Abstract
The precision of load forecasting is of great importance for power distribution systems planning and management. As load data are highly nonlinear and nonstationary time series, ordinary methods of linear prediction seem insufficient. In this paper, for the active power consumption forecasting, two methods are used. A method using artificial neural network (ANN) based technique is developed for short-term and mid-term load forecasting of power distribution system. Aiming to increase the accuracy of load prediction, method using artificial neural network and Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) technique for short-term and mid-term load forecast is developed. Two cases are used to validate the prediction methods.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Abu-Shikhah, N., Elkarmi, F., Aloquili, O.: Medium-term electric load forecasting using multivariable linear and non-linear regression. Smart Grid Renew. Energy 2, 126–135 (2011). https://doi.org/10.4236/sgre.2011.22015. http://www.SciRP.org/journal/sgre
Tuaimah, F.M., Abass, H.M.A.: Short-term electrical load forecasting for iraqi power system based on multiple linear regression method. Int. J. Comput. Appl. 100(1) (2014). ISSN 0975-8887
Islam, B.U.: Comparison of conventional and modern load forecasting techniques based on artificial intelligence and expert systems. IJCSI Int. J. Comput. Sci. Issues 8(5), no. 3 (2011)
Haykin, S.: Neural Networks: A Comprehensive Foundation, 2nd edn, p. 1104. Williams Publishing House, Jerusalem (2006)
Caciotta, M., Giarnetti, S., Leccese, F.: Hybrid neural network system for electric load forecasting of telecommunication station. In: Proceedings of XIX IMEKO World Congress Fundamental and Applied Metrology, Lisbon, Porugal, 6–11 September 2009, pp. 657–661 (2009)
Weili, B., Zhigang, L., Quanwei, P., Jian, X.: Research of the load forecasting model based on HHT and combination of ANN. Power Syst. Prot. Control 37(19), 31–35 (2009)
Weili, B., Zhigang, L., Qi, W., Dengdeng, Z.: Load forecasting of power system based on HHT. Sichuan Electr. Power Technol. 32(3), 9–13 (2009)
Liu, Z.G., Bai, W.L., Chen, G.: A new short-term load forecasting model of power system based on HHT and ANN. In: Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol. 6064, pp. 448–454 (2010)
Kutbatsky, V., Sidorov, D., Spiryaev, V., Tomin, N.: On the neural network approach for forecasting of nonstationary time series on the basis of the Hilbert-Huang transform. Autom. Remote Control 72(7), 1405–1414 (2011)
Kutbatsky, V., Sidorov, D., et al.: Hybrid model for short-term forecasting in electric power system. Int. J. Mach. Learn. Comput. 1(2), 138–147 (2011)
Dedovic, M.M., Avdakovic, S., Turkovic, I., Dautbasic, N., Konjic, T.: Forecasting PM10 concentrations using neural networks and system for improving air quality. In: 2016 XI International Symposium on Telecommunications (BIHTEL), pp. 1–6 (2016)
Lee, K.Y., Park, J.H.: Short-term load forecasting using an artificial neural network. Trans. Power Syst. 7(1), 124–132 (1992)
Huang, H.E., Shen, Z., Long, S.R., Wu, M.C., Shih, H.H., Zheng, Q., Yen, N.-C., Tung, C.C., Liu, H.H.: The empirical mode decomposition and the Hilbert spectrum for nonlinear and non-stationary time series analysis. Proc. R. Soc. Lond. A 454, 903–995 (1998)
Dedovic, M.M., Avdakovic, S., Dautbasic, N.: Impact of air temperature on active and reactive power consumption - Sarajevo case study. Bosanskohercegovačka elektrotehnika (under revision)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2019 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Dedović, M.M., Dautbašić, N., Mujezinović, A. (2019). Application of Artificial Neural Network and Empirical Mode Decomposition for Predications of Hourly Values of Active Power Consumption. In: Avdaković, S. (eds) Advanced Technologies, Systems, and Applications III. IAT 2018. Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, vol 59. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-02574-8_8
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-02574-8_8
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-02573-1
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-02574-8
eBook Packages: Intelligent Technologies and RoboticsIntelligent Technologies and Robotics (R0)