Abstract
The vital question that motivated this chapter is to what extent are universally accepted, stationary Probable Maximum Precipitation values as published in Hydrometeorological Reports, representative of current and future climate behavior given our current understanding of changes to climate? To the best of our knowledge, none have explored the extent to which PMP values are altered using a replication of the procedures outlined in the Hydrometeorological Reports coupled with future climate data from numerical modeling tools or observational analyses of climatic trends.
With permission from ASCE, this chapter is adapted from: Probable Maximum Precipitation in a Changing Climate: Implications for Dam Design. ASCE J. Hydrol. Eng., 19(12), 06014006.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Bureau of Reclamation (2012) Owyhee Dam. http://www.usbr.gov/projects/Facility.jsp?fac_Name=Owyhee+Dam. Date Last Accessed 10 Oct 2013
California Department of Parks and Recreation (2013) Folsom Dam. http://www.parks.ca.gov/?page_id=882. Date Last Accessed 2 Oct 2013
Dettinger M, Redmond K, Cayan D (2004) Winter orographic precipitation ratios in the Sierra Nevada-large-scale atmospheric circulations and hydrologic consequences. J Hydrometeorol 5:1102–1116
Foufoula-Georgiou E (1989) A probabilistic storm transposition approach for estimating exceedance probabilities of extreme precipitation depths. Water Resour Res 25(5):799–815
Goldewijk KK, Beusen A, de Vos M, van Drecht G (2011) The HYDE 3.1 spatially explicit database of human induced land use change over the past 12,000 years. Global Ecol Biogeogr 20(1):73–86. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00587.x
Graf WL (1999) Dam nation: a geographic census of American dams and their large-scale hydrologic impacts. Water Resour Res 35(4):1305–1311
Graf WL (2006) Downstream hydrologic and geomorphic effects of large dams on American rivers. Geomorphology 79(336):336–360
Graf WL, Wohl E, Sinha T, Sabo JL (2010) Sedimentation and sustainability of western American reservoirs. Water Resour Res 46(12):W12535
Hossain F, Jeyachandran I, Pielke R Sr (2009) Have large dams altered extreme precipitation patterns? EOS-AGU 90(48):453–454
Lo M, Famiglietti JS (2013) Irrigation in California’s Central Valley strengthens the Southwestern U.S. water cycle. Geophys Res Lett 40(2):301–306
Oregon Environmental Council (2013) Owyhee river. http://www.oeconline.org/our-work/water/cleaner-rivers-for-oregon-report/owyhee-river. Date Last Accessed 2 Oct 2013
Pielke RA Sr et al (1992) A comprehensive meteorological modeling system—RAMS. Meteorol Atmos Phys 49:69–91. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01025401
Rakhecha PR, Singh VP (2009) Applied hydrometeorology. Springer, Netherlands ISBN: 978-4020-9843-7
Rakhecha PR, Clark C, Lane S (1999) Revised estimates of one-day probable maximum precipitation (PMP) for India. Meteorol Appl 6:343–350
Robinson PJ (2000) Temporal changes in united states dew point temperatures. Int J Climatol 20:985–1002
Stratz SA (2013) Propagation of anthropogenic variations in hydroclimate statistics for dynamic modeling of probable maximum precipitation. MS Thesis. Electronic Thesis Database—ETD—available at http://www.tntech.edu/library
Stratz SA, Hossain F (2014) Probable maximum precipitation in a changing climate: implications for dam design. J Hydrol Eng 19(12):06014006
Tennessee Valley Authority (2013) Cherokee dam. pp 1–9
U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of the Army, Corps of Engineers (1994) Hydrometeorological report no. 57
U.S. Department of Commerce, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of the Army, Corps of Engineers (1999) Hydrometeorological report no. 59
U.S. Department of Commerce, Weather Bureau (1965) Hydrometeorological report no. 41
Woldemichael AT, Hossain F, Pielke RA Sr, Beltrán-Przekurat A (2012) Understanding the impact of dam-triggered land-use/land-cover change on the modification of extreme precipitation. Water Resour Res 48:W09547. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR011684
Woldemichael AT, Pielke Sr. RA, Hossain F (2013a) Evaluation of surface properties and atmospheric disturbances caused by post-dam alterations of land-use/land-cover. J Geophys Res (in review)
Woldemichael AT, Hossain F, Pielke Sr. RA (2013b) Impacts of post-dam land-use/land-cover changes on modification of extreme precipitation in contrasting hydro-climate and terrain features. J Hydrometeorol. https://doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-13-085.1
Yigzaw W, Hossain F, Kalyanapu A (2013) Impact of artificial reservoir size and land use/land cover patterns on estimation of probable maximum flood: the case of Folsom Dam on American River. Hydrol Eng, ASCE J. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0000722
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Stratz, S.A., Hossain, F. (2020). Sensitivity of Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP). In: Hossain, F. (eds) Resilience of Large Water Management Infrastructure. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-26432-1_6
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-26432-1_6
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-26431-4
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-26432-1
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)