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About Expertise Problems: Decision Making Challenges in a Contentious Environment

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Book cover Expertise Under Scrutiny

Part of the book series: Risk, Systems and Decisions ((RSD))

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Abstract

Humans do not like dealing with problems. Though some may revel in times of chaos and doubt, the average person is plenty satisfied when their problems seem far away, and daily life remains ordinary and predictable. Problems are the embodiment of unpredictability, and such unpredictability threatens trouble that could generate an untold array of harmful consequences. Such consequences could be minor (i.e., taking an alternate route to work that happens to experience significant traffic on that day) to life-altering (i.e., critically inaccurate medical diagnoses). Thankfully, the human mind is tailored to be a problem-solving machine and uses various tricks and shortcuts to demystify uncertainty, identify patterns, and derive the optimal solution for the given problem at hand. This ‘brain-as-problem-solving-device’ concept is honed throughout one’s educational experience, where schools use ‘problems’ as teaching moments for students to derive a solution via a mixture of deductive and inductive reasoning and fact retention.

Right action is better than knowledge ; but in order to do what is right, we must know what is right.

—Charlemagne (724–814 A.D.)

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Notes

  1. 1.

    Even if there is a need to explicit the probability of occurrence and reduce the uncertainty on the level of severity of the consequences.

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Merad, M., Trump, B.D. (2020). About Expertise Problems: Decision Making Challenges in a Contentious Environment. In: Expertise Under Scrutiny. Risk, Systems and Decisions. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-20532-4_2

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