Abstract
We have interrogated the past in Chap. 2 by applying statistical tools to some data. Now in order to design for future events we need to forecast what is likely to happen during the design life of an engineered feature. This is where probability comes in. Probability is heavily used in Civil Engineering risk analysis because as mentioned before data is often scarce.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Ang, A. H.-S., & Tang, W. H. (1975). Probability concepts in engineering planning and design: Volume I—Basic principles. New York: Wiley.
Bernstein, P. L. (1998). Against the Gods: The remarkable story of risk. Wiley.
Der Kiureghian, A. (2001). Structural Reliability CE229 course notes. UC Berkeley.
Gonick, L., & Smith, W. (1993). The cartoon guide to statistics. New York: Harper Collins Publishers Inc.
Laplace, P. S. (1812). Théorie analytique des probabilities. Paris: Original tretise.
McGrayne, S. B. (2011). The theory that would not die. How Bayes’ rule cracked the enigma code, hunted down Russian submarines, and emerged triumphant from two centuries of controversy. Yale University Press.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Moss, R.E.S. (2020). Elementary Probability and Set Theory. In: Applied Civil Engineering Risk Analysis. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22680-0_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22680-0_3
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-22679-4
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-22680-0
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)