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Analysis of the Spatial Dependence of Rainfall Fields in the Southeast of Mexico, Using Directional Variograms

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Water Resources of Mexico

Part of the book series: World Water Resources ((WWR,volume 6))

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Abstract

A basic review regarding the origin of precipitation and its spatial and temporal distribution in the southern region of Mexico is presented. The origin of extreme rainfall events that caused severe damage in the Mexican states of Chiapas and Tabasco in October 2007 is analyzed in detail. The cartography of hydrologic variables is considered in its historical perspective, and the basis for the study of the spatial dependence of these variables in a geographical and physical environment is also introduced. An example of the interpretation of directional variograms is presented, and how this mathematical function can represent spatial variability and form rainfall patterns within a region through a kriging procedure is explained. Directional variograms for the rainy months in Chiapas and Tabasco are estimated. The analyses of satellite images confirm that theoretical variograms are the right tool to faithfully represent the spatial variability of a hydrologic phenomenon. The results presented in this paper show that there exist, in this region of Mexico, rain patterns that can be analyzed through geostatistical methods and that the selection of the variogram to carry out a kriging interpolation implies much more than a simple visual adjustment.

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Acknowledgments

The authors thank Jose Luis Carrasco Martinez for satellite imagery, Ms. Ivonne Cruz Paz for valuable assistance in the technical review of the manuscript, and Ms. Martha Roman Juarez for the capture and processing of the database of precipitation for this region.

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Correspondence to Alfonso Gutierrez-López .

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Gutierrez-López, A., Meza-Ruiz, M., Vargas-Baecheler, J. (2020). Analysis of the Spatial Dependence of Rainfall Fields in the Southeast of Mexico, Using Directional Variograms. In: Raynal-Villasenor, J. (eds) Water Resources of Mexico. World Water Resources, vol 6. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-40686-8_14

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