Abstract
The subject of the flash flood risk assessment is an inclusive task that relies on the characteristics of the study area and the nature of previously recorded incidents. The Egyptian Nile Wadies (East Nile, and West Nile) are draining toward the highest population density and associated assets, while the Red Sea and Sinai wadies are draining toward high-density touristic compounds and scattered big cities and connecting roads. The existence of high urban densities and associated assets in the highest discharge locations (at wadies outfalls) without adequate consideration of wadi paths led to a considerable wadies encroachments and catastrophic recorded incidents. All recorded incidents are either due to unplanned urban and agricultural expansion, or insufficient flood mitigation measures, or lack of maintenance. Due to the freshwater stress in Egypt, the rainfall harvesting in the form of dams or artificial lakes should be considered as a top priority flood mitigation measure wherever applicable. The total capacity of all flood protection dams and artificial lakes all over Egypt is about 70 million m3 (MWRI 2016) that raises the potentiality for more similar measures to increase the rate of investment return from both flood mitigation and reduction in freshwater stress. The available data for this study were sufficient enough to calculate the catchments peak discharge and runoff volume. The 100 year return period was selected for the peak discharge calculations. Many thresholds have been tested for catchment delineation in order to obtain a reasonable number of catchments suitable for such a regional-scale study. The SRTM 90 × 90 DEM file was utilized as an input in the delineation procedure, with selected threshold was set to 50 km2. Due to the large variance of the catchments peak discharge and runoff volume, the box plot technique was employed to eliminate the ranking outlier values. The catchments were classified into five categories very high risk, high risk, moderate risk, low to moderate risk, and low risk. This categorization was done for the Peak Flow Standardized Risk Factor (PFSRF) and Runoff Volume Standardized Risk Factor (RVSRF) in order to prioritize the flood mitigation measures required for projects. The classification based on the runoff volume can guide the designer accounting for rain harvesting projects that would increase the rate of investment return from both flood mitigation and the reduction of freshwater stress. A two-dimensional HEC-RAS rainfall-runoff modeling is conducted for Ras Gharib city by using updated 30 × 30 DEM files to contain the manmade topographical modifications. The model was verified versus aerial photos for the 2016 incident. In order to assess the effectiveness of the newly constructed culvert (16 vents, 3 m × 3 m box culvert) with attached two dikes, another updated two-dimensional HEC-RAS rainfall-runoff model has been conducted and the results showed significant improvement in flood intensity values in Ras-Gharib city.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Abbreviations
- \({\text{A}}\) :
-
Catchment Area (km2)
- ASRF:
-
Catchment Area Standardized Risk Factor
- CN:
-
Curve Number
- \(D\) :
-
Rainfall duration corresponding to the time step of calculations
- \(D_{d}\) :
-
Drainage density
- \(d\) :
-
Flow depth
- DSRF:
-
Drainage Density Standardized Risk Factor
- \({\text{FI}}\) :
-
Flood Intensity
- \(F_{s}\) :
-
Stream frequency
- FSRF:
-
Drainage Frequency Standardized Risk Factor
- GIS:
-
Geographic Information System
- IF:
-
Intensity Factor
- L :
-
Longest flow path in (m)
- LSRF:
-
Surface flow Length Standardized Risk Factor
- MENA:
-
The Middle East and North Africa
- MWRI:
-
Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation
- \(N_{u}\) :
-
Number of streams of order (U)
- \(N_{u + 1}\) :
-
Number of streams of order (U + 1)
- O&M:
-
Operation and Maintenance
- PFSRF:
-
Peak Flow Standardized Risk Factor
- \(R_{b}\) :
-
Bifurcation ratio
- RVSRF:
-
Runoff Volume Standardized Risk Factor
- \(S_{\text{l}}\) :
-
Slope of the longest flow path
- \({\text{SRTM}}\) :
-
Shuttle Radar Topography Mission
- SSRF:
-
Slope Standardized Risk Factor
- TCSRF:
-
Time of Concentration Standardized Risk Factor
- \(T_{c}\) :
-
Time of concentration in (min)
- \(T_{L}\) :
-
Lag time
- \(T_{p}\) :
-
Time to peak discharge
- \({\text{TL}}_{s}\) :
-
Total length of streams (m)
- \({\text{TN}}_{s}\) :
-
Total number of streams
- \(U\) :
-
Stream orders according to (Horton 1945)
- \(V\) :
-
Flow Velocity
- WSRF:
-
Weighted Standardized Risk Factor
- WMO:
-
World Meteorological Organization
References
Abdalla, F., Shamy, I. El, Bamousa, A. O., Mansour, A., Mohamed, A., Tahoon, M. (2014). Flash floods and groundwater recharge potentials in arid land alluvial basins, Southern Red Sea Coast, Egypt. International Journal of Geosciences, 5, 971–982. https://doi.org/10.4236/ijg.2014.59083.
Abdel-fattah, M., Saber, M., & Kantoush, S. A. (2017). A hydrological and geomorphometric approach to understanding the generation of Wadi flash floods. Water, 9, 1–27. https://doi.org/10.3390/w9070553.
Al-Saud, M. (2010). Assessment of flood Hazards of Jeddah Area 2009, Saudi Arabia. Journal of Water Resource and Protection. 2, 839–847. https://doi.org/10.4236/jwarp.2010.29099.
Awadallah, A. G., Saad, H., El-Moustafa, A., & Hassan, A. (2016). Reliability assessment of water structures subject to data scarcity using the SCS-CN model. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 61, 696–710. https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2015.1027709.
Chow, V. T. (1959). Open-channel hydraulics, McGraw-Hill Book Company.
Durrans, S. R. (2007). Stormwater conveyance modeling and design. Exton, PA: Bentley Institute Press.
El-Moustafa, A. M. (2012). Weighted normalized risk factor for floods risk assessment. Ain Shams Engineering Journal, 3, 327–332. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asej.2012.04.001.
El-Rayes, A. E., Omran, A. (2009). Flood control and water management in arid environment : Case study on Wadi Hagul, Northwest Gulf of Suez region, Egypt. In The international on water conservation in arid regions.
Elsadek, W. M., Ibrahim, M. G., & Mahmod, W. E. (2018). Flash flood risk estimation of Wadi Qena watershed, Egypt using GIS based morphometric analysis. Applied Environmental Research, 40, 36–45.
El-Shamy, I. (1992). Recent recharge and flash flooding opportunities in the eastern Desert, Egypt. Annals of geological survey of Egypt. Annals of the Geological Survey of Egypt, 18, 323–334.
Eman, M. G., Nigel, W. A., Giles, M. F. (2002). Characterizing the flash flood Hazards potential along the Red Sea Coast of Egypt. In The Extremes of the Extremes: Extraordinary Floods (IAHS Proceedings & Reports) (pp. 211–216), Iahs Publication.
European-Commission. (2016). A communication on flood risk management; flood prevention, protection, and mitigation. Retrived June, 20, 19 from http://ec.europa.eu/environment/water/flood_risk/com.htm.
Helmi, A. M., Mahrous, A., Mustafa, A. E. (2019). Urbanization growth effect on hydrological parameters in mega-cities. In Advances in sustainable and environmental hydrology, hydrogeology, hydrochemistry, and water resources. advances in science, technology & innovation (IEREK interdisciplinary series for sustainable development), Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-01572-5_98.
Horton, R. E. (1945). Erosional development of streams and their Drainage Basins; hydrophysical approach to quantitative morphology. Bulletin of the Geological Society of America, 56, 275–370.
Mohamed, M. (2013). Flash flood risk assessment in the eastern desert. M.Sc. thesis, Irrigation, and Hydraulics Department. Ain Shams University.
MWRI. (2016). Ministry of Water Resources and Irrigation Procedures for Rainwater Management.
NASA. (2019). Socioeconomic data and apllication center. gridded population world (GPW) (Vol. 4), Retrieved June, 20, 19 from https://sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/gpw-v4-population-count-rev11.
Ramirez, J. A. (2000). Prediction and modeling of flood hydrology and hydraulics. In Inland flood Hazards: Human Riparian and Aquatic communities, Cambridge University Press.
Rossmiller, R. L. (1980). The rational formula revised. In International Symposium on Urban Storm Runoff, University of Kentucky.
Rudari, R. (2017). Flood Hazard and risk assessment. Hazard-Specific Risk Assess. Modul. United Nations Off. Disaster Risk Reduct. 1–16.
Sherman, L. K. (1932). Stream flow from rainfall by the unit graph method. Engineering News Records, 108, 501–505.
Sherman, L. K. (1941). The unit hydrograph and its application. Bull. Assoc. State Eng. Soc., 17, 4–22.
Syed, T. H., Famiglietti, J. S., Chambers, D. P., Willis, J. K., Hilburn, K. (2010). Satellite-based global-ocean mass balance estimates of interannual variability and emerging trends in continental freshwater discharge. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1003292107.
USAID. (2018). Climate risk profile fact sheet (EGYPT).
USDA. (1986). Urban hydrology for small watersheds (TR-55). United States Department of Agriculture. Natural Resources Conservation Service, Conservation Engineering Division.
Weaver, J. C. (2003). Methods for estimating peak discharges and unit hydrographs for streams in the city of Charlotte and Mecklenburg County. North Carolina, Water-Resources Investigations Report. https://doi.org/10.3133/wri20034108.
WMO. (2006). Social aspects and Stakeholder involvement in integrated flood management. APFM Technical Document No. 4, Flood Management Policy Series, Geneva, Switzerland: World Meteorological Organization.
WMO. (2012). Management of flash floods. In A Tool for Integrated Flood Management, Version 1.0, WMO/GWP Associated Programme on Flood Management.
Zaid, S. M., Zaghloul, E. S. A., & Ghanem, F. K. (2013). Flashflood impact analysis of Wadi Abu-Hasah on tell El-Amarna archaeological area using GIS and remote sensing. Australian Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences, 7, 865–881.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Helmi, A.M., Zohny, O. (2020). Flash Flood Risk Assessment in Egypt. In: Negm, A. (eds) Flash Floods in Egypt. Advances in Science, Technology & Innovation. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-29635-3_13
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-29635-3_13
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-29634-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-29635-3
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)