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Does the Monetary Policy Channel Impact the Transmission of Exchange Rate Depreciation Shocks to Inflation?

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Exchange Rate, Second Round Effects and Inflation Processes

Abstract

We estimate counterfactual VAR models to determine the role of repo rate channel in the transmission of exchange rate depreciation shocks to consumer price inflation. Evidence shows the consumer price inflation rises to exchange rate depreciation shocks irrespective of whether policy rate is shutoff or not in the model. This suggests the policy rate channel dampens the increase in consumer price inflation following the exchange rate depreciation shocks. The policy rate channel’s weakening of the exchange rate pass-through to consumer price inflation is independent of inflation regimes, which supports a credible policy conduct. Evidence indicates, in the high inflation regimes, the monetary reaction to consumer price inflation is amplified by ERPT channel.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    The time-varying ERPT is estimated in Chapter 7.

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Ndou, E., Gumata, N., Tshuma, M.M. (2019). Does the Monetary Policy Channel Impact the Transmission of Exchange Rate Depreciation Shocks to Inflation?. In: Exchange Rate, Second Round Effects and Inflation Processes. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-13932-2_9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-13932-2_9

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  • Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-030-13931-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-030-13932-2

  • eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)

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