Abstract
In this paper, Dvurecenska’s validation metric is proposed as a criterion for selecting a suitable model to be used by a Dynamic Matrix Control algorithm. As part of the work developed in this paper, it is analyzed how this algorithm performs when using different models. Besides, a comparison between the validation of these model results is performed. Additionally to the above metrics, the Theil Inequality Coefficient index and the FIT index are employed too. This paper was developed on a simulated plant based on Clarke’s benchmark, which is controlled with a Dynamic Matrix Control. As a result, it can be seen that Dvurecenska’s metric accomplishes its objective and in some cases, gives better validation criteria than the other metrics analyzed.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Camacho, E.F., (Carlos) Bordons, C.: Model Predictive Control, 2nd ed., Springer, London (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-85729-398-5
Xi, Y.-G., Li, D.-W., Lin, S.: Model predictive control—status and challenges. Acta Autom. Sin. 39, 16 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1016/s1874-1029(13)60024-5
Darby, M.L., Nikolaou, M.: MPC: current practice and challenges. Control Eng. Pract. 20, 238–342 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.conengprac.2011.12.004
Forbes, M.G., Patwardhan, R.S., Hamadah, H., Bhushan Gopaluni, R.: Model predictive control in industry: challenges and opportunities. In: 9th International Symposium Advance Control Chemical Processes, International Federation of Automatic Control, British Columbia, CA, p. 8 (2015)
Alves, V., Juliani, R., Garcia, C.: Optimal time delay estimation for system identification. In: 2019 Arms Control Conference, Washington, DC, USA, 2013, pp. 95–100 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1109/ACC.2013.6579820
Rivas-Perez, R., Feliu-Batlle, V., Castillo-Garcia, F.J., Benitez-Gonzalez, I.: Temperature control of a crude oil preheating furnace using a modified Smith predictor improved with a disturbance rejection term. In: 19th IFAC World Congress, pp. 5760–5765 (2014)
Rodrigo Juliani, C.G., Garcia, C.: Revision of the Asymptotic Method and the Error Bound Validation, IFAC-PapersOnLine 52, 196–201 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2019.06.060
Bellocchi, G., Rivington, M., Donatelli, M., Matthews, K.: Validation of biophysical models: issues and methodologies. A review, Agron. Sustain. Dev. 30, 10 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1051/agro/2009001
Hu, Y., Ma, P., Yang, M., Wang, Z.: Validation and optimization of modular railgun model. In: International Symposium. Electromagnetic. Launch Technology, Beijing, China, p. 6 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1109/EML.2012.6325055
Song, J., Wei, L., Ming, Y.: A method for simulation model validation based on Theil’s inequality coefficient and principal component analysis. In: Communication Computer Information Science, pp. 126–135. Springer (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-45037-2_12
Morales Alvarado, C.S.: Estudo e implementação de métodos de validação de modelos matemáticos aplicados no desenvolvimento de sistemas de controle de processos industriais, Universidade de São Paulo (2017)
Clarke, D.W., Mohtadi, C., Tuffs, P.S.: Generalized predictive control—Part I. Basic Algorithm, Autom. 23, 137–148 (1987). https://doi.org/10.1016/0005-1098(87)90087-2
Qin, S.J., Badgwell, T.A.: An overview of industrial Model Predictive Control technology. In: AIChE Symposium Series, vol. 316, pp. 232–256 (1997)
Dvurecenska, K., Graham, S., Patelli, E., Patterson, E.A.: A probabilistic metric for the validation of computational models. R. Soc. Open Sci. 5, 14 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.180687
Theil, H.: Applied Economic Forecasting. North Holland Publishing Company, Amsterdam (1966)
Van Woensel, T., Vandaele, N.: Empirical validation of a queueing approach to uninterrupted traffic flows. J. Oper. Res. 4, 59–72 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10288-005-0075-9
Rowland, J.R., Holmes, W.M.: Simulation validation with sparse random data. Comput. Electr. Eng. 5, 37–49 (1978). https://doi.org/10.1016/0045-7906(78)90016-2
Ljung, L.: System identification : theory for the user, Prentice Hall PTR, New Jersey (1999). https://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=293154. Accessed 18 July 2019
Muroi, H., Adachi, S.: Model validation criteria for system identification in time domain. IFAC-PapersOnLine (2015). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2015.12.105
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Appendix A. Table Containing the Non-parametric Models
Appendix A. Table Containing the Non-parametric Models
Model no. | Polynomials of the discrete-time model |
---|---|
885 | \( A\left( z \right) = 1 - 2.578z^{ - 1} + 2.29z^{ - 2} - 0.7021z^{ - 3} \) \( {\text{B}}\left( {\text{z}} \right) = - 0.02791 z^{ - 10} + 0.01409 z^{ - 11} + 0.01942 z^{ - 12} + 0.00409 z^{ - 13} + 7.161e^{ - 05} z^{ - 14} \) \( \begin{aligned} {\text{C}}\left( {\text{z}} \right) = & 1 + 0.9756z^{ - 1} + 0.5274z^{ - 2} + 0.3529 z^{ - 3} + 0.2562 z^{ - 4} + 0.3491z^{ - 5} \\ & + 0.06699z^{ - 6} + 0.7827z^{ - 7} + 0.9114z^{ - 8} + 0.3458z^{ - 9} + 0.04423z^{ - 10} \\ \end{aligned} \) |
2443 | \( A\left( z \right) = 1 - 1.669z^{ - 1} + 0.7425z^{ - 2} \) \( {\text{B}}\left( {\text{z}} \right) = - 0.04885 z^{ - 1} + 0.1219 z^{ - 2} \) \( \begin{aligned} {\text{C}}\left( {\text{z}} \right) = & 1 - 1.051z^{ - 1} + 0.2701z^{ - 2} + 0.01785 z^{ - 3} - 0.02654 z^{ - 4} + 0.008613z^{ - 5} \\ & - 0.006509z^{ - 6} + 0.02535z^{ - 7} - 0.02804z^{ - 8} - 0.008055z^{ - 9} + 0.03944z^{ - 10} \\ \end{aligned} \) |
4669 | \( {\text{B}}\left( {\text{z}} \right) = 0.1422z^{ - 1} - 0.2996z^{ - 2} + 0.18z^{ - 3} \) \( {\text{F}}\left( {\text{z}} \right) = 1 - 2.651z^{ - 1} + 2.438z^{ - 2} - 0.7637z^{ - 3} \) |
4720 | \( \begin{aligned} {\text{B}}\left( {\text{z}} \right) = & 0.05462z^{ - 1} - 0.1254z^{ - 2} - 0.03513z^{ - 3} + 0.4091 z^{ - 4} - 0.4717z^{ - 5} \\ & + 0.1479z^{ - 6} + 0.4263z^{ - 7} - 1.143z^{ - 8} + 1.17z^{ - 9} - 0.4311z^{ - 10} \\ \end{aligned} \) \( {\text{F}}\left( {\text{z}} \right) = 1 - 2.893z^{ - 1} + 2.767z^{ - 2} - 0.605z^{ - 3} - 0.4237 z^{ - 4} + 0.1569z^{ - 5} \) |
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2021 The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Reyes Dreke, V.D., Pérez Serrano, M.A., Garcia, C. (2021). An Approach to Model Validation for Model Predictive Control Based on Dvurecenska’s Metric. In: Gonçalves, J.A., Braz-César, M., Coelho, J.P. (eds) CONTROLO 2020. CONTROLO 2020. Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, vol 695. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-58653-9_10
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-58653-9_10
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-58652-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-58653-9
eBook Packages: Intelligent Technologies and RoboticsIntelligent Technologies and Robotics (R0)