Michigan’s 11th Congressional District and the Anti-Trump Wave
Michigan’s 11th district, gerrymandered by Republicans in 2012, fell to Democrat Haley Stevens in 2018. The effect of Trump’s trade war on the auto industry compounded the challenge of a Democratic wave election for the Republican candidate, Lena Epstein. District 11 is home to many General Motors managers and a vast array of small businesses tied to the auto industry. An open seat produced by the retirement of an establishment Republican incumbent provided an opportunity that Democrats seized. Republican prospects to hold the seat dimmed further after primary voters chose a candidate closely tied to the President, who is exceptionally unpopular in District 11, which is Michigan’s wealthiest best-educated Congressional district. Although District 11 trends toward Republicans, it is not Trump territory.