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Global Climate Change: A Warmer and More Unpredictable Future

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America’s Most Sustainable Cities and Regions

Abstract

On May 9, 2013, the earth’s climate system reached a notable milestone. The concentration of carbon dioxide, or CO2, at the Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii passed 400 parts per million (ppm) when averaged over a whole day. This is the first time in more than 3 million years that the concentration has been this high. The CO2 concentration has increased by 40 % since 1890 when levels were about 280 ppm, an unprecedented rate of increase. Over the past million years, CO2 ranged between about 170 and 300 ppm as ice ages waned and waxed. According to Professor Clive Hamilton of Charles Sturt University in Canberra, Australia, “if you are not frightened by this fact,” and it is a fact, “then you are ignoring or denying science.” The rapidly increasing CO2 is a harbinger of dramatic climate changes to come in this century. But nowhere are these changes going to be felt more dramatically than in the American Southwest and along the coasts of the country.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    International Herald Tribune, May 27, 2013.

  2. 2.

    William deBuys. A Great Aridness. Oxford University Press, Oxford. 2011. 369 p.

  3. 3.

    Brad Udall, director of the University of Colorado’s Western Water Assessment Program. Cited in deBuys, 2011, ibid.

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    Much of this discussion is based on DeBuys, 2011, ibid.

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  8. 8.

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    http://co2now.org. The CO2 now website contains much interesting information on carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere. World Meteorological Organization. 2014. Global Atmosphere Watch. WMO Greenhouse Gas Bulletin. The State of Greenhouse Gases in the Atmosphere. No. 10 6 November 2014. A recent scientific publication showed that CO2 levels in the atmosphere are increasing at rates consistent with the highest IPCC scenarios. P. Friedlingstein, et al. Persistent growth of CO2 emissions and implications for reaching climate targets. Nature Geoscience, 7, 709–715.

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    IPCC, 2013, ibid.

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  18. 18.

    IPCC, 2013, ibid.

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    Cook, B. I., Ault, T. R., & Smerdon, J. E. 2015. Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains. Science Advances, 1(1), e1400082.

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    An excellent book on the aquifer is William Ashworth. 2007. Ogallala Blue: Water and Life on the High Plains. The Countryman Press Woodstock, VT.

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    Steward, D. R., Bruss, P. J., Yang, X., Staggenborg, S. A., Welch, S. M., & Apley, M. D. 2013. Tapping unsustainable groundwater stores for agricultural production in the High Plains Aquifer of Kansas, projections to 2110. Proceeding of the National Academy of Sciences. doi:10.1073/pnas.1220351110.

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    Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority of Louisiana. 2012. Louisiana’s Comprehensive Master Plan for a Sustainable Coast. Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority of Louisiana. Baton Rouge, LA.

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    Day, J., D. Boesch, E. Clairain, P. Kemp, S. Laska, W. Mitsch, K. Orth, H. Mashriqui, D. Reed, L. Shabman, C. Simenstad, B. Streever, R. Twilley, C. Watson, J. Wells, D. Whigham. 2007. Restoration of the Mississippi Delta: Lessons from Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Science. 315, 1679–1684.; Day, J., P. Kemp, A. Freeman, and D. Muth. (eds). 2014. Perspectives on the Restoration of the Mississippi Delta: The Once and Future Delta. Springer, New York. 194 p.

  25. 25.

    IPCC, 2013, ibid.

  26. 26.

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  28. 28.

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  29. 29.

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    Melillo et al. (eds) 2014, ibid.

  34. 34.

    IPCC, 2013, ibid.

  35. 35.

    Bo Tao et al. 2014. Increasing Mississippi river discharge throughout the 21st century influenced by changes in climate, land use, and atmospheric CO2. Geophysical Research Letters, 21, 4978–4986. doi:10.1002/2014GL060361.

  36. 36.

    http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/08/20/weather.disasters/index.html

  37. 37.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/06/07/us-climate-warmth-usa-idUSBRE8561BK20120607

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Day, J.W., Hall, C. (2016). Global Climate Change: A Warmer and More Unpredictable Future. In: America’s Most Sustainable Cities and Regions. Copernicus, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4939-3243-6_6

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