Skip to main content

Demand Elasticities at the Intensive and Extensive Margins for Advertising Mail Traffic in the UK

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
The Changing Postal Environment

Abstract

Advertising letter mail competes for marketing budgets against a range of different media types. Since the early 2000s, its share of total advertising expenditure in the UK declined by approximately half to account for less than a tenth by the end of 2018. However, advertising mail remains an important component of UK letter volumes, accounting for over three billion items and around a third of addressed inland letters in 2018. A number of factors impact the demand for advertising letters, some outside the control of postal operators and decision-makers (such as economic conditions and advances in new technology), but price is a factor that can influence demand. Here we investigate advertising price elasticities using a rich source of UK customer data.

*The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of their affiliated organizations.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 119.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 159.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 159.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Notes

  1. 1.

    Estimates informed by figures from various World Advertising Research Center (WARC) Expenditure Reports.

  2. 2.

    For example, to use a Royal Mail advertising mail product, a customer needs to mail a minimum of 1000 letters or parcels, and parcels or 250 large letters.

  3. 3.

    It would have been possible to differentiate product categories further, for example, by machine-readable font type or eco-friendly paper envelopes. However, Royal Mail product managers, in the first instance, tend to differentiate addressed advertising letters by speed, sortation, and format level, and this product grouping categorization was adopted. A further point to note is that customers infrequently send a relatively very small number of First-Class sorted advertising letters which have been excluded from this analysis.

  4. 4.

    The main reason for the relatively low number of non-zero observations is that customers do not simultaneously consume all eight product categories at each point in time. That is, customers do not send addressed advertising mail containing all levels of sortation, all speeds of delivery, and all format types in every three months of the year.

  5. 5.

    Access products are collected and sorted by upstream competitors to Royal Mail, as well as some very large customers, who then transport it to a Royal Mail inward mail center prior to Royal Mail delivering it to its final destination.

  6. 6.

    The price paid by large senders of advertising mail tends to be subject to competitive tenders and can differ to the standard rate card price publicly available at the time.

  7. 7.

    A technical appendix detailing these computations is available upon request from the authors.

  8. 8.

    Unfortunately, we do not have data on customers who switch from sending advertising mail via a Royal Mail retail product to an access operator service, and therefore we cannot directly estimate access customer cross-price elasticities.

  9. 9.

    For example, advertising cross-price elasticity estimates with respect to First-Class Mail and Periodical lie in the range 0.1–0.2 and are substantially lower than estimates reported in Table 2, possibly reflecting the fact that the USPS product groups contain mails that, in general, are used for different purposes.

References

  • Avery, R. B., Hansen, L. P., & Hotz, V. J. (1983). Multiperiod probit models and orthogonality condition estimation. International Economic Review, 24(1), 21–35.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Borjas, G. J. (1980). The relationship between wages and weekly hours of work: The role of division bias. The Journal of Human Resources, 15(3), 409–423.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bzhilyanskaya, L. Y., Cigno, M., & Pearsall, E. S. (2015). A branching AIDS model for estimating U.S. postal price elasticities. In M. A. Crew & T. J. Brennan (Eds.), Postal and delivery innovation in the digital economy (pp. 91–113). Cham: Springer International Publishing.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Davidson, R., & MacKinnon, J. (2004). Econometric theory and methods. New York: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Deaton, A., & Irish, M. (1984). Statistical models for zero expenditures in household budgets. Journal of Public Economics, 23, 59–80.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fève, F., Magnac, T., Soteri, S., & Veruete-McKay, L. (2018). How price sensitive is letter advertising mail in the UK. In P. L. Parcu, T. Brennan, & V. Glass (Eds.), New business and regulatory strategies in the postal sector (pp. 207–217). Cham: Springer International Publishing.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Hin, L. Y., & Wang, Y. G. (2009). Working-correlation structure identification in generalized estimating equations. Statistics in Medicine, 28(4), 642–658.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liang, K. Y., & Zeger, S. L. (1986). Longitudinal data analysis using generalized linear models. Biometrika, 73(1), 13–22.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pan, W. (2001). Akaike’s information criterion in generalized estimating equations. Biometrics, 57(1), 120–125.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Veruete-McKay, L., Soteri, S., Nankervis, J., & Rodriguez, F. (2011). Letter traffic demand in the UK: An analysis by product and envelope content type. Review of Network Economics, 10(3), 1–28.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Thierry Magnac .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Fève, F., Magnac, T., Soteri, S. (2020). Demand Elasticities at the Intensive and Extensive Margins for Advertising Mail Traffic in the UK. In: Parcu, P.L., Brennan, T.J., Glass, V. (eds) The Changing Postal Environment. Topics in Regulatory Economics and Policy. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-34532-7_16

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics