Abstract
The impact of air pollution on premature mortality in Europe and the United States (U.S.) in 2010 is modelled by a multi-model ensemble of regional models in the framework of the third phase of the Air Quality Model Evaluation International Initiative (AQMEII3). Introducing 20% emission reductions both globally and regionally in Europe, North America and East Asia were performed in order to calculate the domestic and foreign contributions to air quality and related premature mortality. Total premature mortality was estimated to be 414 000 in Europe and 160 000 in the U.S., using multi-model mean pollutant concentrations. The number of premature mortality cases calculated using concentration inputs from different air quality models can vary by up to a factor of three. Results show that the domestic emissions have the largest impacts on premature death, while foreign sources are a minor contributor to adverse impacts of air pollution.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
J. Brandt, J.D. Silver, J.H. Christensen, M.S. Andersen, J.H. Bønløkke, T. Sigsgaard, C. Geels, A. Gross, A.B. Hansen, K.M. Hansen, G.B. Hedegaard, E. Kaas, L.M. Frohn, Contribution from the ten major emission sectors in Europe and Denmark to the health-cost externalities of air pollution using the EVA model system—an integrated modelling approach. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 13, 7725–7746 (2013). https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-13-7725-2013
R. Friedrich, P. Bickel, The impact pathway methodology, in Environmental External Costs of Transport, ed. by R. Friedrich, P. Bickel (Springer, Berlin, 2001), p. 326
S. Galmarini, B. Koffi, E. Solazzo, T. Keating, C. Hogrefe, M. Schulz, A. Benedictow, J.J. Griesfeller, G. Janssens-Maenhout, G. Carmichael, J. Fu, F. Dentener, Technical note: coordination and harmonization of the multi-scale, multi-model activities HTAP2, AQMEII3, and MICS-Asia3: simulations, emission inventories, boundary conditions, and model output formats. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 17, 1543–1555 (2017). https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-17-1543-2017
Acknowledgements
Aarhus University gratefully acknowledges the NordicWelfAir project funded by the NordForsk’s Nordic Programme on Health and Welfare (grant agreement no. 75007), the REEEM project funded by the H2020-LCE Research and Innovation Action (grant agreement no.: 691739), and the Danish Centre for Environment and Energy (AU-DCE).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Im, U. et al. (2020). Multi-model Assessment of Air Pollution-Related Premature Mortality in Europe and U.S.: Domestic Versus Foreign Contributions. In: Mensink, C., Gong, W., Hakami, A. (eds) Air Pollution Modeling and its Application XXVI. ITM 2018. Springer Proceedings in Complexity. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22055-6_73
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-22055-6_73
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-22054-9
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-22055-6
eBook Packages: Earth and Environmental ScienceEarth and Environmental Science (R0)