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Existing Empirical Evidence on the Nexus Between Income Distribution andĀ Economic Growth

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Secular Stagnation Theories

Part of the book series: Springer Studies in the History of Economic Thought ((SSHET))

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Abstract

This chapter provides a short literature review on the empirical nexus between income distribution and economic growth. It briefly discusses the economic impact of changes in the functional distribution of income (wage- versus profit-led economic regimes), but also approaches the topic of equality- and inequality-led economic growth, as well as the distributional impact of economic growth.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The ex-post rate of real capital accumulation in goods market equilibrium is given by \(g\, = \, \frac{I}{K} \, = \, s_p\pi u\). Assuming a constant ratio of total saving to profits \((s_p)\), it is the profit share \((\pi )\) and the degree of capacity utilization \((u)\) which play the dominant role. If aggregate demand \((Y)\) and hence the degree of capacity utilization \((u)\) are wage-led, economic growth \((g)\) may still decline with a rise in the wage share (i.e., a fall in the profit share) if the positive impact of a rise in the wage share on \(u\) is comparatively small. Following Marglin and Bhaduri (1990), this may happen when real capital accumulation reacts only little to a rise in \(u\), but strongly to a decline in \(\pi \).

  2. 2.

    A growth spell is defined as a period ā€œ[...] of at least five years during which growth is above 2 percentĀ and significantly higher than during preceding years [...]ā€ (Ostry etĀ al. 2014,Ā p. 16).

  3. 3.

    In a subsequent analysis, Berg and Ostry (2017,Ā pp.Ā 804ā€“808) similarly identify a more equal distribution of income as an important driver of longer growth periods.

  4. 4.

    On the finding that the source of economic change matters, see also Auclert and Rognlie (2017, 2018). In analyzing their theoretical framework, they find that the cause of variations in the distribution of income is important in determining their economic impact.

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Anselmann, C. (2020). Existing Empirical Evidence on the Nexus Between Income Distribution andĀ Economic Growth. In: Secular Stagnation Theories. Springer Studies in the History of Economic Thought. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-41087-2_9

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