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Russia Resurgent: The Implications for New Zealand

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Small States and the Changing Global Order

Part of the book series: The World of Small States ((WSS,volume 6))

Abstract

Russia is a major power that is seeking to assert its international influence, and in so doing is creating significant challenges for Western states. Although Russia is not a priority focus of New Zealand foreign policy, its actions are increasingly significant for small states such as New Zealand in adjusting to a new security environment. Russia is also an Asia-Pacific state, and is aiming to become more engaged in the Asia-Pacific region—through increased trade, developing bilateral relationships, and involvement in regional integration projects. This extends even to the South Pacific, where Russia is attempting to follow China’s lead in developing its own bilateral relationships with states such as Fiji, including, controversially, supplying it with a shipment of military weapons nominally for peacekeeping. As one of the original parties to the Antarctic Treaty system, Russia is also significant for New Zealand in pursuing its objectives in Antarctica, as shown by the protracted negotiations over the Ross Sea Marine Protected Area. This chapter argues that Russia is an important international actor that New Zealand needs to engage with and to take into account in pursuing its interests, both in the Asia-Pacific and globally. However, New Zealand’s relations with Russia are shaped by the wider developments in the international system and Russia’s role within it, and as a liberal democratic state committed to a rules-based international system, New Zealand’s policy options are constrained.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    “War at Home,” New Zealand History, last modified 14 October 2014, https://nzhistory.govt.nz/war/new-zealand-and-the-cold-war/war-at-home.

  2. 2.

    “War at Home.”

  3. 3.

    Oliver Milman, “Missile for Milk: How Russia Offered NZ Military Hardware to Settle Dairy Bill,” The Guardian, 15 October 2013, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2013/oct/15/russia-offered-newzealand-military-hardware.

  4. 4.

    Bolger (1998), p. 111.

  5. 5.

    “Russia Willing to Start NZ Free-Trade Talks,” NZ Herald, 29 March 2017, https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11827907.

  6. 6.

    New Zealand Council of Trade Unions, Submission of the New Zealand Council of Trade Unions to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade on a Possible Free Trade Agreement with Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan (December 2010), 5, http://www.union.org.nz/120903-russia-belarus-kazakhstan-fta.

  7. 7.

    Alan Wood, “NZ Dairies in Receivership,” Stuff, 18 May 2012, http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/farming/6945038/NZ-Dairies-in-receivership.

  8. 8.

    “Russia – Belarus – Kazakhstan Customs Union FTA,” Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade, accessed 6 February 2019, https://www.mfat.govt.nz/en/trade/free-trade-agreements/agreements-under-negotiation/rbk; NZ-RBK-FTA Roadmap: Joint Report to the Ministers by the Expert Teams of Ryssia (MED) and New Zealand (MFAT) (5 October 2010), https://www.mfat.govt.nz/assets/FTAs-in-negotiations/RBK/NZ-RBK-FTA_Roadmap_document.pdf.

  9. 9.

    Ballingall (2010).

  10. 10.

    Sergey Lavrov, “Speech by the Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov at the Plenary Session of the 8th East Asia Summit, Bandar Seri Begawan, 10 October 2013,” accessed 13 February 2019, http://www.mid.ru/en/web/guest/foreign_policy/news/-/asset_publisher/cKNonkJE02Bw/content/id/92762.

  11. 11.

    I. A. Denisov, “Foreign Policy Aspects about Accession of Russia to WTO,” Mezhdunarodnaia zhizn, no. 7 (2012), http://www.mid.ru/brp_4.nsf/0/3E67418205FD3C7444257A4F0043F380.

  12. 12.

    The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation, “Comment by the Information and Press Department of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs Regarding the Visit of the Minister of Foreign Affairs of New Zealand, Murray McCully, to Russia,” press release, 1 November 2013, http://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/-/asset_publisher/cKNonkJE02Bw/content/id/89686.

  13. 13.

    Anuja Nadkarni, “Winston Peters’ Plan to Reopen Trade Talks with Russia Called ‘Puzzling’,” Stuff, 4 November 2017, https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/98555584/winston-peters-plan-to-reopen-trade-talks-with-russia-called-puzzling.

  14. 14.

    Matthew Hutching and Emma Cropper, “Russia may be Key in NZ Free Trade Goal,” Newshub, 25 March 2017, http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2017/03/russia-may-be-key-in-nz-free-trade-goal-todd-mcclay.html.

  15. 15.

    New Zealand Council of Trade Unions, Submission of the New Zealand Council of Trade Unions.

  16. 16.

    “Corruptions Perceptions Index 2016,” Transparency International, accessed 7 February 2019, https://www.transparency.org/news/feature/corruption_perceptions_index_2016#table.

  17. 17.

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  18. 18.

    Vernon Small, “NZ Joins in ‘Personal Sanctions’ over Crimea,” Stuff, 23 March 2014, http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/9858964/NZ-joins-in-personal-sanctions-over-Crimea.

  19. 19.

    Gerard Hutching, “Russian ‘Sabre Rattling’ over Threat to Ban New Zealand Beef Imports from February,” Stuff, 3 February 2017, http://www.stuff.co.nz/business/farming/89049136/Russian-sabre-rattling-over-threat-to-ban-New-Zealand-beef-imports-from-February.

  20. 20.

    “Russia Lifts Ban on Some New Zealand Dairy Products,” Reuters, 19 August 2015.

  21. 21.

    Isaac Davison, “Winston Peters Needs to End Fixation with Russian Trade Deal, National Says,” NZ Herald, 23 April 2018, https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=12037775.

  22. 22.

    Matt Nippert, “Winston Peters’ Plan to Reopen Trade with Russia Raises Alarm from Europe,” NZ Herald, 4 November 2017, https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11940045.

  23. 23.

    Nicholas Jones, “Russia Free Trade Agreement Not the Priority: PM,” NZ Herald, 6 November 2017, https://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11940988.

  24. 24.

    New Zealand Ministry of Defence (2016), p. 32.

  25. 25.

    New Zealand Ministry of Defence (2018), p. 16 (emphasis in original), http://www.nzdf.mil.nz/corporate-documents/strategic-defence-policy-statement-2018.htm.

  26. 26.

    New Zealand Ministry of Defence (2018), p. 17.

  27. 27.

    New Zealand Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade (2016), p. 12.

  28. 28.

    Paul G. Buchanan, “New Zealand’s Claim it has No Russian Spies is Perplexing. Why is it Isolating Itself?,” The Guardian, 28 March 2018, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/mar/28/new-zealands-claim-it-has-no-russian-spies-is-perplexing-why-is-it-isolating-itself.

  29. 29.

    Buchanan, “New Zealand’s Claim.”

  30. 30.

    New Zealand Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade (2016), p. 8.

  31. 31.

    “Foreign Policy Concept of the Russian Federation (Approved by President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin on November 30, 2016),” The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation, last modified 1 December 2016, http://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/official_documents/-/asset_publisher/CptICkB6BZ29/content/id/2542248.

  32. 32.

    “Russia’s Putin Questions U.S.-Led TPP Trade Pact Arrangements,” Reuters, 17 November 2015, https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-russia-putin-tpp/russias-putin-questions-u-s-led-tpp-trade-pact-arrangements-idUKKCN0T60O620151117.

  33. 33.

    For example, comments by Lavrov during talks in Tokyo, March 2017; “Lavrov: peregovory glav MID i Minoborony RF i Iaponii byli soderzhatel’nymi,” TASS, 20 March 2017, https://tass.ru/politika/4108787; see also Chris Miller, “The Case of Russia,” The ASAN Forum 6, no. 6 (2018), http://www.theasanforum.org/the-case-of-russia/#1.

  34. 34.

    Lavrov, “Speech by the Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.”

  35. 35.

    New Zealand Ministry of Defence (2018), p. 20.

  36. 36.

    Fiji established diplomatic relations with the Soviet Union in 1974, but neither country had previously appointed a resident ambassador. Russia’s ambassador to Fiji—currently Grigory S. Logvinov—is also the ambassador to Australia and is resident in Canberra; he is also accredited as ambassador to Vanuatu and Nauru.

  37. 37.

    “PM Says Fiji, Russia to Sign Defence Agreement ‘This Week,’” Fiji Sun, 31 May 2010, in BBC Monitoring International Reports, 31 May 2010.

  38. 38.

    Tarte (2010), pp. 118–132; Sandra Tarte, “Fiji’s Search for New Friends,” East Asia Forum, 13 January 2011, http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2011/01/13/fijis-search-for-new-friends-2.

  39. 39.

    “PM Says Fiji, Russia to Sign Defence Agreement ‘This Week’”.

  40. 40.

    Quoted in I. Burese, “‘Neighbours’ have Vital Role to Play,’” Fiji Times, 30 January 2012, http://www.fijitimes.com/story.aspx?id=192096.

  41. 41.

    “Confusion Lingers over Vanuatu’s Links with Abkhazia,” Radio New Zealand, 18 March 2013, https://www.radionz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/210896/confusion-lingers-over-vanuatu%27s-links-with-abkhazia.

  42. 42.

    Oliver Bullough, “This Tiny Pacific Island Nation Just Gave Russia a Big Bruise,” New Republic, 3 April 2014, https://newrepublic.com/article/117238/tuvalu-bruises-russia-establishing-diplomatic-ties-georgia.

  43. 43.

    Alexey Muraviev, “Russia is a Rising Military Power in the Asia-Pacific, and Australia Needs to Take it Seriously,” ABC, 31 October 2018, https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-10-31/russia-is-a-rising-military-power-in-the-asia-pacific/10447190.

  44. 44.

    “Russian Warship to Make Port Call in PNG,” Radio New Zealand, 14 May 2018, https://www.radionz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/357290/russian-warship-to-make-port-call-in-png.

  45. 45.

    New Zealand Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade (2016), p. 8.

  46. 46.

    M. Heath, H. Meyer, and E. O’Brien, “Russia’s Row with Georgia Plays Out in South Pacific,” Bloomberg, 15 November 2011, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-11-10/russia-s-row-with-georgia-plays-out-in-pacific-amid-trade-talks.html.

  47. 47.

    “Russian Experts Arrive in Fiji for Weapons Handover,” Radio New Zealand, 10 February 2016, https://www.radionz.co.nz/international/pacific-news/296150/russian-experts-arrive-in-fiji-for-weapons-handover.

  48. 48.

    Ben Doherty, “Secret Russian Arms Donation to Fiji Raises Concerns of Bid for Pacific Influence,” The Guardian, 22 January 2016, https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jan/22/secretive-shipment-of-arms-donated-by-russia-to-fiji-raises-concerns; Paul Buchanan, “Fiji’s Strategic Pivot,” 36th Parallel, last modified 27 January 2016, https://36th-parallel.com/2016/01/27/fijis-strategic-pivot/.

  49. 49.

    “Russia has No Plans to Set Up Naval Base in Fiji — Defense Official,” TASS News Agency, 16 February 2016, http://tass.com/defense/856963.

  50. 50.

    New Zealand Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade (2016), p. 8.

  51. 51.

    New Zealand Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade (2016), p. 16.

  52. 52.

    S. Romero, “Countries Rush for Upper Hand in Antarctica,” New York Times, 29 December 2015, https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2015/12/29/world/countries-rush-for-upper-hand-antarctica.html.

  53. 53.

    Carter et al. (2016), p. 267.

  54. 54.

    “Plans to Build First Stage of Belarusian Antarctic Station by 2019,” Belarus News, 8 November 2017, http://eng.belta.by/society/view/plans-to-build-first-stage-of-belarusian-antarctic-station-by-2019-106562-2017.

  55. 55.

    “Bid to Expand Antarctic Marine Protection Area Fails: Conservationist,” Reuters, 28 October 2017, https://www.reuters.com/article/us-environment-antarctic-park/bid-to-expand-antarctic-marine-protection-area-fails-conservationist-idUSKBN1CX07J; Jane Dolton, “Fury as China, Russia and Norway Block Landmark Antarctic Ocean Sanctuary Plan,” The Independent, 2 November 2018, https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/antarctic-ocean-sanctuary-china-russia-norway-block-wildlife-greenpeace-hobart-tasmania-whales-a8615431.html.

  56. 56.

    See Anne-Marie Brady’s chapter in this volume, “Climate Change: Antarctic Geopolitics and the Implications for New Zealand Foreign Policy.”

  57. 57.

    New Zealand Ministry of Defence (2018), p. 22.

  58. 58.

    New Zealand Ministry of Defence (2018), p. 12.

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Headley, J. (2019). Russia Resurgent: The Implications for New Zealand. In: Brady, AM. (eds) Small States and the Changing Global Order. The World of Small States, vol 6. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-18803-0_13

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