Skip to main content

Foresight or Discounting Danger?

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
The Fossil-Fuelled Climate Crisis
  • 240 Accesses

Abstract

First, suggestions to enhance foresight based on the previous analysis are presented: understand the science, communicate it in ways non-scientists can understand, make the fossil-fuelled threat concrete, create an app for carbon pollution, promote inclusion, and equal opportunity, focus on social practices not just discourse, promote timeliness, combat the fallacy that a carbon tax is a job killer, and value nature’s services. Then other proposed solutions are evaluated: divestment, lawsuits, reducing consumption, moral suasion, offsetting, population restraint by educating girls, improving governance, transcending capitalism, and social democracy. After weighing the strengths and weaknesses of each solution, this book concludes that although none is perfect in a complex diverse world, they can make differential contributions specified in the book to mitigate the fossil-fuelled climate crisis. The priority given to foresight versus discounting danger will determine its outcome and the creeping threat to the sustainability of the beneficial habitat for humanity.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

eBook
USD 16.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Beck, U. 2015. Emancipatory Catastrophism. Current Sociology 63 (1): 75–88.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Carbon Tracker. 2015. Mark Carney warns Investors Face Huge Climate Change Losses. 30 September. https://carbontracker.org/mark-carney-warns-investors-face-huge-climate-change-losses/. Accessed 15 April 2020.

  • Carolan, Michael. 2014. Cheaponomics: The High Cost of Low Prices. Abingdon, UK: Earthscan.

    Google Scholar 

  • Catton Jr., William R. 1980. Overshoot: The Ecological Basis of Revolutionary Change. Urbana and Chicago: University of Illinois Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • CDIAC. 2018. Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center. U.S. Department of Energy. Berkley. cdiac.Ess-dive.lbl.gov.

  • Dunlap, Riley E., and Peter J. Jacques. 2013. Climate Change Denial Books and Conservative Think Tanks: Exploring the Connection. American Behavioral Scientist 57: 699–731.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dunlap, R., A. McCright, and J. Yarosh. 2016. The Political Divide on Climate Change: Partisan Polarization Widens in the U.S. Environment Science and Policy for Sustainable Development 58 (5): 4–23.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • EPA. 2017. Causes of Climate Change. United States Environmental Protection Agency. https://19january2017snapshot.epa.gov/climate-change-science/causes-climate-change_.html. Accessed 17 April 2020.

  • Fairbrother, Malcolm. 2016. Externalities: Why Environmental Sociology Should Bring Them. In Environmental Sociology 2 (4): 375–384.

    Google Scholar 

  • Flannery, Tim. 2015. Atmosphere of Hope: Searching for Solutions to the Climate Crisis. New York: Atlantic Monthly Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Foster, John Bellamy, Brett Clark, and Richard York. 2011. The Ecological Rift: Capitalism’s War on the Earth. New York: Monthly Review Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Freudenburg, W. 2006. Environmental Degradation, Disproportionality, and the Double Diversion. Rural Sociology 71 (1): 3–32.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Germanwatch. 2012. CCPI The Climate Change Performance Index Results 2012. http://germanwatch.org/klima/ccpi.pdf. Accessed 5 November 2012.

  • Germanwatch. 2019. CCPI: The Climate Change Performance Index Results 2019. https://germanwatch.org/sites/germanwatch.org/files/CCPI-2019-Results-190614-WEB-A4.pdf. Accessed 22 September 2019.

  • Harvey, Hal, and Robbie Orbis. 2018. Designing Climate Solutions: A Policy Guide for Low-Carbon Energy. Washington, DC: Island Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Hawken, Paul. 2010. The Ecology of Commerce: A Declaration of Sustainability, rev. ed. New York: Harper Business.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hawken, Paul. 2017. Drawdown: The Most Comprehensive Plan Ever Proposed to Reverse Global Warming. New York: Penguin.

    Google Scholar 

  • Heal, Geoffrey. 2017. Endangered Economies: How the Neglect of Nature Threatens Our Prosperity. New York: Columbia University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • IPBES. 2019. Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. Global Assessment Report on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services. Bonn: IPBES. https://ipbes.net/sites/default/files/2020-02/ipbes_global_assessment_report_summary_for_policymakers_en.pdf. Accessed 10 April 2020.

  • Jaccard, Mark. 2018. Divisive Carbon Taxes Are Much Ado About Nothing. The Globe and Mail, 15 December: O4.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jacques, Peter, Riley E. Dunlap, and Mark Freeman. 2008. The Organization of Denial: Conservative Think Tanks and Environmental Scepticism. Environmental Politics 17: 349–385.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kahn, Mizan R., and J. Timmons Roberts. 2013. Towards a Binding Adaptation Regime: Three Levers and Two Instruments. In Successful Adaptation to Climate Change: Linking Science and Policy in a Rapidly Changing World, ed. Susanne C. Moser and Maxwell T. Boykoff, Chapter 8. London: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Klein, Naomi. 2014. This Changes Everything: Capitalism vs the Climate. New York: Simon & Schuster.

    Google Scholar 

  • Latin, H. 2012. Climate Change Policy Failures. Singapore: World Scientific Publishing.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Meadows, Donella, Dennis Meadows, Jorgen Randers, and William Behrens. 1972. The Limits to Growth. New York: Universe Books.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mol, A.P.J., D. Sonnenfeld, and G. Spaargaren. 2009. The Ecological Modernisation Reader: Environmental Reform in Theory and Practice. London: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Munro, Margaret. 2019. Green Screen: A Planetary Conscience in Every Phone? There Should Be an App for That. Globe and Mail, 26 October: O3.

    Google Scholar 

  • Myclimate. 2020. My Climate: Shape Our Future. Zurich: Foundation Myclimate. https://co2.myclimate.org/en/portfolios?calculation_id=3492359&localized_currency=USD. Accessed 30 April 2020.

  • Nordhaus, William. 2013. The Climate Casino: Risk, Uncertainty, and Economics for a Warming World. New Haven: Yale University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Pielke Jr., Roger. 2010. The Climate Fix. New York: Basic Books.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ragan, Chris. 2019. Borrowing Policies Is Canada’s Best Policy. Globe and Mail, 12 August: A11.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reguly, Eric. 2020. Trump’s Davos Talk Shows He’s No Thatcher. The Globe and Mail, 22 January: B4.

    Google Scholar 

  • Roberts, J. Timmons, and Bradley Parks. 2007. A Climate of Injustice: Global Inequality, North-South Politics, and Climate Policy. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rowe, James, Jessica Dempsey, and Peter Gibbs. 2016. The Power of Fossil Fuel Divestment (and Its Secret). In A World to Win: Contemporary Social Movements and Counter-Hegemony, ed. William R. Carroll and Kanchan Sarker, 233–249. Winnipeg: ARP Books.

    Google Scholar 

  • Safran Foer, Jonathan. 2019. We Are the Weather: Saving the Planet Begins at Breakfast. New York: Farrar, Strauss and Giroux.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sonnenfeld, D. 2009. Contradictions of Ecological Modernisation. In The Ecological Modernisation Reader, ed. A. Mol, D. Sonnenfeld, and G. Spaargaren, 372–390. Abingdon: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Speth, James Gustave. 2009. The Bridge at the Edge of the World: Capitalism, the Environment, and Crossing from Crisis to Sustainability. New Haven: Yale University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Speth, James Gustave. 2012. America the Possible: Manifest for a New Economy. New Haven: Yale University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stern, Nicholas. 2009. A Blueprint for a Safer Planet. London: Random House.

    Google Scholar 

  • Suzuki, David, and Ian Hanington. 2017. Just Cool It: The Climate Crisis and What We Can Do. Vancouver and Berkeley: Greystone Books.

    Google Scholar 

  • Thornes, John. 2010. Atmospheric Services. Issues in Environmental Science and Technology 30: 70–104.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tong, Ziya. 2019. The Reality Bubble:Blind Spots, Hidden Truths, and the Dangerous Illusions that Shape Our World. Toronto: Penguin.

    Google Scholar 

  • Turner, B., and N. Pidgeon. 1978. Man-Made Disasters. London: Wykeham.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wagner, Gernot, and Martin Weitzman. 2015. Climate Shock: The Economic Consequences of a Hotter Planet. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Willis, Andrew. 2019. The Future Is Plastics: Murray Edwards, Li Ka-Shing Add to Oil Patch Holdings as Others Flee. Globe and Mail, 7 July: B1, B5.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wood, Mary Christina. 2013. Nature’s Trust: Environmental Law for a New Ecological Age. New York: Cambridge University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Yale University. 2012. EPI Environmental Performance Index 2012. http://epi.yale.edu. Accessed 8 November 2012.

  • Yale University. 2018. EPI Environmental Performance Index 2018. https://epi.envirocenter.yale.edu/epi-country-report/CAN. Accessed 22 September 2019.

  • York, R. 2012. Do Alternative Energy Sources Displace Fossil Fuels? Nature Climate Change 2 (6): 441–443.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • York, R., and J.A. McGee. 2016. Understanding the Jevons Paradox. Environmental Sociology 2 (1): 77–87. https://doi.org/10.1080/23251042.2015.1106060.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • York, R., and E. Rosa. 2003. Key Challenges to Ecological Modernization Theory. Organization & Environment 16 (3): 273–288.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Raymond Murphy .

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2021 The Author(s)

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Murphy, R. (2021). Foresight or Discounting Danger?. In: The Fossil-Fuelled Climate Crisis. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-53325-0_11

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-53325-0_11

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-53324-3

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-53325-0

  • eBook Packages: Social SciencesSocial Sciences (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics