, motorway communications and a range of other highway assets, a comprehensive winter maintenance programme and provision of 24-h emergency response teams, cyclical highway maintenance and a range of environmental works, including grass cutting of highway verges, landscaping and horticultural improvements (source: contract).
- 10.
- 11.
The renegotiation also has led to the termination of one small concession operator, which was unable to provide the service in accordance with the terms of the contract. The concession was subsequently awarded to a new operator.
- 12.
The expansion of the network created a problem of overlap in some of the systems, which led to a new renegotiation by 2009.
- 13.
By operating, a bus needed to be in movement 5 min out of each 30 min. This created considerable difficulties for the monitorisation of the index, which resulted in the implementation of changes to the control system in 2008.
- 14.
During the life of the concession several renegotiations were carried out, as described in Albalate and Bel-Piñana (2016), which are not detailed in this case-study.
- 15.
Debt service is the sum of interests and yearly debt repayments maid in accordance with the initial financial case-base and the contract signed with lenders (Cruz and Sarmento 2018).
- 16.
DSCR- Debt Service Cover Ratio: Free cash-flow to the firm/Debt Service (Yescombe 2011).
- 17.
During 2018 and 2019, at least eight highway concessions were closed on decision of the courts, nasmely: [R-2 (Madrid-Guadalajara), R-3 (Madrid-Arganda), R-4 (Madrid-Arganda), R-5 (Madrid-Navalcarnero), AP-41 (Toledo), AP-7 (Cartagena-Vera y la Circunvalación de Alicante), AP-3 (Ocaña-La Roda), and M-12 (Eje Aeropuerto)]. This could represent a total cost to the government of €5 billion, although at this moment the Spanish government has only recognized €1.6 billion of liabilities.
References
Acerete, B., Gasca, M., & Stafford, A. (2019). Two decades of DBFO roads in the UK and Spain: An evaluation of the financial performance. Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, 90(2), 269–289.
Adarkwa, O., Smadi, O., & Alhasan, A. (2017). Lessons to be learned from bankruptcy filings in public-private partnership (PPP) projects in the United States. MOJ Civil Engineering, 2(2), 66–70. https://doi.org/10.15406/mojce.2017.02.00030.
Albalate, D., & Bel-Piñana, P. (2016). Winners and losers in tolled motorway renegotiations: An empirical evaluation of the Spanish pioneers. Public Money and Management, 36(5), 365–372.
Athias, L., & Saussier, S. (2018). Are public private partnerships that rigid? And why? Evidence from price provisions in French toll road concession contracts. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 111, 174–186.
Baeza Muñoz, M., & Vassallo Magro, J. M. (2012). Traffic uncertainty in toll motorway concessions in Spain. Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers-Transport, 165(2), 97–105.
Baeza, M. D. L. Á., & Vassallo, J. M. (2010). Private concession contracts for toll roads in Spain: Analysis and recommendations. Public Money and Management, 30(5), 299–304.
Baeza, M. A., & Vassallo, J. M. (2014). Es una empresa pú blica la solución al problema de las autopistas de peaje en Espana? Paper presented at XVII Congreso Panamericano de Ingeniería de Transporte. Santander: Transito y Logistica.
Bathon, M. (2014). Indiana Toll Road seeks bankruptcy as traffic declines. Bloomberg. Retrieved from www.bloomberg.com
Bel, G., & Foote, J. (2009). Tolls, terms and public interest in road concessions privatization: A comparative analysis of recent transactions in the USA and France. Transport Reviews, 29(3), 397–413.
Bel-Piñana, P. (2018). Public-private partnerships in roads: Economic and policy analyses (Doctoral dissertation, Universitat de Barcelona).
Beltrán, P., Gschwender, A., & Palma, C. (2013). The impact of compliance measures on the operation of a bus system: The case of Transantiago. Research in Transportation Economics, 39(1), 79–89.
Benbasat, I., Goldstein, D. K., & Mead, M. (1987). The case research strategy in studies of information systems. MIS Quarterly, 11(3), 369–386.
Berke, J., Brumby, S., & Gilligan, E. (2012, November 7). Indiana Toll Road paves the way for restructuring with advisors. Debtwire.
Bitran, E., Nieto-Parra, S., & Robledo, J. S. (2013). Opening the black box of contract renegotiations. Paris: OECD Library.
Carden, D. (2018, September 20). State board approves deal hiking toll road truck rates in exchange for Indiana getting $1 billion. NWI Times. Retrieved from www.nwitimes.com
Catalão, F. P., Cruz, C. O., & Sarmento, J. M. (2019). The determinants of cost deviations and overruns in transport projects, an endogenous models approach. Transport Policy, 74, 224–238.
Checherita, C., & Gifford, J. (2007). Risk sharing in public-private partnerships: General considerations and an evaluation of the US Practice in road transportation (No. 1428-2016-118601).
Chiara, N., & Garvin, M. J. (2008). Variance models for project financial risk analysis with applications to greenfield BOT highway projects. Construction Management and Economics, 26(9), 925–939.
Crowe-Chizek. (2006). Indiana East-West toll road financial analysis. Report prepared for the Indiana Finance Authority.
Cruz, C. O., & Marques, R. C. (2012). Using the economic and financial reequilibrium model to decrease infrastructure contract incompleteness. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 19(1), 58–66.
Cruz, C., & Marques, R. (2013a). Exogenous determinants for renegotiating public infrastructure concessions: Evidence from Portugal. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 139(9), 1082–1090.
Cruz, C., & Marques, R. (2013b). Flexible contracts to cope with uncertainty in public private partnerships. International Journal of Project Management, 31(3), 473–483.
Cruz, C. O., & Sarmento, J. M. (2018). The price of project finance loans for highways. Research in Transportation Economics, 70, 161–172.
Cruz, C. O., & Sarmento, J. M. (2019). Traffic forecast inaccuracy in transportation: A literature review of roads and railways projects. Transportation, 47, 1–36.
Cruz, C. O., Marques, R. C., & Franco, D. (2015). Road-network development in quickly growing economies: Brazilian case study MG-050. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 21(4), 05015002.
De Brux, J. (2010). The dark and bright sides of renegotiation: An application to transport concession contracts. Utilities Policy, 18(2), 77–85.
Domingues, S., & Sarmento, J. M. (2016). Critical renegotiation triggers of European transport concessions. Transport Policy, 48, 82–91.
Domingues, S., & Zlatkovic, D. (2015). Renegotiating PPP contracts: Reinforcing the ‘P’ in partnership. Transport Reviews, 35(2), 204–225.
Eisenhardt, K. M. (1989). Building theories from case study research. The Academy of Management Review, 14, 532–550.
Engel, E., Fischer, R., & Galetovic, A. (2006a). Renegotiation without holdup: Anticipating spending and infrastructure concessions (National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series (Vol. no. 12399)). https://doi.org/10.3386/w12399
Engel, E., Fischer, R., & Galetovic, A. (2006b). Renegotiation without holdup: Anticipating spending and infrastructure concessions (NBER working paper no. 12339).
Engel, E., Fischer, R., & Galetovic, A. (2009). Soft budgets and renegotiations in public-private partnerships (National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series (Vol. no. 15300)). https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1460688
Enright, D. (2006). Then there were two … Indiana Toll Road vs. Chicago Skyway: An analytical review of two public/private partnerships. Jersey City, NJ: Northwest Financial Group.
Estache, A., & Gómez-Lobo, A. (2005). The limits to competition in urban bus services in developing countries. Transport Reviews, 25(2), 139–158.
Estache, A., Guasch, J.-L., & Trujillo, L. (2003). Price caps, efficiency payoffs and infrastructure contract renegotiation in Latin America (World Bank Policy Research working paper 3129). https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-3129
Estache, A., Guasch, J. L., Iimi, A., & Trujillo, L. (2009). Multidimensionality and renegotiation: Evidence from transport-sector public-private-partnership transactions in Latin America. Review of Industrial Organization, 35, 41. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11151-009-9225-0.
Fatokun, A. O. (2018). Value for money integration in the renegotiation of public private partnership road projects (Doctoral dissertation, University of Central Lancashire).
Flores Dewey, O. (2013). Expanding transportation planning capacity in cities of the global south: Public-private conflict and collaboration in Chile and Mexico (Unpublished PhD dissertation). Cambridge, MA: Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Flyvbjerg, B., Skamris Holm, M. K., & Buhl, S. L. (2004). What causes cost overrun in transport infrastructure projects? Transport Reviews, 24(1), 3–18. https://doi.org/10.1080/0144164032000080494a.
Galetovic, A., & Jordán, P. (2006). Santiago: dónde estamos y hacia dónde vamos. Santiago: Centro de Estudios Públicos.
Gallegos, F., Montero, J. P., & C. Salas (2011, October). The effect of transport policies on car use: Theory and evidence from Latin American cities. Department of Economics, draft, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile.
Garvin, M. J. (2019). Case studies of financially distressed highway public–private partnerships in the United States. In Public Private Partnerships (pp. 65–88). Cham: Springer.
Gifford, J., Bolaños, L., & Daito, N. (2014). Renegotiation of transportation public-private partnerships: The US experience. In International transport forum discussion papers, no. 2014/16. Paris: OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/5jrw2xz9xhs1-en.
Gilmour, J. B. (2012). The Indiana toll road lease as an intergenerational cash transfer. Public Administration Review, 72(6), 856–864.
Gómez-Lobo, A. (2012). The ups and downs of a public transport reform: The case of Transantiago. Serie documentos de trabajo SDT354. Santiago: Universidad de Chile, Departamento de Economía.
Gómez-Lobo, A., & Briones, J. (2013). Incentive structure in transit concession contracts: The case of Santiago, Chile, and London, England. Washington, DC: Clean Air Institute.
Gómez-Lobo, A., & Briones, J. (2014). Incentives in bus concession contracts: A review of several experiences in Latin America. Transport Reviews, 34(2), 246–265.
Grimsey, D., & Lewis, M. (2005). Are Public Private Partnerships value for money? Evaluating alternative approaches and comparing academic and practitioner views. Accounting Forum, 29(4), 345–378.
Gschwender, A. (2007). A comparative analysis of the public transport systems of Santiago de Chile, London, Berlin and Madrid: What can Santiago learn from the European Experiences? (Doctoral dissertation, Universität Wuppertal, Fakultät für Architektur und Bauingenieurwesen» Bauingenieurwesen» Dissertationen).
Guasch, J. (2004). Granting and renegotiating infrastructure concessions: Doing it right. Washington, DC: World Bank.
Guasch, J., & Straub, S. (2006). Renegotiation of infrastructure concessions: An overview. Annals of Public and Cooperative Economics, 77(4), 479–493.
Guasch, J., & Straub, S. (2009). Corruption and concession renegotiations: Evidence from the water and transport sectors in Latin America. Utilities Policy, 17(2), 185–190.
Guasch, J., Laffont, J., & Straub, S. (2003). Renegotiation of concession contracts in Latin America (Vol. 3011). Washington, DC: World Bank.
Guasch, J., Laffont, J., & Straub, S. (2007). Concessions of infrastructure in Latin America: Government-led renegotiation. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(7), 1267–1294.
Guasch, J., Laffont, J., & Straub, S. (2008). Renegotiation of concession contracts in Latin America: Evidence from the water and transport sectors. International Journal of Industrial Organization, 26(2), 421–442.
Healey, A. (2014, October 8). ITR expected to ignite interest. Project Finance International.
Hidalgo, D., & Graftieaux, P. (2008). Bus rapid transit systems in Latin America and Asia: Results and difficulties in 11 cities. Transportation Research Record, 2072(1), 77–88.
Hong, H., & Shum, M. (2002). Increasing competition and the winner’s curse: Evidence from procurement. Review of Economic Studies, 69(4), 871–898.
Invernizzi, D. C., Locatelli, G., & Brookes, N. (2018, March 15). Cost overruns—Helping to define what they really mean. Retrieved from https://ssrn.com/abstract=3141044 or https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3141044
Izar, P. (2019). Can public–private partnerships help achieve the right to the city in Brazil? The case of Casa Paulista program in São Paulo. Journal of Urban Affairs, 1–16. https://doi.org/10.1080/07352166.2019.1654895
Kelly, N. (2018a, September 4). Indiana toll road rates going up. The Journal Gazette. Retrieved from www.journalgazette.net
Kelly, N. (2018b, September 16). Toll road move surprises: Holcomb’s $1 billion deal skipped legislators. The Journal Gazette. Retrieved from www.journalgazette.net
Love, P. E. D., & Ahiaga-Dagbui, D. D. (2018). De-bunking ‘Fake News’ in a Post-Truth Era: The Plausible Untruths of Cost Underestimation in Transport Infrastructure Projects. Transportation Research Part A Policy and Practice, 113, 357–368.
Love, P. E. D., Ahiaga-Dagbui, D. D., & Irani, Z. (2016). Cost overruns in transportation infrastructure projects: Sowing the seeds for a probabilistic theory of causation. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 92, 184–194. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2016.08.007.
Macário, R., Ribeiro, J., & Couchinho, R. (2013). Fertagus train, Portugal. COST action TU1001 public private partnerships in transport: Trends & theory, pp. 108–115.
Macário, M., Costa, J., & Ribeiro, J. (2015a). Cross-sector analysis of four renegotiated transport PPPs in Portugal. Transport Reviews, 35(2), 226–244.
Macário, R., Ribeiro, J., & Costa, J. (2015b). Understanding pitfalls in the application of PPPs in transport infrastructure in Portugal. Transport Policy, 41, 90–99.
Mallett, W. J. (2014, September 29). Indiana Toll Road bankruptcy chills climate for public-private.
Martins, J., Marques, R. C., & Cruz, C. O. (2014). Maximizing the value for money of PPP arrangements through flexibility: An application to airports. Journal of Air Transport Management, 39, 72–80.
Martins, J., Marques, R. C., & Cruz, C. O. (2015). Real options in infrastructure: Revisiting the literature. Journal of Infrastructure Systems, 21(1), 04014026.
Muñoz, J. C., & Gschwender, A. (2008). Transantiago: A tale of two cities. Research in Transportation Economics, 22(1), 45–53.
Muñoz, J. C., Batarce, M., & Hidalgo, D. (2014). Transantiago, five years after its launch. Research in Transportation Economics, 48, 184–193.
Neto, D., Cruz, C. O., & Sarmento, J. M. (2017). Understanding the patterns of PPP renegotiations for infrastructure projects in Latin America: The case of Brazil. Competition and Regulation in Network Industries, 18(3–4), 271–296.
Neto, D., Cruz, C. O., & Sarmento, J. M. (2019). Renegotiation of transport public private partnerships: Policy implications of the Brazilian experience in the Latin American context. Case Studies on Transport Policy, 7(3), 554–561.
OECD. (2008). Public-private partnerships: In pursuit of risk sharing and value for money. Paris: OECD.
Ortega, A., de los Angeles Baeza, M., & Vassallo, J. M. (2016). Contractual PPPs for transport infrastructure in Spain: Lessons from the economic recession. Transport Reviews, 36(2), 187–206.
Paget-Seekins, L., Flores Dewey, O., & Muñoz, J. C. (2015). Examining regulatory reform for bus operations in Latin America. Urban Geography, 36(3), 424–438.
Pantelias, A., & Roumboutsos, A. (2015). A conceptual framework for transport infrastructure PPP project credit assessments. Journal of Finance and Economics, 3(6), 105e111.
Randazzo, S., & Fitzgerald, P. (2014, September 22). Indiana toll road operator files for bankruptcy. Wall Street Journal. Retrieved from www.wsj.com
Reinhardt, W. (2015a). Indiana Toll Road lease now worth $5.7 billion to pension fund investors. Public Works Financing, 304.
Reinhardt, W. (2015b). IFM refinances ITR bank loans with toll revenue bonds. Public Works Financing, 306.
Reis, R. F., & Sarmento, J. M. (2017). “Cutting costs to the bone”: The Portuguese experience in renegotiating public private partnerships highways during the financial crisis. Transportation, 46, 1–18.
Roumboutsos, A. (2015). Public private partnerships in transport infrastructure: An international review. Transport Reviews, 35(2), 111–117.
Roumeliotis, G., & Stone, M. (2014). Exclusive: Infrastructure investors line up for Indiana toll road. Reuters. Retrieved from www.reuters.com
Samuel, P. (2006, January 23). Cintra-Macquarie bid of $3.85b for Indiana TR accepted. TollRoads News. Retrieved from tollroadsnews.com
Sarmento, J. M. (2010). Do public-private partnerships create value for money for the public sector? The Portuguese experience. OECD Journal on Budgeting, 2010(1), 93–119.
Sarmento, J. M., & Renneboog, L. (2015). 16 Portugal’s experience with Public Private Partnerships. Public Private Partnerships: A Global Review, 266.
Sarmento, J. M., & Renneboog, L. (2016a). Anatomy of public-private partnerships: Their creation, financing and renegotiations. International Journal of Managing Projects in Business, 9(1), 94–122.
Sarmento, J. M., & Renneboog, L. (2016b). Renegotiating public-private partnerships (European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)-Finance Working Paper 416).
Schnitzler, P. (2009, August 3). Toll-road lease tumbles in value. Indianapolis Business Journal. Retrieved from www.ibj.com
Shen, L. Y., Platten, A., & Deng, X. P. (2006). Role of public private partnerships to manage risks in public sector projects in Hong Kong. International Journal of Project Management, 24(7), 587–594.
Sierra, J., Vassallo, J. M., & Baeza, M. A. (2014). Unbundling tolls from contracts: A new road PPP model. Public Money and Management, 34(6), 447–451. https://doi.org/10.1080/09540962.2014.962373.
Stafford, A., Acerete, B., & Stapleton, P. (2010). Making concessions: Political, commercial and regulatory tensions in accounting for European roads PPPs. Accounting and Business Research, 40(5), 473–493.
Tamblay, S., Gschwender, A., Dragicevic, M., & Muñoz, J. C. (2017). Risks involved in transit provision of bus contracts: Case study of Transantiago, Chile. Transportation Research Record, 2649(1), 89–96.
Ubbels, B., & Verhoed, E. T. (2008). Auctioning concessions for private roads. Transportation Research Part A, 42(1), 155–172.
Ureta, S. (2014). Normalizing Transantiago: On the challenges (and limits) of repairing infrastructures. Social Studies of Science, 44(3), 368–392.
Vassallo, J. M., & Sanchez Solino, A. (2007). Subordinated public participation loans for financing toll highway concessions in Spain. Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 1996, 1–8. https://doi.org/10.3141/1996-01.
Vassallo, J. M., Ortega, A., & Baeza, M. D. L. Á. (2011). Impact of the economic recession on toll highway concessions in Spain. Journal of Management in Engineering, 28(4), 398–406.
Villalba-Romero, F. J., & Liyanage, C. (2014). Radial 2 (R-2) toll motorway. COST Action TU1001 Public Private Partnerships in Transport: Trends & Theory P3T3, 191.
Wensits, J. (2006, January 22). Indiana’s Toll Road seen as link in a chain. South Bend Tribune. Retrieved from www.southbendtribune.com
Williamson, O. E. (1976). Franchise bidding for natural monopolies—In general and with respect to CATV. The Bell Journal of Economics, 7(1), 73–104.
Yescombe, E. R. (2011). Public-private partnerships: Principles of policy and finance. Oxford: Elsevier.
Yin, R. K. (2008). Case study research: Design and methods. London: Sage.
Zhang, Z., Bai, Q., Labi, S., & Sinha, K. C. (2013). General framework for evaluating long-term leasing of toll roads: Case study of Indiana I-90 Highway. Transportation Research Record, 2345(1), 83–91.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Oliveira Cruz, C., Miranda Sarmento, J. (2021). Renegotiation Case Studies. In: The Renegotiations of Public Private Partnerships in Transportation. Competitive Government: Public Private Partnerships. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61258-0_6
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-61258-0_6
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-61257-3
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-61258-0
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)