Skip to main content

The Great Moderation, Real Business Cycles, and Dynamic General Equilibrium Models

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Theoretical Approaches to Economic Growth and Development

Abstract

This chapter, initially describes the role of innovation and human capital as perceived by the endogenous growth theory. It defines the externalities which lead to market imperfections posited by the New Keynesian thought. Furthermore, the Real Business Cycle Theory is presented, with a discussion of supply shocks and technological shocks according to Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium models (DSGE). The last parts of the chapter, present the operation of Central Banks during the period of the Great Moderation and Post-Keynesian Economics and the Financial Instability Hypothesis.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

eBook
USD 16.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 119.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 119.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Arrow, K. J. (1962). Economic welfare and the allocation of resources for inventions. In R. R. Nelson (Ed.), The rate and direction of inventive activity: Economic and social factors. Princeton University Press: Princeton.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ball, L., Mankiw, N. G., & Romer, D. (1988). The New Keynesian economics and the output-inflation trade-off. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1, 1–82.

    Google Scholar 

  • Barro, R. J. (1981). Unanticipated money growth and economic activity in the United States. In Money, expectations, and business cycles, essays in macroeconomics. New York: Academic Press

    Google Scholar 

  • Barro, R. J. (1976). Rational expectations and the role of monetary policy. Journal of Monetary Economics, 2, 1–32.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bernanke, B. S. (2004). The Great Moderation. Remarks at the meetings of the Eastern Economic Association, Washington, DC.

    Google Scholar 

  • Blanchard, O., & Summers, L. (1986). Hysteresis and the European unemployment problem. NBER Macro Annual, 1, 15–90.

    Google Scholar 

  • Cass, D. (1965). Optimum growth in an aggregate model of capital accumulation. Review of Economic Studies, 32, 233–240.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Davidson, P. (2005). Responses to Lavoie, King and Dow on what post Keynesianism is and who is a post Keynesian. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 27, 393–408.

    Google Scholar 

  • Davidson, P. (2011). A response to John Kay. Institute for New Economic Thinking

    Google Scholar 

  • Davis, S. J., & Kahn, J. A. (2008). Interpreting the great moderation: Changes in the volatility of economic activity at the macro and micro levels. Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, 22(4), 155–180.

    Google Scholar 

  • Groshen, E., & Potter, S. (2003). Has structural change contributed to a jobless recovery? Current Issues in Economics and Finance 9. Federal Reserve Bank of New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hall, R. E. (1971). The dynamic effect of fiscal policy in an economy with foresight. Review of Economic Studies, 38, 229–244.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hall, R. E. (1980). The rational expectations approach to the consumption function: A multi-country study by Bilson. European Economic Review, Elsevier, 13(3), 301–303.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Justiniano, A., & Primiceri, G. (2006). The time-varying volatility of macroeconomic fluctuations (NBER Working Paper No. 12022).

    Google Scholar 

  • Koopmans, T. C. (1965). On the concept of optimal economic growth. In Scientific Papers of Tjalling C. Koopmans. New York: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Krugman, P. R. (2015). Sarcasm and science, the conscience of a liberal. New York Times.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kydland, F. E., & Prescott, E. C. (1977). Rules rather than discretion: the inconsistency of optimal plans. Journal of Political Economy, 85, 473–491.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kydland, F. E., & Prescott, E. C. (1982). Time to build and aggregate fluctuations. Econometrica, 50(6), 1345–1370. JSTOR 1913386.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kydland, F. E., & Prescott, E. C. (1990). Business cycles: Real facts and a monetary myth. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, 14(2), 3–18.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lucas, R. E., Jr. (1975). An equilibrium model of the business cycle. Journal of Political Economy, 83(6), 1113–1144. https://doi.org/10.1086/260386.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lucas, R. E. Jr., & Sargent, T. ([1979] 1994). After Keynesian macroeconomics: The in Preston. In R. Miller (Ed.), The rational expectations revolution, readings from the front line (pp. 5–30). Cambridge: MIT Press

    Google Scholar 

  • Minsky, H. P. (1985). The financial instability hypothesis: A restatement. In P. Arestis & T. Skouras (Eds.), Post Keynesian Economic Theory: A challenge to neoclassical economics. Brighton: Wheatsheaf.

    Google Scholar 

  • Minsky H.P. ([1987] 2008). Securitization. New York, NY: Levy Economics Institute of Bard College.

    Google Scholar 

  • Minsky, H. P. (1991). The financial instability hypothesis: A clarification. In M. Feldstein (Ed.), The risk of economic crisis. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Minsky, H. P. (1996). Uncertainty and the institutional structure of capitalist economies (Working Paper 155). Annandale-on-Hudson, NY: Levy Economics Institute of Bard College.

    Google Scholar 

  • Obstfeld, M., & Rogoff, K. (2002). Global implications of self-oriented national monetary rules. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(2), 503–535.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Plosser, C. (1989). Understanding real business cycles. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 3(3), 51–77.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Romer, P. M. (1983). Dynamic competitive equilibria with externalities, increasing returns and unbounded growth (Ph.D. dissertation). University of Chicago.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rotemberg, J. J., & Woodford, M. (1997). An optimization-based econometric framework for the evaluation of monetary policy. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 12, 297–346. JSTOR 3585236.

    Google Scholar 

  • Solow, R. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70(1), 65–69.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Solow, R. (1957). Technical change and the aggregate production function. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 39(3), 312–320.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stadler, G. (1994). Real business cycles. Journal of Economics Literature, XXXII, 1750–1783.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stiglitz, J. E. (2003). The roaring nineties: A new history of the world’s most prosperous decade. New York: W. W. Norton.

    Google Scholar 

  • Stiglitz, J. E. (1997). Reflections on the natural rate hypothesis. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 11(1), 3–10.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. (2002). Has the business cycle changed and why? In Mark Gertler & Kenneth Rogoff (Eds.), Macroeconomics (pp. 159–218). Cambridge: MIT Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Summers, L. H. (1986). Some skeptical observations on real business cycle theory. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 10(4), 23–27.

    Google Scholar 

  • Taylor, J. B. (2013). International monetary coordination and the great deviation. Paper prepared for the Session on International Policy Coordination, American Economic Association Annual Meetings, San Diego, CA.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Panagiotis E. Petrakis .

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 The Author(s)

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Petrakis, P.E. (2020). The Great Moderation, Real Business Cycles, and Dynamic General Equilibrium Models. In: Theoretical Approaches to Economic Growth and Development. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-50068-9_16

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-50068-9_16

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-50067-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-50068-9

  • eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics