Abstract
In this chapter we introduce the language of probability theory on finite sample spaces. A probability measure assigns to each possible outcome of a random experiment a number that is interpreted as its “likelihood” of occurrence. We explore elementary properties of probability measures and introduce the important concepts of expectation and variance of a random variable. In the last section we also give a very brief account of the important discussions about the meaning of probability.
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References
D. Gillies, Philosophical Theories of Probability (Routledge, London, 2000)
I. Hacking, The Emergence of Probability: A Philosophical Study of Early Ideas About Probability, Induction and Statistical Inference (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2006)
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Koch-Medina, P., Munari, C. (2020). Probabilities and Expectations. In: Market-Consistent Prices. Birkhäuser, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-39724-1_2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-39724-1_2
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Publisher Name: Birkhäuser, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-39722-7
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-39724-1
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