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The Spatiotemporal Prediction Model of Opioids Spread Trend Based on Grey Correlation

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Complex, Intelligent, and Software Intensive Systems (CISIS 2019)

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 993))

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Abstract

With the rapid increasing of opioids abuse, it is critical to determine the influence factors and to predict the opioids spread trend. In this paper, a prediction method combining spatiotemporal characteristics and grey relational analysis model is proposed, and the spatiotemporal prediction model of opioids spread trend based on the grey correlation of multifactor is established by integrating various panel data. The time series model is used to identify and fit the multifactor panel data. The gray relational prediction model is established combining the spatial influence factors by Principal Component Analysis (PCA). Results of the simulated experiment show that the method is accurate and the model is feasible and reasonable.

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Acknowledgments

This research is supported by Chinese National College Students’ innovation and entrepreneurship training programs under grant number 201810500032.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Computer Science, Hubei University of Technology, Wuhan, 430068, China

    Tingting Rao, Caiquan Xiong, Yi Liang & Shishuang Deng

Authors
  1. Tingting Rao
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  2. Caiquan Xiong
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  3. Yi Liang
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  4. Shishuang Deng
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Caiquan Xiong .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Information and Communication Engineering, Fukuoka Institute of Technology, Faculty of Information Engineering, Fukuoka, Japan

    Leonard Barolli

  2. School of Software, University of Technology Sydney (UTS), Ultimo, NSW, Australia

    Farookh Khadeer Hussain

  3. Department of Information and Communication Engineering, Fukuoka Institute of Technology, Faculty of Information Engineering, Fukuoka, Japan

    Makoto Ikeda

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Rao, T., Xiong, C., Liang, Y., Deng, S. (2020). The Spatiotemporal Prediction Model of Opioids Spread Trend Based on Grey Correlation. In: Barolli, L., Hussain, F., Ikeda, M. (eds) Complex, Intelligent, and Software Intensive Systems. CISIS 2019. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 993. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22354-0_16

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