EU Expansion, Brexit, and Near-Term Prospects for European Car Plants

Jacobs, A. J.

doi:10.1007/978-3-030-17431-6_19

EU Expansion, Brexit, and Near-Term Prospects for European Car Plants

A. J. Jacobs²

Chapter
First Online: 08 August 2019

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Abstract

This chapter concludes the book by asking how Europe’s car production footprint will change during the next decade of EU integration (or disintegration)? Will it continue to shift to Central-Eastern Europe or more south-eastward? Then, drawing upon the author’s research for this book and other works over the past 25 years, the chapter offers three possible answers to this query (Hard Brexit, Soft Brexit, and No Brexit). In the process, it offers 2025 and 2030 projections for passenger car plant openings and closing within each nation in a possible 34-member ‘Expanded EU’.

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Notes

1.
See Jacobs (2013, 2016, 2017), and others cited within these works from the author’s 25 years of research on the automobile industry and car production regions.
2.
This included Albania, Cyprus, Denmark, Estonia, Greece, Ireland, Latvia, Kosovo, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Montenegro, and North Macedonia.
3.
See Jacobs (2016, 2017) for more details on these categories. The data sources listed in items two through seven and utilized throughout the chapter include EC (2018a), Eurostat (2018), IMF (2018), UN (2018), WEF (2018), and World Bank (2018a, b). Also see Table 19.2.
4.
Spain (2017–2018).
5.
ACEA (2019).
6.
Germany (2013–2018); CEFO (2018).
7.
Germany (2013–2018); Jacobs (2017); Palacios (2018).
8.
Ward’s (1956–2018); ACEA (2019).
9.
Ward’s (1956–2018); Dunnett (1980); ACEA (2013–2018).
10.
Ward’s (1956–2018); ACEA (2019).
11.
Hunt and Wheeler (2018).
12.
Jacobs (2016); Greimel (2019).
13.
Ward’s (1956–2018); Gibbs (2018).
14.
Jacobs (2017).
15.
UK (2017–2018).
16.
The EU-Japan trade deal will gradually reduce the current 10% duty on Japanese car imports to zero by 2029.
17.
Ainger (2017); UK (2017–2018); Griffin (2018).
18.
Ward’s (1956–2018).
19.
Ward’s (1956–2018); Jacobs (2016, 2017).
20.
Ward’s (1956–2018); Ebhardt (2018); FCA (2018a, b); Malan (2018); ACEA (2019).
21.
Ibid.
22.
Ward’s (1956–2018); Jacobs (2017); ACAROM (2018).
23.
130km.ro (2018); WEF (2018).
24.
Deloitte (2015); Jacobs (2017).
25.
CEFO (2018); Krogh (2018); Bjelotomic (2019).
26.
Daimler (2016); Jacobs (2017)
27.
Jacobs (2016, 2017).
28.
Ward’s (1956–2018); FCA Poland (2016); Jacobs (2017).
29.
Jacobs (2017); PAIH (2019).
30.
Ibid.
31.
Ward’s (1956–2018); OICA (1999–2018); Jacobs (2017); Serbia (2017–2018); RAS (2018b).
32.
Jacobs (2017); Serbia (2017–2018); Deloitte (2018).
33.
Jacobs (2017); Belgium (2017–2018); Serbia (2017–2018); Deloitte (2018); Bjelotomic (2019).
34.
Ibid.
35.
Jacobs (2017); Serbia (2017–2018); RAS (2018a).
36.
Jacobs (2017); ACEA (2013–2018).
37.
Jacobs (2017); Sachgau and Eder (2018); Beni (2018a, b).
38.
Jacobs (2017); Belgium (2017–2018).
39.
Ward’s (1956–2018); Pavlinek (2008, 2017); Jacobs (2013, 2017).
40.
Ward’s (1956–2018); ACEA (2013–2018); Jacobs (2017).
41.
Ibid.
42.
Jacobs (2017).
43.
Ibid.
44.
Jacobs (2017); UK (2017–2018); SME (2018).
45.
Ward’s (1956–2018); Thompson (2011); Jacobs (2017).
46.
Jacobs (2017); Brumsden (2018); Bulgaria (2018).
47.
Thompson (2011); Jacobs (2017).
48.
Ward’s (1956–2018); Thompson (2011); Jacobs (2017).
49.
Renault (2006–2018); Revoz (2016).
50.
Homola (2016); Jacobs (2017).
51.
Slovenia Times (2016), Irwin (2017); Jacobs (2017); Magna (2018).
52.
Jacobs (2017).
53.
Sarmienti et al. (2016).
54.
Jacobs (2016, 2017).
55.
Thompson (2011); Jacobs (2017).
56.
Belgium (2017–2018).
57.
EC (2018b).
58.
Wards (1956–2018); ACEA (2013–2018).
59.
Wards (1956–2018); ACEA (2019).
60.
Somaca also produced 5400 Renault and PSA light trucks in 2001. Total motor vehicle exports into the EU jumped from 4904 in 2010 to 264,607, meaning 70.22% of all vehicles produced in Morocco in 2017 were exported to the EU; see ACEA (2013–2018); Somaca (2018).
61.
Ward’s (1956–2018); PSA (2018); Sigal (2018).

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Department of Sociology, East Carolina University, Greenville, NC, USA
A. J. Jacobs

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Jacobs, A.J. (2019). EU Expansion, Brexit, and Near-Term Prospects for European Car Plants. In: The Automotive Industry and European Integration. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-17431-6_19

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-17431-6_19
Published: 08 August 2019
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham
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