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Prediction of Citation Dynamics of Individual Papers

  • Michael Golosovsky
Chapter
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Part of the SpringerBriefs in Complexity book series (BRIEFSCOMPLEXITY)

Abstract

We apply stochastic model of citation dynamics of individual papers developed in Chap.  3 to forecast citation career of individual papers. We focus not only on the estimate of the future citations of a paper but on the probabilistic margins of such estimate as well.

Keywords

Citation forecast Fitness Timeliness Citation trajectory 

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Copyright information

© The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  • Michael Golosovsky
    • 1
  1. 1.Racah Institute of PhysicsHebrew University of JerusalemJerusalemIsrael

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