Abstract
The paper analyzes emerging technologies in aircraft and shipbuilding industries aimed at addressing common grand challenges. For this purpose, the authors propose a framework for global trends and technology identification in two fields of the transport sector based on scenario and roadmapping approaches. The suggested framework helps policy-makers, companies, and other interested parties set priorities, select innovation projects, and implement them based on a vision of a desirable future.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
ACEA (2011) Global trends in transport routes and goods transport: influence on future international loading units. http://www.acea.be/uploads/publications/SAG_16_Global_Trends_in_Transport_Routes__Goods_Transport.pdf
Airbus Group (2016) Global market forecast airbus 2016–2035. http://www.airbus.com/company/market/forecast/
Airbus (2016) Zephyr, the high altitude pseudo-satellite. https://airbusdefenceandspace.com/our-portfolio/military-aircraft/uav/zephyr/
Bandyopadhyay D, Sen J (2011) Wireless Pers Commun. 5 internet of things: applications and challenges in technology and standardization, 58:49. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11277-011-0288-5
Benthien H et al (2015) Manufacturing of compounds of a vehicle using additive layer manufacturing. US Patent&Trademark Office United States Patent Application. http://appft.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect1=PTO1&Sect2=HITOFF&d=PG01&p=1&u=%2Fnetahtml%2FPTO%2Fsrchnum.html&r=1&f=G&l=50&s1=%2220160136891%22.PGNR.&OS=DN/20160136891&RS=DN/20160136891
Bergek A, Jacobsson S, Carlsson B, Lindmark S, Rickne A (2008) Analyzing the functional dynamics of technological innovation systems: a scheme of analysis. Res Policy 37(3):407–429
Boeing (2016) Current market outlook 2016–2035. http://www.boeing.com/resources/boeingdotcom/commercial/about-our-market/assets/downloads/cmo_print_2016_final.pdf
CE Delft, Ecorys, IDEA Consult (2012) Green growth opportunities in the EU shipbuilding sector 2012. http://www.cedelft.eu/publicatie/green_growth_opportunities_in_the_eu_shipbuilding_sector/1291
Chaminade C, Edquist C (2006) From theory to practice. The use of the systems of innovation approach in innovation policy. In: Hage J, Meeus M (eds) Innovation, science and institutional change. A research handbook. Oxford University Press, Oxford
China State Shipbuilding Corporation (2017) Strategy, SWOT and corporate finance report. https://www.businessresearchstore.com/product/190938-china+state+shipbuilding+corporation+-+strategy++swot.html
Dekhtyaruk Y, Karyshev I, Korableva M, Velikanova N, Edelkina A, Karasev O, Klubova M, Bogomolova A, Dyshkant N (2014) Foresight in civil shipbuilding—2030. Foresight-Russia 8(2):30–45
EC (2010) Facing the future: time for the EU to meet global challenges, IPTS.
EC (2011) Sustainable Aviation Council, UK, Flightpath 2050: Europe’s vision for aviation. https://ec.europa.eu/transport/sites/transport/files/modes/air/doc/flightpath2050.pdf
EC (2012) Aeronautics and Air transport: beyond vision 2020 (towards 2050), 2010. http://www.gppq.fct.pt/h2020/_docs/brochuras/transportes/A%20Background%20Document%20from%20ACARE.pdf
EC (2014) Long-term perspectives. Communicating transport research and innovation. http://www.transport-research.info/sites/default/files/thematic-analysis/20150430_175035_36562_TRS24_fin.pdf
EC (2015a) Horizon 2020 Smart, green and integrated transport work programme 2014–2015. http://ec.europa.eu/research/participants/data/ref/h2020/wp/2014_2015/main/h2020-wp1415-transport_en.pdf
EC (2015b) LeaderShip 2015. Defining the future of the European shipbuilding and repair industry. http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A52003DC0717
Edquist C (2011) Design of innovation policy through diagnostic analysis: identification of systemic problems (or failures). Indus Corp Change 20(6):1–29. https://doi.org/10.1093/icc/dtr060
EREA (2012) From Air Transport System 2050 vision to planning for research and innovation. http://www.onera.fr/sites/default/files/Departements-scientifiques/DPRA/ats_2050-phase2_en.pdf
Federal Ministry of Transport and Digital Infrastructure of Germany (2015) Forecast of transport interconnectivity 2030. http://www.bmvi.de/SharedDocs/EN/publications/flyer-2030-transport-interconnectivity-forecast.html?nn=212250
FOREN (2001) A practical guide to regional foresight. http://foresight.jrc.ec.europa.eu/documents/eur20128en.pdf
GenerationBalt (2011) Foresight of the South Baltic maritime labour market 2017. http://www.generationbalt.eu/data/user/documents/Foresight_Maritime_Labour_Market_SouthBalt.pdf
Georghiou L (2011) Final evaluation of the lead market initiative, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg. doi: https://doi.org/10.2769/29882
Gokhberg L (ed) (2013) Long-term priorities of applied science in Russia. Higher School of Economics, Moscow
Hiufu Wong M (2016) Five cool technology leaps about to change aviation for good. http://edition.cnn.com/2016/02/25/aviation/aviation-emerging-tech-singapore-airshow/
Hyundai Heavy Industries (2016) Pioneering innovative technology. http://pdf.nauticexpo.com/pdf/hyundai-heavy-industries/electro-electric-systems/31139-89635.html
IATA (2011) Vision 2050. Report 2011. http://www.iata.org/pressroom/facts_figures/Documents/vision-2050.pdf
IATA (2013) IATA Technology Roadmap, 2013. http://www.iata.org/publications/Pages/technology-roadmap.aspx
ICAO (2006) Global Aviation Safety Roadmap. http://cfapp.icao.int/fsix/_Library%5CGlobal_Aviation_Safety_Roadmap_Part_2.pdf
IEA (2012) Global transport outlook to 2050. https://www.iea.org/media/workshops/2013/egrdmobility/DULAC_23052013.pdf
Keenan M, Cutler P, Marks J, Meylan R, Smith C, Koivisto E (2012) Orienting international science cooperation to meet global ‘grand challenges’. Sci Publ Policy 39:166–177
Loveridge D (2002) The STEEPV acronym and process-a clarification, Ideas in Progress. Paper, 29
Marine Institute (2005) Foresight series. Climate change implications for Ireland’s marine environment and resources 2005. http://oar.marine.ie/bitstream/10793/560/3/Foresight%20Series%202%20Climate%20Change%20Implications.pdf
Marine Industries Roadmap & Capability Study (2011) Workshop D: shipbuilding and repair. http://www.ifm.eng.cam.ac.uk/uploads/Research/CTM/Roadmapping/marine_wksp_4.pdf
Matich L (2017) Roadmaps as a tool for modeling complex systems. Working Paper Series Science, Technology and Innovation, Higher School of Economics, No. 73/STI/2017
Mitsubishi (2017) Lifting, powering and accelerating the world Mitsubishi heavy industries forklift, engine and turbocharger holdings. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Technical Review 54(1). http://www.mhi-global.com/company/technology/review/pdf/e541/e541002.pdf
NASA (2013) Integration of Civil Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) in the National Airspace System (NASA) Roadmap. http://www.faa.gov/uas/media/uas_roadmap_2013.pdf
NISTEP (2014) Science and technology trends—quarterly review. Science and Technology Foresight Center, NISTEP, Tokyo. http://www.nistep.go.jp/achiev/ftx/eng/stfc/stfc_all-e.html
National Research Council Canada (2011) Canadian Aerospace Environmental Technology Road Map v2.0 (CAETRM). http://www.gardn.org/
NVIDIA Corporation (2014) Empowering world-class marine designers. https://www.nvidia.fr/content/grid/resources/case-study-daewooshipbuilding.pdf
OECD (2012) Strategic transport infrastructure needs to 2030. Paris. http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/economics/strategic-transport-infrastructure-needs-to-2030_9789264114425-en
OECD (2015) ITF Transport Outlook 2015. http://www.oecd.org/environment/itf-transport-outlook-2015-9789282107782-en.htm
Pestana H (2014) Future trends of electrical propulsion and implications to ship design. In: 2nd International Conference on Maritime Technology and Engineering, Lisbon, Portugal. Maritime Technology and Engineering 1 & 2, pp 797–803
Pinnegar JK, Viner D, Hadley D, Dye S, Harris M, Berkout F, Simpson M (2006) Alternative future scenarios for marine ecosystems. http://www.meece.eu/meetings/bologna/documents/AFMEC%20technical%20report.pdf
Safran SA (2016) Electrical systems and power electronics: towards more electric aircraft. https://www.safran-group.com/innovation/our-technologies/electrical-systems-and-power-electronics/electrical-systems-and-power-electronics-towards-more-electric-aircraft
Samsung Heavy Industries (2012) Global leader in ocean & power. http://pdf.nauticexpo.com/pdf/samsung-heavy-industries/global-leader-ocean-power/31569-54099.html
Saritas O, Aylen J (2010) Using scenarios for roadmapping: the case of clean production. Technol Forecast Soc Change 77(7):1061–1075
Saritas O, Proskuryakova L (2017) Water resources – an analysis of trends, weak signals and wild cards with implications for Russia. Foresight 19(2):152–173
Sustainable Aviation Council (2012) Sustainable aviation CO2 roadmap. http://www.sustainableaviation.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/SA-Carbon-Roadmap-full-report.pdf
Sustainable Aviation Council (2013) Noise road-map a blueprint for managing noise from aviation sources to 2050. http://airlinesuk.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/SA-Noise-Roadmap-Summary-April-2013.pdf
Toyota (2017) Patenting the design of a flying car. http://www.freepatentsonline.com/20160176256.pdf
UK Marine Industries Alliance (2011) A strategy for growth for the UK Marine Industries. https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/31813/11-1310-strategy-for-growth-uk-marine-industries.pdf
Vachtsevanos G, Georgoulas G, Nikolakopoulos G (2016) Fault diagnosis, failure prognosis and fault tolerant control of aerospace/unmanned aerial systems. In: 24th Mediterranean Conference on Control and Automation, Athens, Greece, 21–24 June 2016
Vishnevskiy K, Karasev O, Meissner D (2016) Integrated roadmaps for strategic management and planning. Technol Forecast Soc Change 110:153–166
Vishnevskiy K, Yaroslavtsev A (2017) Russian S&T Foresight 2030: case of nanotechnologies and new materials, foresight. pp. 198–217
VOSviewer Manual. Nees Jan van Eck and Ludo Waltman, 28 Sept 2016
Wahlstrom M, Hakulinen J, Karvonen H (2015) Human factors challenges in unmanned ship operations – insights from other domains. In: 6th International Conference on Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics
Yang J, Zhang H, Huang M (2013) Mingxing emerging technology in aerospace engineering polymer-based self-healing materials. In: Aerospace materials. Handbook advances in materials science and engineering. Boca Raton, pp 531–606
Acknowledgments
The book chapter was prepared within the framework of the Basic Research Program at the National Research University Higher School of Economics and supported within the framework of the subsidy by the Russian Academic Excellence Project ‘5-100’.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Klubova, M., Matich, L., Salun, V., Veselitskaya, N. (2019). Technology Roadmaps: Emerging Technologies in the Aircraft and Shipbuilding Industries. In: Meissner, D., Gokhberg, L., Saritas, O. (eds) Emerging Technologies for Economic Development. Science, Technology and Innovation Studies. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-04370-4_7
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-04370-4_7
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-04368-1
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-04370-4
eBook Packages: Business and ManagementBusiness and Management (R0)