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Shelter and Strategic Hedging in the Gulf Cooperation Council

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Small States and the New Security Environment

Part of the book series: The World of Small States ((WSS,volume 7))

Abstract

The small states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) have always nursed a fear of encroachment and interference by the larger states in the Gulf—Iran, Iraq, and Saudi Arabia. This chapter discusses how Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates dealt with their apprehension specifically regarding Iran and Saudi Arabia. It argues that their ample financial resources, strategic location, and history—each applying to a different extent in the different states—have helped them compensate for their small size and population. While all GCC states, including the large Saudi Arabia, have a sheltering relationship with the United States, they all followed defined strategies that helped them preserve their sovereignty and ensured the security of their royal families. Bahrain has utilized the shelter theory in its relationship with Saudi Arabia to face Iran and other threats, Kuwait has been a nonaligned mediator in GCC affairs but accommodates Iran, Oman rejects Saudi policies and nourishes good relations with Iran, Qatar has audacious hedging strategies that distance it from the kingdom but open it to Iran, and the UAE has been both ally with and foe against Saudi Arabia and Iran but has widened its military reach in its strategic theater.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Thorhallsson (2018), p. 64.

  2. 2.

    Guzansky (2015), http://www.mepc.org/foreign-policy-tools-small-powers-strategic-hedging-persian-gulf.

  3. 3.

    Anthony (2016), pp. 23–43. See also Clayton Thomas, “Arms Sales in the Middle East: Trends and Perspectives for U.S. Policy,” Congressional Research Service, R44984, October 11, 2017, https://fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/R44984.pdf.

  4. 4.

    Kenneth Katzman, “Bahrain: Unrest, Security, and U.S. Policy,” Congressional Research Service, 95–1013, October 11, 2018, https://fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/95-1013.pdf; Kenneth Katzman, “Kuwait: Governance, Security, and U.S. Policy,” Congressional Research Service, RS21513, December 4, 2018, https://fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RS21513.pdf; Kenneth Katzman, “Oman: Reform, Security, and U.S. Policy” Congressional Research Service, RS21534, May 8, 2018, https://fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RS21534.pdf; Kenneth Katzman, “Qatar: Governance, Security, and U.S. Policy,” Congressional Research Service, R44533, March 1, 2018, https://fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/R44533.pdf; Kenneth Katzman, “The United Arab Emirates (UAE): Issues for U.S. Policy,” Congressional Research Service, RS21852, April 10, 2018, https://fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RS21852.pdf. See also Christopher Blanchard, “Saudi Arabia: Background and U.S. Relations,” Congressional Research Service, RL33533, December 19, 2018, https://fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RL33533.pdf.

  5. 5.

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  7. 7.

    Ethan Bronner and Michael Slackman, “Saudi Troops Enter Bahrain to Help Put Down Unrest,” New York Times, March 14, 2011, https://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/15/world/middleeast/15bahrain.html.

  8. 8.

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  9. 9.

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  10. 10.

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  11. 11.

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  12. 12.

    Katzman, “Oman,” op. cit.

  13. 13.

    Ahmad Ghaddar, “Factbox: Strait of Hormuz: the world’s most important oil artery,” Reuters, May 13, 2019, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-saudi-oil-emirates-tanker/factbox-strait-of-hormuz-the-worlds-most-important-oil-artery-idUSKCN1SJ0PS.

  14. 14.

    Paul et al. (2013), pp. 274–286.

  15. 15.

    “UAE runs Aden as protectorate, while Hadi hides in the shadows,” Middle East Eye, November 28, 2017, https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/uae-runs-aden-protectorate-while-hadi-hides-shadows.

  16. 16.

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  17. 17.

    Jonathan Gorvett, “Oman plans pipeline to Iran as US sanctions loom,” Asia Times, October 2, 2018, http://www.atimes.com/article/oman-plans-pipeline-to-iran-as-us-sanctions-loom/.

  18. 18.

    Guzansky, “The Foreign Policy Tools,” op. cit.

  19. 19.

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  20. 20.

    Camille Lons, “Oman: between Iran and a hard place,” European Council on Foreign Relations, May 3, 2018, https://www.ecfr.eu/article/commentary_oman_between_iran_and_a_hard_place1.

  21. 21.

    Imad Harb, “Determinants of Oman’s Strategic Position on the Gulf Crisis,” Arab Center Washington DC, January 23, 2018, http://arabcenterdc.org/policy_analyses/determinants-of-omans-strategic-position-on-the-gulf-crisis/.

  22. 22.

    “Gulf single currency inevitable – Oman c. bank chief quoted,” Reuters, October 31, 2016, https://www.reuters.com/article/oman-gulf-currency-idUSL8N1D11O1.

  23. 23.

    Ali Abdelaty, “Qatari forces in Saudi coalition return home,” Reuters, June 7, 2017, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-gulf-qatar-alliance/qatari-forces-in-saudi-led-coalition-return-home-idUSKBN18Y2YH.

  24. 24.

    Ulf Laesing and Cynthia Johnson, “Gulf states launch $20 billion fund for Oman and Bahrain,” Reuters, March 10, 2011, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-gulf-fund/gulf-states-launch-20-billion-fund-for-oman-and-bahrain-idUSTRE7294B120110310.

  25. 25.

    Kamrava (2014), p. 159.

  26. 26.

    Sultan Barakat, “Qatari Mediation: Between Ambition and Achievement,” Brookings Doha Center, Analysis Paper no. 12, June 2016, https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Final-PDF-English.pdf.

  27. 27.

    Randeep Ramesh, “The long-running family rivalries behind the Qatar crisis,” Guardian, July 21, 2017, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/jul/21/qatar-crisis-may-be-rooted-in-old-family-rivalries.

  28. 28.

    Gregg Carlstrom, “What’s the Problem with Al Jazeera?” Atlantic, June 24, 2017, https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2017/06/al-jazeera-qatar-saudi-arabia-muslim-brotherhood/531471/.

  29. 29.

    Sudarsan Ragavan and Joby Warrick, “How a 91-year-old imam came to symbolize the feud between Qatar and its neighbors,” Washington Post, June 27, 2017, https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/how-a-91-year-old-imam-came-to-symbolize-feud-between-qatar-and-its-neighbors/2017/06/26/601d41b4-5157-11e7-91eb-9611861a988f_story.html.

  30. 30.

    Lina Khatib, “Qatar and the Recalibration of Power in the Gulf,” Carnegie Middle East Center, September 2014, https://carnegieendowment.org/files/qatar_recalibration.pdf.

  31. 31.

    Sara Aggour, “Tracking financial assistance to Egypt,” Daily News Egypt, November 25, 2014, https://ww.dailynewssegypt.com/2014/11/25/tracking-financial-assistance-egypt/.

  32. 32.

    Marwa Awad, “Qatar says to invest $18 billion in Egypt’s economy,” Reuters, September 6, 2012, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-egypt-qatar-investment/qatar-says-to-invest-18-billion-in-egypt-economy-idUSBRE8850YK20120906.

  33. 33.

    Andrew Critchlow, “Saudi and UAE ready $20 billion boost for Egypt’s El-Sisi,” Telegraph, June 1, 2014, telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/banksandfinance/10868522/Saudi-and-UAE-ready-20bn-boost-for-Egypts-El-Sisi.html.

  34. 34.

    Barakat, “Qatari Mediation,” op. cit.

  35. 35.

    “Arab states issue 13 demands to end Qatar-Gulf crisis,” Al Jazeera, June 11, 2017, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/06/arab-states-issue-list-demands-qatar-crisis-170623022133024.html.

  36. 36.

    Kabalan (2018), http://arabcenterdc.org/policy_analyses/the-us-qatar-strategic-dialogue-messages-and-implications/.

  37. 37.

    “Join Statement of the Second United States-Qatar Strategic Dialogue: Forward Together,” US Department of State, Office of the Spokesman, Media Note, January 13, 2019, https://www.state.gov/joint-statement-of-the-second-united-states-qatar-strategic-dialogue-forward-together/.

  38. 38.

    “Turkey and Qatar: Behind the strategic alliance,” Al Jazeera, August 16, 2018, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/10/turkey-qatar-strategic-alliance-171024133518768.html.

  39. 39.

    “Saudi claim will support Lebanon after Qatar’s bond investment,” New Arab, January 24, 2019, https://www.alaraby.co.uk/english/news/2019/1/24/saudis-claim-will-support-lebanon-after-qatars-bond-investment.

  40. 40.

    Craig Nelson, “U.S., Taliban Show Optimism in Afghan Peace Talks,” Wall Street Journal, January 27, 2019, https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-taliban-show-optimism-in-afghan-peace-talks-11548622334.

  41. 41.

    For a historical rundown of the islands dispute, see Mattair (1995). See also, Al-Mazrouei (2015), http://gulfresearchmeeting.net/publication_pdf/Noura%20paper.pdf.

  42. 42.

    Alexander Cornwell, “UAE fully complying with U.S. sanctions on Iran: official,” Reuters, November 19, 2018, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-emirates-sanctions/uae-fully-complying-with-u-s-sanctions-on-iran-official-idUSKCN1NO1IV.

  43. 43.

    Adam Schreck, “UAE brands Muslim Brotherhood terrorists,” Times of Israel, November 16, 2014, https://www.timesofisrael.com/uae-brands-muslim-brotherhood-terrorists/.

  44. 44.

    Robin Wigglesworth, “UAE quits Gulf monetary union,” Financial Times, May 20, 2009, https://www.ft.com/content/822cab2e-4534-11de-b6c8-00144feabdc0.

  45. 45.

    Rajiv Chandrasekaran, “In the UAE, the United States has a quiet, little ally nicknamed ‘Little Sparta’,” Washington Post, November 9, 2014, https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/in-the-uae-the-united-states-has-a-quiet-potent-ally-nicknamed-little-sparta/2014/11/08/3fc6a50c-643a-11e4-836c-83bc4f26eb67_story.html.

  46. 46.

    Dania Saadi, “UAE well positioned to create own defense industry,” National (UAE), December 6, 2017, https://www.thenational.ae/business/economy/uae-well-positioned-to-build-own-defence-industry-experts-says-1.682127.

  47. 47.

    Mark Mazzetti and Emily Hager, “Secret Desert Force Set Up by Blackwater’s Founder,” New York Times, May 14, 2011, https://www.nytimes.com/2011/05/15/world/middleeast/15prince.html.

  48. 48.

    Harb (2017), http://arabcenterdc.org/policy_analyses/troubling-ambiguities-in-the-uaes-role-in-yemen/.

  49. 49.

    “UAE runs Aden as protectorate,” Middle East Eye, op. cit.

  50. 50.

    “Exclusive: UAE forced Hadi to support Hodeidah assault against his will,” Middle East Eye, June 13, 2018, https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/exclusive-uae-forced-hadi-support-hodeidah-assault-against-his-will.

  51. 51.

    Aram Rostom, “American Mercenaries,” BuzzFeed News, October 16, 2018, https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/aramroston/mercenaries-assassination-us-yemen-uae-spear-golan-dahlan.

  52. 52.

    “UAE forces ‘occupy’ sea and airports on Yemen’s Socotra,” Al Jazeera, May 4, 2018, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/05/uae-forces-occupy-sea-airports-yemen-socotra-180504181423573.html.

  53. 53.

    “The United Arab Emirates in the Horn of Africa,” International Crisis Group, Briefing No. 65, November 6, 2018, https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/gulf-and-arabian-peninsula/united-arab-emirates/b65-united-arab-emirates-horn-africa.

  54. 54.

    “Supported by the UAE, Haftar seeks to control south Libya,” Middle East Monitor, January 2, 2019, https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20190102-supported-by-the-uae-haftar-seeks-to-control-south-libya/.

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Harb, I.K. (2021). Shelter and Strategic Hedging in the Gulf Cooperation Council. In: Brady, AM., Thorhallsson, B. (eds) Small States and the New Security Environment. The World of Small States, vol 7. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-51529-4_13

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