Skip to main content

Modeling Global Consumptions Trends Impact on Transport and Logistics: Scenario Analysis

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:
ICTE in Transportation and Logistics 2019 (ICTE ToL 2019)

Abstract

Transport and logistics heavily depend on economic activity and consumption decisions made by the market nationally and globally. Advanced economies face new global trends caused by more eco-friendly consumption behaviour decisions, distance shopping etc. The aim of the research is to model the economic impact of consumption decisions on transport and logistics caused by global trends. The inter-industry linkages are taken into account and input-output approach and scenario analysis are applied to model the impact of detected global trends on national transports and logistics industry. One EU country, Latvia, is selected as research case, however, the method and general findings can be applied to other countries. The findings are valuable to transport and logistics companies, agencies, governments.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Robertson, R.: Globalisation or glocalisation? J. Int. Commun. 18(2), 191–208 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Furceri, D., Loungani, P., Simon, J., Wachter, S.M.: Global food prices and domestic inflation: some cross-country evidence. Oxf. Econ. Pap. 68(3), 665–687 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Jiang, B., Tian, L.: Collaborative consumption: strategic and economic implications of product sharing. Manag. Sci. 64(3), 1171–1188 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Fehrer, J.A., Benoit, S., Aksoy, L., Baker, T.L., Bell, S.J., Brodie, R.J., Marimuthu, M.: Future scenarios of the collaborative economy. J. Serv. Manag. 29(5), 859–882 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Dablanc, L., Morganti, E., Arvidsson, N., Woxenius, J., Browne, M., Saidi, N.: The rise of on-demand ‘Instant Deliveries’ in European cities. Supply Chain Forum 18(4), 203–217 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Mrazovic, P., Eravci, B., Larriba-Pey, J.L., Ferhatosmanoglu, H., Matskin, M.: Understanding and predicting trends in urban freight transport. In: Bilof, R. (ed.) Proceedings - 18th IEEE International Conference on Mobile Data Management - MDM 2017, pp. 124–133. CPS, Daejeon (2017)

    Google Scholar 

  7. Morganti, E., Dablanc, L.: Recent innovation in last mile deliveries. SpringerBriefs in Applied Sciences and Technology, pp. 27–45. Springer, Heidelberg (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-09791-6_3

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  8. Rai, H.B., Verlinde, S., Macharis, C.: Shipping outside the box. Environmental impact and stakeholder analysis of a crowd logistics platform in Belgium. J. Clean. Prod. 202, 806–816 (2018)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Meherishi, L., Narayana, S.A., Ranjani, K.S.: Sustainable packaging for supply chain management in the circular economy: a review. J. Clean. Prod. 237, 117582 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Sarkar, B., Ullah, M., Kim, N.: Environmental and economic assessment of closed-loop supply chain with remanufacturing and returnable transport items. Comput. Ind. Eng. 111, 148–163 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  11. Lam, J.S.L., Gu, Y.: A market-oriented approach for intermodal network optimisation meeting cost, time and environmental requirements. Int. J. Prod. Econ. 171, 266–274 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  12. de Keizer, M., Akkerman, R., Grunow, M., Bloemhof, J.M., Haijema, R., van der Vorst, J.G.A.J.: Logistics network design for perishable products with heterogeneous quality decay. Eur. J. Oper. Res. 262(2), 535–549 (2017)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  13. Feitó-Cespón, M., Sarache, W., Piedra-Jimenez, F., Cespón-Castro, R.: Redesign of a sustainable reverse supply chain under uncertainty. A case study. J. Clean. Prod. 151, 206–217 (2017)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Russo, F., Comi, A.: Urban freight transport planning towards green goals: synthetic environmental evidence from tested results. Sustainability 8(4), 1–18 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Yang, M., Zacharias, J.: Potential for revival of the bicycle in Beijing. Int. J. Sustain. Transp. 10(6), 517–527 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Shafiee, M., Brennan, F., Espinosa, I.A.: A parametric whole life cost model for offshore wind farms. Int. J. Life Cycle Assess. 21(7), 961–975 (2016)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Jurgelane-Kaldava, I., Ozolina, V., Auzina-Emsina, A.: Modeling the influence of transportation and storage industry on the economic development of Latvia. Procedia Comput. Sci. 149, 450–456 (2019)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Eurostat: Quality report on National and Regional Accounts. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg (2018)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Astra Auzina-Emsina .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this paper

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this paper

Auzina-Emsina, A., Ozolina, V., Jurgelane-Kaldava, I. (2020). Modeling Global Consumptions Trends Impact on Transport and Logistics: Scenario Analysis. In: Ginters, E., Ruiz Estrada, M., Piera Eroles, M. (eds) ICTE in Transportation and Logistics 2019. ICTE ToL 2019. Lecture Notes in Intelligent Transportation and Infrastructure. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-39688-6_1

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-39688-6_1

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-39687-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-39688-6

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics